ZCash Up or Down - October 20, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET
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ZCash Up or Down - October 20, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Saved contracts
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Reviewed equivalent pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 19, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zec-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ZEC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-19T09:00:05.974Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This is a single Polymarket contract in the Crypto category, titled "ZCash Up or Down - October 20, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET" [1]. The rules say it "will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down"" [1]. The reference is the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream from Chainlink, and the source states that the market concerns "the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ZEC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1].
The listed end time is 2026-10-20T08:10:00.000Z [1]. That corresponds to 4:10 AM Eastern on October 20, the close of the window named in the title. The listed end time describes when the window closes under the contract. It is not evidence of when the market was resolved, and the supplied evidence does not show a resolution.
Reading the snapshot
The saved prices were observed at 2026-10-19T09:00:05.974Z and retrieved at 2026-10-19T09:22:27.319Z [1]. Both figures describe the moment the data was captured, not the present. The provider status was recorded as active at that time [1].
At the observation time, the Up outcome was priced at 0.5 and the Down outcome at 0.5 [1]. These are snapshot prices from one provider. They are not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities. Because the two outcomes are equal in this snapshot, the data does not indicate that either side was favored at that moment. The volume figure, which the evidence does not report here, would not show liquidity or the number of traders in any case.
The sample is complete for this saved event. Coverage lists one total market, one included market, and no partial sample [1]. Because only one contract is present, there is no cross-contract comparison to make. A price difference between this contract and a similarly named contract on another platform would not by itself indicate an opportunity, since the settlement rules, time windows, and data sources may differ.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not show why the prices were equal, whether they have changed since retrieval, or how the window's TWAP compares with the starting price. It also does not show trading activity beyond the saved snapshot. Readers should check the provider's current page and the Chainlink data stream directly for any later figures, and should not treat this snapshot as a live reading.
References
- Polymarket: ZCash Up or Down - October 20, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-19T09:00:05.974Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 19, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a short-term binary contract on the price of ZCash (ZEC) against US dollars, listed on Polymarket under the title "ZCash Up or Down - October 20, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET" [1]. The contract covers a five-minute window, from 4:05 AM to 4:10 AM ET on October 20. The rules say it will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash over that window is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of the window, and to "Down" otherwise [1]. The rules specify the measuring instrument. The resolution source is the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream published by Chainlink, and the rules state that the market concerns this specific Chainlink stream and not other sources or spot markets [1]. A reader therefore cannot judge the outcome from a general ZCash price chart. The result depends on the Chainlink series and its own averaging over the window. The contract's listed end time is 2026-10-20T08:10:00Z [1]. That end time is the scheduled close of the contract, not an announced event. The snapshot in this entry was observed at 2026-10-19T09:00:05Z, before the measured window began, so it reflects the market before the contract had run and says nothing about how the window ended. At the time of observation, the saved market showed a price of 0.5 for "Up" and 0.5 for "Down" [1]. These are snapshot prices from a single observation. They are not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities of either outcome.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether the average ZEC/USD price over a specific five-minute window, as reported by one named Chainlink data stream, finishes at or above the price at the start of that window [1]. It is a narrow question about short-term price direction under a defined measurement method. Because the rules use a time-weighted average rather than a single closing price, the outcome depends on movement across the whole window, not only its endpoints [1]. The rules also limit the outcome to the named data stream, so other exchanges or spot prices do not decide it [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-19 at 09:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What determines whether this contract resolves Up or Down?
The contract resolves to "Up" if the TWAP of ZCash over the stated window is greater than or equal to the price at the start of that window, and to "Down" otherwise [1].
Which price source is used for resolution?
The resolution source is the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream from Chainlink, and the rules state that other sources or spot markets do not count [1].
Does the 0.5 price mean there is a 50 percent chance of an Up result?
No. The saved prices of 0.5 for Up and 0.5 for Down come from a single observation before the contract window opened [1]. They are snapshot prices, not verified probabilities or executable quotes.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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