Will Taylor Swift attend the Met Gala? | PredictPedia

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Event GroupPOLYMARKETCulture

Will Taylor Swift attend the Met Gala?

Name: Will Taylor Swift attend the Met Gala?
End: 2026-05-04T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$29.75

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Will Taylor Swift attend the Met Gala?

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Polymarket

markets · $29.75

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $29.75

100%

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1 market tracked

Will Taylor Swift attend the Met Gala?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(1)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Taylor Swift attend the Met Gala?	Poly	48%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

48%

Top Probability

$29.75

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

The 2026 Met Gala is scheduled for May 4, 2026. This year's theme is "Costume Art". This market will resolve to "Yes" if Taylor Swift attends the 2026 Met Gala. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the event is canceled or postponed beyond May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Attending the event is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the event. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, March 29, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Will Taylor Swift attend the Met Gala?
**Category:** Culture | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** May 4, 2026 (36 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** The 2026 Met Gala is scheduled for May 4, 2026. This year's theme is "Costume Art". 

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Taylor Swift attends the 2026 Met Gala. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the event is canceled or postponed beyond May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Attending the event is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the event.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"The 2026 Met Gala is scheduled for May 4, 2026. This year's theme is "Costume Art". 

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Taylor Swift attends the 2026 Met Gala. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the event is canceled or postponed beyond May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will re"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $30
* **Total Liquidity:** $144
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.21)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Taylor Swift attend the Met Gala?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $30
  DATA: [Yes: 47.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Next Market Closes

35d 11h remaining

May 04, 2026 12:00 AM

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

48¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/aQK4mj" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Will Taylor Swift attend the Met Gala?"></iframe>

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Will Taylor Swift attend the Met Gala?

Will Taylor Swift attend the Met Gala?

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Will Taylor Swift attend the Met Gala?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)