Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

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Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Zizou Bergs vs Carlos Alcaraz

Name: Shanghai Rolex Masters: Zizou Bergs vs Carlos Alcaraz
End: 2026-10-19T02:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$64.53K

Events

Markets

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Shanghai Rolex Masters: Zizou Bergs vs Carlos Alcaraz

Vol

$64.53K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $64.53K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $64.53K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

16 markets tracked

Set Handicap: Carlos Alcaraz (-1.5) vs Zizou Bergs (+1.5)

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(16)

Market	Platform	Price
Set Handicap: Carlos Alcaraz (-1.5) vs Zizou Bergs (+1.5)	Poly	73%
Bergs vs. Alcaraz: Set 1 Games Over/Under 8.5	Poly	68%
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Completed Match: Zizou Bergs vs Carlos Alcaraz	Poly	52%
Game Spread: Carlos Alcaraz (-5.5) vs Zizou Bergs (+5.5)	Poly	51%
Bergs vs. Alcaraz: Set 2 Games Over/Under 9.5	Poly	49%
Bergs vs. Alcaraz: Set 2 Games Over/Under 8.5	Poly	49%
Bergs vs. Alcaraz: Set 2 Games Over/Under 10.5	Poly	49%
Bergs vs. Alcaraz: Set 1 Games Over/Under 9.5	Poly	44%
Bergs vs. Alcaraz: Match Over/Under 21.5	Poly	38%
Bergs vs. Alcaraz: Match Over/Under 23.5	Poly	36%
Bergs vs. Alcaraz: Match Over/Under 22.5	Poly	31%
Set 2 Winner: Zizou Bergs vs Carlos Alcaraz	Poly	31%
Zizou Bergs vs. Carlos Alcaraz: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5	Poly	24%
Bergs vs. Alcaraz: Set 1 Games Over/Under 10.5	Poly	20%
Set 1 Winner: Zizou Bergs vs Carlos Alcaraz	Poly	15%
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Zizou Bergs vs Carlos Alcaraz	Poly	8%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

73%

Top Probability

$64.53K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market refers to the tennis match between Zizou Bergs and Carlos Alcaraz in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Zizou Bergs' if Zizou Bergs advances against Carlos Alcaraz. This market will resolve to 'Carlos Alcaraz' if Carlos Alcaraz advances against Zizou Bergs. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Shanghai Rolex Masters: Zizou Bergs vs Carlos Alcaraz
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 19, 2026 (8 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This market refers to the tennis match between Zizou Bergs and Carlos Alcaraz in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 10:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Zizou Bergs' if Zizou Bergs advances against Carlos Alcaraz.

This market will resolve to 'Carlos Alcaraz' if Carlos Alcaraz advances against Zizou Bergs.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market refers to the tennis match between Zizou Bergs and Carlos Alcaraz in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 10:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Zizou Bergs' if Zizou Bergs advances against Carlos Alcaraz.

This market will resolve to 'Carlos Alcara"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $64.5K
* **Total Liquidity:** $209.3K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.31)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Shanghai Rolex Masters: Zizou Bergs vs Carlos Alcaraz
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $45.4K
  DATA: [Zizou Bergs: 7.5% (0.0%)] | [Carlos Alcaraz: 92.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Shanghai Rolex Masters: Completed Match: Zizou Bergs vs Carlos Alcaraz
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 52.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 48.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Set 1 Winner: Zizou Bergs vs Carlos Alcaraz
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Zizou Bergs: 15.0% (0.0%)] | [Carlos Alcaraz: 85.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Set 2 Winner: Zizou Bergs vs Carlos Alcaraz
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Zizou Bergs: 30.5% (0.0%)] | [Carlos Alcaraz: 69.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Zizou Bergs vs. Carlos Alcaraz: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over 2.5: 24.0% (0.0%)] | [Under 2.5: 76.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Bergs vs. Alcaraz: Set 1 Games Over/Under 8.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 67.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 32.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Bergs vs. Alcaraz: Set 1 Games Over/Under 9.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 44.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 56.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Bergs vs. Alcaraz: Set 1 Games Over/Under 10.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 19.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 80.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Bergs vs. Alcaraz: Set 2 Games Over/Under 8.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Bergs vs. Alcaraz: Set 2 Games Over/Under 9.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Bergs vs. Alcaraz: Set 2 Games Over/Under 10.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Bergs vs. Alcaraz: Match Over/Under 21.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $20
  DATA: [Over: 37.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 62.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Bergs vs. Alcaraz: Match Over/Under 22.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $2
  DATA: [Over: 31.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 69.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Bergs vs. Alcaraz: Match Over/Under 23.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 36.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 64.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Set Handicap: Carlos Alcaraz (-1.5) vs Zizou Bergs (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $300
  DATA: [Carlos Alcaraz: 72.5% (0.0%)] | [Zizou Bergs: 27.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Game Spread: Carlos Alcaraz (-5.5) vs Zizou Bergs (+5.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $18.8K
  DATA: [Carlos Alcaraz: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [Zizou Bergs: 49.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Zizou Bergs vs Carlos Alcaraz

Volume$64.53K

Markets16

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POLYMARKET

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Completed Match: Zizou Bergs vs Carlos Alcaraz

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 52.0¢No 48.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Completed Match: Zizou Bergs vs Carlos Alcaraz

POLYMARKET

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Zizou Bergs vs Carlos Alcaraz

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Zizou Bergs vs Carlos Alcaraz

POLYMARKET

Set 1 Winner: Zizou Bergs vs Carlos Alcaraz

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Set 1 Winner: Zizou Bergs vs Carlos Alcaraz

POLYMARKET

Set 2 Winner: Zizou Bergs vs Carlos Alcaraz

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Set 2 Winner: Zizou Bergs vs Carlos Alcaraz

POLYMARKET

Zizou Bergs vs. Carlos Alcaraz: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Zizou Bergs vs. Carlos Alcaraz: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

This market refers to the tennis match between Zizou Bergs and Carlos Alcaraz in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. If the match is played to completion, this market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of sets played equals or exceeds 3, and t

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Oct 19, 2026, 2:00 AM UTC

Market Insights

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40¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/_z2V8Q" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Shanghai Rolex Masters: Zizou Bergs vs Carlos Alcaraz"></iframe>

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Shanghai Rolex Masters: Zizou Bergs vs Carlos Alcaraz

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Zizou Bergs vs Carlos Alcaraz

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Set Handicap: Carlos Alcaraz (-1.5) vs Zizou Bergs (+1.5)

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About This Event

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Zizou Bergs vs Carlos Alcaraz

Markets (16)

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Completed Match: Zizou Bergs vs Carlos Alcaraz

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Completed Match: Zizou Bergs vs Carlos Alcaraz

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Zizou Bergs vs Carlos Alcaraz

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Zizou Bergs vs Carlos Alcaraz

Set 1 Winner: Zizou Bergs vs Carlos Alcaraz

Set 1 Winner: Zizou Bergs vs Carlos Alcaraz

Set 2 Winner: Zizou Bergs vs Carlos Alcaraz

Set 2 Winner: Zizou Bergs vs Carlos Alcaraz

Zizou Bergs vs. Carlos Alcaraz: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

Zizou Bergs vs. Carlos Alcaraz: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Set Handicap: Carlos Alcaraz (-1.5) vs Zizou Bergs (+1.5)

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Zizou Bergs vs Carlos Alcaraz

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Completed Match: Zizou Bergs vs Carlos Alcaraz

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Completed Match: Zizou Bergs vs Carlos Alcaraz

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Zizou Bergs vs Carlos Alcaraz

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Zizou Bergs vs Carlos Alcaraz

Set 1 Winner: Zizou Bergs vs Carlos Alcaraz

Set 1 Winner: Zizou Bergs vs Carlos Alcaraz

Set 2 Winner: Zizou Bergs vs Carlos Alcaraz

Set 2 Winner: Zizou Bergs vs Carlos Alcaraz

Zizou Bergs vs. Carlos Alcaraz: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

Zizou Bergs vs. Carlos Alcaraz: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

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