Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Liga MX Apertura Top 8 Finishers

Total Volume

$4.07K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Liga MX Apertura Top 8 Finishers

Vol

$4.07K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $4.07K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $4.07K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

18 markets tracked

Will Cruz Azul finish in the top 8 in the Liga MX Apertura regular season?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(18)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Cruz Azul finish in the top 8 in the Liga MX Apertura regular season?	Kalshi	83%
Will Toluca finish in the top 8 in the Liga MX Apertura regular season?	Kalshi	49%
Will Tijuana de Caliente finish in the top 8 in the Liga MX Apertura regular season?	Kalshi	49%
Will Queretaro finish in the top 8 in the Liga MX Apertura regular season?	Kalshi	49%
Will Pumas UNAM finish in the top 8 in the Liga MX Apertura regular season?	Kalshi	49%
Will Puebla finish in the top 8 in the Liga MX Apertura regular season?	Kalshi	49%
Will Pachuca finish in the top 8 in the Liga MX Apertura regular season?	Kalshi	49%
Will Monterrey finish in the top 8 in the Liga MX Apertura regular season?	Kalshi	49%
Will Juarez finish in the top 8 in the Liga MX Apertura regular season?	Kalshi	49%
Will Guadalajara finish in the top 8 in the Liga MX Apertura regular season?	Kalshi	49%
Will America finish in the top 8 in the Liga MX Apertura regular season?	Kalshi	49%
Will Atlas finish in the top 8 in the Liga MX Apertura regular season?	Kalshi	48%
Will Tigres finish in the top 8 in the Liga MX Apertura regular season?	Kalshi	38%
Will Leon finish in the top 8 in the Liga MX Apertura regular season?	Kalshi	38%
Will San Luis finish in the top 8 in the Liga MX Apertura regular season?	Kalshi	38%
Will Atlante finish in the top 8 in the Liga MX Apertura regular season?	Kalshi	28%
Will Santos Laguna finish in the top 8 in the Liga MX Apertura regular season?	Kalshi	23%
Will Necaxa finish in the top 8 in the Liga MX Apertura regular season?	Kalshi	16%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

83%

Top Probability

$4.07K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Top 8 2026 Apertura If X is a top 8 finisher in the 2026 Liga MX Apertura regular season, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Liga MX Apertura Top 8 Finishers
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Top 8 2026 Apertura

If X is a top 8 finisher in the 2026 Liga MX Apertura regular season, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Toluca is a top 8 finisher in the 2026 Liga MX Apertura regular season, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the pro"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $4.1K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Toluca finish in the top 8 in the Liga MX Apertura regular season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 15, 2027): Vol $1
  DATA: [Yes: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Tijuana de Caliente finish in the top 8 in the Liga MX Apertura regular season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 15, 2027): Vol $1
  DATA: [Yes: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Tigres finish in the top 8 in the Liga MX Apertura regular season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 15, 2027): Vol $432
  DATA: [Yes: 38.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 62.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Santos Laguna finish in the top 8 in the Liga MX Apertura regular season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 15, 2027): Vol $544
  DATA: [Yes: 22.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 77.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Queretaro finish in the top 8 in the Liga MX Apertura regular season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 15, 2027): Vol $92
  DATA: [Yes: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Pumas UNAM finish in the top 8 in the Liga MX Apertura regular season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 15, 2027): Vol $5
  DATA: [Yes: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Puebla finish in the top 8 in the Liga MX Apertura regular season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 15, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Pachuca finish in the top 8 in the Liga MX Apertura regular season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 15, 2027): Vol $1
  DATA: [Yes: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Necaxa finish in the top 8 in the Liga MX Apertura regular season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 15, 2027): Vol $171
  DATA: [Yes: 16.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 84.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Monterrey finish in the top 8 in the Liga MX Apertura regular season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 15, 2027): Vol $21
  DATA: [Yes: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Leon finish in the top 8 in the Liga MX Apertura regular season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 15, 2027): Vol $1.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 37.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 62.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Juarez finish in the top 8 in the Liga MX Apertura regular season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 15, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Cruz Azul finish in the top 8 in the Liga MX Apertura regular season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 15, 2027): Vol $28
  DATA: [Yes: 83.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 17.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Guadalajara finish in the top 8 in the Liga MX Apertura regular season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 15, 2027): Vol $2
  DATA: [Yes: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Atlas finish in the top 8 in the Liga MX Apertura regular season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 15, 2027): Vol $592
  DATA: [Yes: 48.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will San Luis finish in the top 8 in the Liga MX Apertura regular season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 15, 2027): Vol $88
  DATA: [Yes: 37.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 62.5% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will America finish in the top 8 in the Liga MX Apertura regular season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 15, 2027): Vol $3
  DATA: [Yes: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Atlante finish in the top 8 in the Liga MX Apertura regular season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 15, 2027): Vol $794
  DATA: [Yes: 28.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 72.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

Liga MX Apertura Top 8 Finishers

Volume$4.07K

Markets18

18 of 18

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KALSHI

Will Cruz Azul finish in the top 8 in the Liga MX Apertura regular season?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 83.0¢No 17.0¢

KALSHISports

Will Cruz Azul finish in the top 8 in the Liga MX Apertura regular season?

If Cruz Azul is a top 8 finisher in the 2026 Liga MX Apertura regular season, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the

KALSHI

Will Toluca finish in the top 8 in the Liga MX Apertura regular season?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 49.0¢No 51.0¢

KALSHISports

Will Toluca finish in the top 8 in the Liga MX Apertura regular season?

If Toluca is a top 8 finisher in the 2026 Liga MX Apertura regular season, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the pro

KALSHI

Will Tijuana de Caliente finish in the top 8 in the Liga MX Apertura regular season?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 49.0¢No 51.0¢

KALSHISports

Will Tijuana de Caliente finish in the top 8 in the Liga MX Apertura regular season?

If Tijuana de Caliente is a top 8 finisher in the 2026 Liga MX Apertura regular season, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand name

KALSHI

Will Queretaro finish in the top 8 in the Liga MX Apertura regular season?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 49.0¢No 51.0¢

KALSHISports

Will Queretaro finish in the top 8 in the Liga MX Apertura regular season?

If Queretaro is a top 8 finisher in the 2026 Liga MX Apertura regular season, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the

KALSHI

Will Pumas UNAM finish in the top 8 in the Liga MX Apertura regular season?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 49.0¢No 51.0¢

KALSHISports

Will Pumas UNAM finish in the top 8 in the Liga MX Apertura regular season?

If Pumas UNAM is a top 8 finisher in the 2026 Liga MX Apertura regular season, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the

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Average Yes Price

44¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/aIatT2" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Liga MX Apertura Top 8 Finishers"></iframe>

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Will Cruz Azul finish in the top 8 in the Liga MX Apertura regular season?

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About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

Liga MX Apertura Top 8 Finishers

Markets (18)

Will Cruz Azul finish in the top 8 in the Liga MX Apertura regular season?

Will Cruz Azul finish in the top 8 in the Liga MX Apertura regular season?

Will Toluca finish in the top 8 in the Liga MX Apertura regular season?

Will Toluca finish in the top 8 in the Liga MX Apertura regular season?

Will Tijuana de Caliente finish in the top 8 in the Liga MX Apertura regular season?

Will Tijuana de Caliente finish in the top 8 in the Liga MX Apertura regular season?

Will Queretaro finish in the top 8 in the Liga MX Apertura regular season?

Will Queretaro finish in the top 8 in the Liga MX Apertura regular season?

Will Pumas UNAM finish in the top 8 in the Liga MX Apertura regular season?

Will Pumas UNAM finish in the top 8 in the Liga MX Apertura regular season?

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will Cruz Azul finish in the top 8 in the Liga MX Apertura regular season?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Liga MX Apertura Top 8 Finishers

Will Cruz Azul finish in the top 8 in the Liga MX Apertura regular season?

Will Cruz Azul finish in the top 8 in the Liga MX Apertura regular season?

Will Toluca finish in the top 8 in the Liga MX Apertura regular season?

Will Toluca finish in the top 8 in the Liga MX Apertura regular season?

Will Tijuana de Caliente finish in the top 8 in the Liga MX Apertura regular season?

Will Tijuana de Caliente finish in the top 8 in the Liga MX Apertura regular season?

Will Queretaro finish in the top 8 in the Liga MX Apertura regular season?

Will Queretaro finish in the top 8 in the Liga MX Apertura regular season?

Will Pumas UNAM finish in the top 8 in the Liga MX Apertura regular season?

Will Pumas UNAM finish in the top 8 in the Liga MX Apertura regular season?

Related News & Context

Discussion

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