Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC. This snapshot is older than six hours. Check the provider for current prices and availability.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIClimate and Weather

Lowest temperature in Newark on Oct 11, 2026?

Total Volume

$14.02K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Lowest temperature in Newark on Oct 11, 2026?

Vol

$14.02K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $14.02K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $14.02K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

6 markets tracked

Will the minimum temperature be 54-55° on Oct 11, 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(6)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the minimum temperature be 54-55° on Oct 11, 2026?	Kalshi	62%
Will the minimum temperature be 52-53° on Oct 11, 2026?	Kalshi	11%
Will the minimum temperature be 50-51° on Oct 11, 2026?	Kalshi	1%
Will the minimum temperature be >57° on Oct 11, 2026?	Kalshi	1%
Will the minimum temperature be <50° on Oct 11, 2026?	Kalshi	1%
Will the minimum temperature be 56-57° on Oct 11, 2026?	Kalshi	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

62%

Top Probability

$14.02K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

On Oct 11, 2026 If the minimum temperature recorded at Newark, CLIEWR, for Oct 11, 2026, is X than Y fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes. Not all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the Weather Company. Reading weather data Preliminary Weather Company data may be subjec

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Lowest temperature in Newark on Oct 11, 2026?
**Category:** Climate and Weather | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** On Oct 11, 2026

If the minimum temperature recorded at Newark, CLIEWR, for Oct 11, 2026, is X than Y fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes. Not all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the Weather Company. Reading weather data Preliminary Weather Company data may be subjec

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the minimum temperature recorded at Newark (CLIEWR) for Oct 11, 2026, is greater than 57° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Not all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $14.0K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will the minimum temperature be >57° on Oct 11, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $1.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the minimum temperature be <50° on Oct 11, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $173
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the minimum temperature be 56-57° on Oct 11, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $11.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will the minimum temperature be 54-55° on Oct 11, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $484
  DATA: [Yes: 62.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 38.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will the minimum temperature be 52-53° on Oct 11, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $416
  DATA: [Yes: 11.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will the minimum temperature be 50-51° on Oct 11, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $178
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIClimate and Weather

Lowest temperature in Newark on Oct 11, 2026?

Volume$14.02K

Markets6

6 of 6

Sort:

KALSHI

Will the minimum temperature be 54-55° on Oct 11, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 62.0¢No 38.0¢

KALSHIClimate

CLOSING SOON

Will the minimum temperature be 54-55° on Oct 11, 2026?

If the minimum temperature recorded at Newark (CLIEWR) for Oct 11, 2026, is between 54-55° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Not all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your d

KALSHI

Will the minimum temperature be 52-53° on Oct 11, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 11.0¢No 89.0¢

KALSHIClimate

CLOSING SOON

Will the minimum temperature be 52-53° on Oct 11, 2026?

If the minimum temperature recorded at Newark (CLIEWR) for Oct 11, 2026, is between 52-53° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Not all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your d

KALSHI

Will the minimum temperature be 50-51° on Oct 11, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 1.0¢No 99.0¢

KALSHIClimate

CLOSING SOON

Will the minimum temperature be 50-51° on Oct 11, 2026?

If the minimum temperature recorded at Newark (CLIEWR) for Oct 11, 2026, is between 50-51° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Not all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your d

KALSHI

Will the minimum temperature be >57° on Oct 11, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 0.5¢No 99.5¢

KALSHIClimate

CLOSING SOON

Will the minimum temperature be >57° on Oct 11, 2026?

If the minimum temperature recorded at Newark (CLIEWR) for Oct 11, 2026, is greater than 57° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Not all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your

KALSHI

Will the minimum temperature be <50° on Oct 11, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 0.5¢No 99.5¢

KALSHIClimate

CLOSING SOON

Will the minimum temperature be <50° on Oct 11, 2026?

If the minimum temperature recorded at Newark (CLIEWR) for Oct 11, 2026, is less than 50° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Not all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your de

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Will the minimum temperature be 54-55° on Oct 11, 2026?

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Lowest temperature in Newark on Oct 11, 2026?

Markets (6)

Will the minimum temperature be 54-55° on Oct 11, 2026?

Will the minimum temperature be 54-55° on Oct 11, 2026?

Will the minimum temperature be 52-53° on Oct 11, 2026?

Will the minimum temperature be 52-53° on Oct 11, 2026?

Will the minimum temperature be 50-51° on Oct 11, 2026?

Will the minimum temperature be 50-51° on Oct 11, 2026?

Will the minimum temperature be >57° on Oct 11, 2026?

Will the minimum temperature be >57° on Oct 11, 2026?

Will the minimum temperature be <50° on Oct 11, 2026?

Will the minimum temperature be <50° on Oct 11, 2026?

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Will the minimum temperature be 54-55° on Oct 11, 2026?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Lowest temperature in Newark on Oct 11, 2026?

Will the minimum temperature be 54-55° on Oct 11, 2026?

Will the minimum temperature be 54-55° on Oct 11, 2026?

Will the minimum temperature be 52-53° on Oct 11, 2026?

Will the minimum temperature be 52-53° on Oct 11, 2026?

Will the minimum temperature be 50-51° on Oct 11, 2026?

Will the minimum temperature be 50-51° on Oct 11, 2026?

Will the minimum temperature be >57° on Oct 11, 2026?

Will the minimum temperature be >57° on Oct 11, 2026?

Will the minimum temperature be <50° on Oct 11, 2026?

Will the minimum temperature be <50° on Oct 11, 2026?

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