Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
Total Volume
$10.65K
Events
1
Markets
23
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
Vol
$10.65K
|
Events
1
|
Markets
23
$10.65K
1
23
$10.65K
1
23
23 markets tracked
No data available
| Market | Platform | Price |
|---|---|---|
| Poly | 53% |
| Poly | 52% |
| Poly | 52% |
| Poly | 52% |
| Poly | 52% |
| Poly | 52% |
| Poly | 52% |
| Poly | 52% |
| Poly | 52% |
| Poly | 52% |
| Poly | 52% |
| Poly | 52% |
| Poly | 52% |
| Poly | 51% |
| Poly | 51% |
| Poly | 51% |
| Poly | 49% |
| Poly | 49% |
| Poly | 37% |
| Poly | 28% |
| Poly | 28% |
| Poly | 28% |
| Poly | 28% |
Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge
This market will resolve to "Bilibili Gaming" if Bilibili Gaming win against Anyone's Legend in the named LoL match in the LPL Split 1 Group Ascend, scheduled for January 17 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Anyone's Legend" if Anyone's Legend win against Bilibili Gaming in the LoL match. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution sour
Prediction markets currently price Bilibili Gaming (BLG) with a 53% implied probability to win Game 2 of their Best-of-3 series against Anyone's Legend (AL) in the LPL Group Ascend stage. This razor-thin margin indicates the market views this specific game as essentially a coin flip, with a negligible edge given to the favored BLG squad. With only $10,000 in total volume spread thinly across 23 related markets, this low-liquidity environment suggests the odds are highly sensitive to new information and may not reflect a deep, consensus view.
Two primary factors are compressing the odds toward an even split. First, the broader context of a Best-of-3 series is crucial. BLG is a perennial LPL title contender and the heavy favorite to win the overall series. The market for Game 2, however, is isolated and unpredictable. If BLG wins Game 1, they might experiment with compositions in Game 2. If AL wins Game 1, BLG would be under extreme pressure, making Game 2 highly volatile.
Second, Anyone's Legend, while historically a mid-to-lower table team, is known for being a volatile "giant killer" capable of taking games off top teams, especially in early-season matches where meta reads vary. This specific match occurs very early in the Spring Split, adding another layer of uncertainty regarding team form and preparation that prevents BLG's odds from drifting higher.
The single largest catalyst will be the result of Game 1 of this series, scheduled for January 17, 2026. A dominant BLG victory in Game 1 could see their Game 2 odds rise toward 60-65% on the expectation of a straight-series sweep. Conversely, an AL upset in Game 1 would likely make them the favorite for Game 2, potentially flipping the odds to 60% or higher in their favor as BLG faces elimination.
Significant pre-game news, such as an unexpected player substitution or champion availability issue for either team, could also cause sharp odds movement. Given the thin liquidity, even a modest-sized bet could shift the probability by several percentage points ahead of the match.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
This prediction market focuses on a professional League of Legends (LoL) match within the League of Legends Pro League (LPL), China's premier LoL esports competition. The specific contest is a Best-of-Three (BO3) series in the LPL Split 1 Group Ascend stage, featuring Bilibili Gaming (BLG) versus Anyone's Legend (AL), scheduled for January 17. The market resolves based on which team wins the series. The LPL is globally recognized as one of the most competitive and talent-rich regions in LoL esports, with its matches drawing millions of viewers. This particular match is significant as it occurs during the Group Ascend phase, a critical period where teams compete for placement in the upper bracket of the tournament, directly impacting their path to the playoffs and qualification for international events like the Mid-Season Invitational. Interest stems from BLG's status as a top-tier LPL contender and former World Championship finalist, while AL represents a perennial mid-table team capable of upsets, creating a classic matchup of established power versus ambitious challenger. The outcome influences team standings, fan engagement, and broader narratives about regional strength ahead of the 2024 competitive season.
The League of Legends Pro League (LPL) was founded in 2013 and has grown into a global esports powerhouse. Chinese teams have won three of the last six World Championships (2018, 2019, 2021), cementing the region's elite status. Bilibili Gaming entered the LPL in 2018 and steadily built a competitive roster, culminating in a transformative 2023 season. In 2023, BLG finished second in both the LPL Spring and Summer Splits, losing both finals to JD Gaming. They then made a historic run at the 2023 World Championship, defeating Gen.G and T1 from the LCK (Korea) before falling to T1 in the grand finals. This established BLG as China's second-best team and a genuine international contender. Anyone's Legend, formerly known as Rogue Warriors, rebranded in 2022. The organization has historically been a mid-to-lower table LPL team, often serving as a gatekeeper or spoiler but rarely challenging for titles. Their most notable recent achievement was a surprise run to the quarterfinals of the 2023 LPL Summer Playoffs. The head-to-head history favors BLG, who have won the majority of their encounters in recent years, but AL has occasionally taken games off them, demonstrating the potential for volatility.
This match matters significantly within the ecosystem of professional League of Legends and the broader esports industry. For the teams, the result directly impacts their standing in the LPL Group Ascend, affecting their seeding for the upcoming playoffs and their qualification chances for prestigious international tournaments. Strong LPL performance is also tied to substantial financial rewards from league stipends, sponsorships, and potential player valuation increases. For the LPL as a product, consistent competition and compelling narratives between top and middle-tier teams are vital for maintaining fan engagement and viewership, which drives advertising and media rights revenue. On a global scale, the performance of LPL teams like BLG is scrutinized as a barometer for the region's strength ahead of the 2024 World Championship. A loss for a top team can shift power rankings and influence meta perceptions worldwide. Furthermore, individual player performances in such matches can shape transfer market dynamics and career trajectories for both established stars and rising talents.
The match is scheduled for January 17 at 4:00 AM ET as part of the ongoing LPL Split 1 Group Ascend stage. Both teams have played other matches in the split prior to this meeting, providing current form indicators. BLG is expected to be near the top of the group standings, while AL's position will depend on their earlier results. Rosters are presumed stable with no last-minute announced substitutions. The meta-game, including which champion picks and strategies are strongest, will have evolved since the 2023 season, adding an element of adaptation to the pre-existing team dynamics. All attention is focused on this match as a key fixture in the group stage.
The Group Ascend is a stage within the LPL Split 1 regular season. Teams are divided into groups and play matches to determine seeding for the subsequent 'Group Stage' phase, which then leads into the playoffs. Performance here is crucial for securing a favorable playoff path.
The match will be broadcast live on official LPL channels, primarily on Huya and Douyu within China. International viewers can watch on platforms like the official LPL YouTube channel or Twitch, often with English commentary provided by the LPL broadcast team.
Yes, Anyone's Legend has defeated Bilibili Gaming in past LPL matches. While BLG holds the overall head-to-head advantage, AL secured a series victory against them during the 2023 LPL Summer Split regular season, proving they can win this matchup.
According to the prediction market rules, if the game is postponed, the market will remain open until the match is completed. The resolution will then be based on the outcome of the rescheduled game.
Based on recent history and roster strength, Bilibili Gaming are considered strong favorites. They were World Championship finalists in 2023 and have a more proven roster of star players compared to AL's mix of veterans and promising rookies.
A Best-of-Three series means the first team to win two individual games wins the match. Teams play up to three games, and the series ends immediately when one team reaches two wins. This is the standard format for LPL regular season matches.
Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.
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