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Event GroupPOLYMARKETEconomy

India Annual Inflation 2026

Name: India Annual Inflation 2026
End: 2027-01-12T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$59.58K

Events

Markets

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India Annual Inflation 2026

Vol

$59.58K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $59.58K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $59.58K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

7 markets tracked

Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 4.50%?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(7)

Market	Platform	Price
Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 4.50%?	Poly	67%
Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.75% and 4.49%?	Poly	30%
Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be less than 0.75%?	Poly	8%
Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 1.50% and 2.24%?	Poly	7%
Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.00% and 3.74%?	Poly	7%
Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 0.75% and 1.49%?	Poly	4%
Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.25% and 2.99%?	Poly	3%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

67%

Top Probability

$59.58K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI). This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month. The

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Thursday, July 16, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** India Annual Inflation 2026
**Category:** Economy | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 12, 2027 (180 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).

This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.

The

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).

This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) ov"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $59.6K
* **Total Liquidity:** $4.0K
* **Activity Level:** High Turnover (Vol/Liq Ratio: 14.81)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be less than 0.75%?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 12, 2027): Vol $747
  DATA: [Yes: 7.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.25% and 2.99%?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 12, 2027): Vol $23.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 0.75% and 1.49%?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 12, 2027): Vol $499
  DATA: [Yes: 3.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.3% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.00% and 3.74%?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 12, 2027): Vol $497
  DATA: [Yes: 7.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 1.50% and 2.24%?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 12, 2027): Vol $410
  DATA: [Yes: 7.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.7% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.75% and 4.49%?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 12, 2027): Vol $22.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 29.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 70.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 4.50%?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 12, 2027): Vol $11.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 67.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 33.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETEconomy