Atlanta vs Golden State: 2nd Quarter Total
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Atlanta vs Golden State: 2nd Quarter Total
K 0 contracts
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
7
Saved contracts
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Reviewed equivalent pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 18, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
About This Event
ATL vs GS (Oct 19) If the teams in the game collectively score more than X points in the 2nd quarter of the Atlanta vs Golden State women's Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished, within 2 days. If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than 2 days out, all markets will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.
This saved analysis is awaiting a background update. Its prices and claims may be outdated; compare them with the dated market data above.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-16T21:00:06.041Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The supplied event is "Atlanta vs Golden State: 2nd Quarter Total," listed on Kalshi [1]. Each market asks whether the teams in the game will collectively score more than a stated number of points in the second quarter. The rules state: "If the teams in the game collectively score more than X points in the 2nd quarter of the Atlanta vs Golden State women's Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes" [1]. The seven saved markets differ only in their thresholds, from over 27.5 to over 45.5 points.
The rules also address schedule changes. If the game is postponed or delayed, "the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished, within 2 days" [1]. If the game is cancelled and not played, or is rescheduled more than 2 days out, "all markets will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules" [1]. The rules also say the market "will close and expire early if the event occurs" [1].
Reading the snapshot
The provider observed these prices at 2026-10-16T21:00:06Z, and the evidence was retrieved at 2026-10-17T01:56:23Z [1]. These are historical observations, not current quotes. Each market shows a listed end date of 2026-10-19T19:30:00Z, but the event-level end time is not supplied, and the end date is not an announced game date.
Yes prices fall as thresholds rise. The Over 27.5 market shows Yes at 0.835 and No at 0.165, while the Over 45.5 market shows Yes at 0.21 and No at 0.79. Each Yes and No pair sums to 1.0 within the snapshot. These are displayed snapshot prices, not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities. The evidence does not show trading volume, liquidity, or trader counts, so no conclusions about depth are possible.
The seven markets come from one provider event, and all of them are included. The sample is not marked partial. The sample warning, however, states that the saved markets "does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome." Readers should not infer anything about thresholds that are not listed.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain why any price is where it is. It does not include the current game status, any postponement notice, or the final second-quarter score. Because the rules depend on a postponement or cancellation that is not confirmed in the evidence, resolution timing remains uncertain. Prices from other platforms are not supplied, and different wording or close times on other contracts would not be directly comparable to these figures.
References
- Kalshi: Atlanta vs Golden State: 2nd Quarter Total. Provider data observed 2026-10-16T21:00:06.041Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 17, 2026 UTCOverview
This market is a Kalshi contract on the second-quarter point total for a women's professional basketball game between Atlanta and the Golden State Valkyries, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 [1]. The contract resolves to Yes if the two teams combined score more than a stated threshold of points in the second quarter [1]. The saved event lists several thresholds, each as its own market, so the same game produces a series of Over and Under style questions at different point levels [1]. The Golden State Valkyries are a team in the Women's National Basketball Association (WNBA), where they compete as a member of the Western Conference [2]. The team plays home games at Chase Center in San Francisco, while its practice facility and front office are in Oakland [2]. The source reviewed for this article does not describe the Atlanta team, so the article does not characterize it. The contract's wording ties the market to a specific scheduled date, but that date is a rule reference, not confirmation that the game was played on that day [1]. The listed end time for the event is not supplied in the saved rules [1].
Historical Context
The Golden State Valkyries began play in the 2025 season and are a member of the WNBA's Western Conference [2]. The source does not provide further history of the franchise or of the matchup between these two teams.
Why It Matters
The contract measures one narrow piece of a game: the combined points scored by both teams during the second quarter [1]. Each listed threshold asks whether that combined total will exceed a specific number. The saved thresholds run from 27.5 to 45.5 points in the rules and market titles [1]. Because the contract is tied only to the second quarter, it does not measure the full game score or the final result. The rules also explain what happens if the game changes. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market stays open and closes after the rescheduled game finishes, within 2 days [1]. If the game is not played, or is rescheduled more than 2 days out, the rules say all markets resolve to a fair price under the contract terms [1]. The rules also say the market closes and expires early if the event occurs [1]. Kalshi states it is not affiliated with the governing league [1]. The saved prices show how the market was priced at one moment. For the threshold of over 27.5 points, the Yes price was 0.835 and the No price was 0.165 [1]. For over 45.5 points, the Yes price was 0.21 and the No price was 0.79 [1]. These figures are snapshots of listed prices. They are not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities of the outcome. A difference between prices on separate contracts does not by itself indicate an opportunity, because each contract has its own rules and thresholds.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-16 at 21:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What does a Yes result mean on this contract?
According to the saved rules, the market resolves to Yes if the teams in the game collectively score more than the stated number of points in the second quarter of the game originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 [1].
What happens if the game is postponed?
If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled game has finished, within 2 days [1]. If the game is not played or is rescheduled further than 2 days out, all markets resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules [1].
Does this contract cover the full game?
No. The contract is written around the second quarter total for the combined teams, not the final score or game winner [1].
Are all possible point totals included in the saved data?
The saved event includes seven markets, with thresholds from over 27.5 to over 45.5 points [1]. The saved data states that all markets for this event are included, but it does not establish that every possible real-world outcome is listed [1].
What do the listed prices show?
The listed prices are snapshots of Yes and No prices for each threshold at the time they were recorded [1]. They are not executable quotes or verified probabilities, and they do not reflect volume or the number of traders [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Reviewed equivalent pairs
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No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
