This event has ended. Showing historical data.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

UFC 328: Clayton Carpenter vs. Jose Ochoa (Flyweight, Early Prelims)

Name: UFC 328: Clayton Carpenter vs. Jose Ochoa (Flyweight, Early Prelims)
End: 2026-05-10T03:59:59.999Z

Total Volume

$29.35

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

UFC 328: Clayton Carpenter vs. Jose Ochoa (Flyweight, Early Prelims)

Vol

$29.35

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $29.35

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $29.35

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

9 markets tracked

Over/Under 0.5 Rounds

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(9)

Market	Platform	Price
Over/Under 0.5 Rounds	Poly	50%
Over/Under 1.5 Rounds	Poly	50%
Over/Under 2.5 Rounds	Poly	50%
Fight to Go the Distance?	Poly	50%
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?	Poly	50%
Will Clayton Carpenter win by KO or TKO?	Poly	50%
Will Jose Ochoa win by KO or TKO?	Poly	50%
Will the fight be won by submission?	Poly	50%
UFC 328: Clayton Carpenter vs. Jose Ochoa (Flyweight, Early Prelims)	Poly	39%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

50%

Top Probability

$29.35

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Clayton Carpenter" if Clayton Carpenter is officially declared the winner of the fight against Jose Ochoa at UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland, scheduled for May 9, 2026. It will resolve to "Jose Ochoa" if Jose Ochoa is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 23, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official in

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** UFC 328: Clayton Carpenter vs. Jose Ochoa (Flyweight, Early Prelims)
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** May 10, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Clayton Carpenter" if Clayton Carpenter is officially declared the winner of the fight against Jose Ochoa at UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland, scheduled for May 9, 2026.

It will resolve to "Jose Ochoa" if Jose Ochoa is officially declared the winner.

If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 23, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."

The resolution source for this market will be official in

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Clayton Carpenter" if Clayton Carpenter is officially declared the winner of the fight against Jose Ochoa at UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland, scheduled for May 9, 2026.

It will resolve to "Jose Ochoa" if Jose Ochoa is officially declared the winner.

If the fight is dec"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $29
* **Total Liquidity:** $12.5K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. UFC 328: Clayton Carpenter vs. Jose Ochoa (Flyweight, Early Prelims)
- **Polymarket** (End: May 10, 2026): Vol $29
  DATA: [Clayton Carpenter: 38.5% (0.0%)] | [Jose Ochoa: 61.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Fight to Go the Distance?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 10, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 10, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Clayton Carpenter win by KO or TKO?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 10, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Jose Ochoa win by KO or TKO?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 10, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will the fight be won by submission?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 10, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Over/Under 0.5 Rounds
- **Polymarket** (End: May 10, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Over/Under 1.5 Rounds
- **Polymarket** (End: May 10, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Over/Under 2.5 Rounds
- **Polymarket** (End: May 10, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports

UFC 328: Clayton Carpenter vs. Jose Ochoa (Flyweight, Early Prelims)

Volume$29.35

Markets9

9 of 9

Sort:

POLYMARKET

Fight to Go the Distance?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 49.5¢No 50.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

Fight to Go the Distance?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Clayton Carpenter and Jose Ochoa at UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland, scheduled for May 9, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Draws decided

POLYMARKET

Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 49.5¢No 50.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Clayton Carpenter and Jose Ochoa at UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland, scheduled for May 9, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw

POLYMARKET

Will Clayton Carpenter win by KO or TKO?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 49.5¢No 50.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

Will Clayton Carpenter win by KO or TKO?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clayton Carpenter defeats Jose Ochoa at UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland, scheduled for May 9, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualificat

POLYMARKET

Will Jose Ochoa win by KO or TKO?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 49.5¢No 50.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

Will Jose Ochoa win by KO or TKO?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jose Ochoa defeats Clayton Carpenter at UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland, scheduled for May 9, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualificat

POLYMARKET

Will the fight be won by submission?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 49.5¢No 50.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

Will the fight be won by submission?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Clayton Carpenter and Jose Ochoa at UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland, scheduled for May 9, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will reso

No related news found

Discussion

0 Comments

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

48¢

Polymarket

Arbitrage Opps

Cross-Platform

Embed Widget

Add this market to your website

Volume

Platforms

HTML

<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/_rtlPr" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="UFC 328: Clayton Carpenter vs. Jose Ochoa (Flyweight, Early Prelims)"></iframe>

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket

UFC 328: Clayton Carpenter vs. Jose Ochoa (Flyweight, Early Prelims)

UFC 328: Clayton Carpenter vs. Jose Ochoa (Flyweight, Early Prelims)

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Over/Under 0.5 Rounds

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

UFC 328: Clayton Carpenter vs. Jose Ochoa (Flyweight, Early Prelims)

Markets (9)

Fight to Go the Distance?

Fight to Go the Distance?

Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?

Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?

Will Clayton Carpenter win by KO or TKO?

Will Clayton Carpenter win by KO or TKO?

Will Jose Ochoa win by KO or TKO?

Will Jose Ochoa win by KO or TKO?

Will the fight be won by submission?

Will the fight be won by submission?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Market Insights

Share

Embed Widget

Trade This Market

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Over/Under 0.5 Rounds

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

UFC 328: Clayton Carpenter vs. Jose Ochoa (Flyweight, Early Prelims)

Fight to Go the Distance?

Fight to Go the Distance?

Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?

Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?

Will Clayton Carpenter win by KO or TKO?

Will Clayton Carpenter win by KO or TKO?

Will Jose Ochoa win by KO or TKO?

Will Jose Ochoa win by KO or TKO?

Will the fight be won by submission?

Will the fight be won by submission?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Share

Embed Widget