Events
GroupPOLYMARKET
Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports
Bismarck State Mystics vs. North Dakota Fighting Hawks (W)
Total Volume
$44.35
Events
1
Markets
1
Bismarck State Mystics vs. North Dakota Fighting Hawks (W)
Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison
Polymarket
1
markets · $44.35
Kalshi
0
markets · $0.00
Price Spread
0.0%avg
max 0.0%
Arbitrage
0
of 0 cross-platform
Volume DistributionTotal: $44.35
100%
Polymarket leads
Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph
1 market tracked
Bismarck State Mystics vs. North Dakota Fighting Hawks (W)
No data available
Single-Platform Markets(1)
| Market | Platform | Price |
|---|---|---|
| Poly | 50% |
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge
50%
Top Probability
$44.35
Volume
1
Markets
1
Platforms
About This Event
This event is for the WBB game between Bismarck State Mystics and North Dakota Fighting Hawks on December 9 at 8:00 PM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Current Market Outlook
The prediction market currently prices this women's college basketball game at a perfect 50% probability for each outcome. This indicates the market views the contest as a pure toss-up, with no discernible favorite. The 50% price on Polymarket reflects complete uncertainty, equivalent to a coin flip. Notably, trading volume is negligible, showing a lack of committed capital or informed betting interest.
Key Factors Driving the Odds
The even pricing is primarily driven by the vast competitive gap between the teams. The North Dakota Fighting Hawks compete in NCAA Division I, while the Bismarck State Mystics are a junior college program from the NJCAA. Historically, matchups between DI and JUCO teams are extreme mismatches, typically resulting in decisive DI victories. The market's uncertainty likely stems from the specific market question's structure. It may be interpreting the 50% price as a reflection of the overwhelming probability of a North Dakota win, with the current price acting as a placeholder due to the imminent resolution and lack of liquidity, rather than a genuine assessment of a competitive game.
What Could Change These Odds
With the game scheduled for December 9 and this analysis being written post-event, the odds are effectively locked. For future analogous markets, the odds would only deviate from 50% with significant pre-game news, such as a key player suspension or injury report from the favored DI side. However, given the typical nature of these non-conference "guarantee games," where a lower-tier team is paid to play a far stronger opponent, the fundamental expectation of a lopsided result remains the constant. The 50% market price here is a function of low liquidity and an imminent resolution, not predictive uncertainty about the game's competitive balance.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.