GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEconomics

Mexico unemployment rate in June

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Mexico unemployment rate in June

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Polymarket

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Kalshi

markets · $0.00

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0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

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9 markets tracked

Mexico unemployment rate in June 2026? (Above 2.5%)

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(9)

Market	Platform	Price
Mexico unemployment rate in June 2026? (Above 2.5%)	Kalshi	94%
Mexico unemployment rate in June 2026? (Above 2.6%)	Kalshi	92%
Mexico unemployment rate in June 2026? (Above 2.4%)	Kalshi	85%
Mexico unemployment rate in June 2026? (Above 2.7%)	Kalshi	57%
Mexico unemployment rate in June 2026? (Above 2.3%)	Kalshi	51%
Mexico unemployment rate in June 2026? (Above 3.1%)	Kalshi	50%
Mexico unemployment rate in June 2026? (Above 3.0%)	Kalshi	49%
Mexico unemployment rate in June 2026? (Above 2.8%)	Kalshi	40%
Mexico unemployment rate in June 2026? (Above 2.9%)	Kalshi	36%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

94%

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About This Event

Mexico UE Jun 2026 If the Mexico unemployment rate is above X for June 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Mexico unemployment rate in June
**Category:** Economics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Mexico UE Jun 2026

If the Mexico unemployment rate is above X for June 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the Mexico unemployment rate is above 3.1% for June 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs."

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Mexico unemployment rate in June 2026? (Above 3.1%)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Mexico unemployment rate in June 2026? (Above 3.0%)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Mexico unemployment rate in June 2026? (Above 2.9%)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 36.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 64.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Mexico unemployment rate in June 2026? (Above 2.8%)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 39.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 60.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Mexico unemployment rate in June 2026? (Above 2.7%)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 57.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 42.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Mexico unemployment rate in June 2026? (Above 2.6%)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 91.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 8.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Mexico unemployment rate in June 2026? (Above 2.5%)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 93.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 6.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Mexico unemployment rate in June 2026? (Above 2.4%)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 84.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 15.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Mexico unemployment rate in June 2026? (Above 2.3%)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEconomics

Mexico unemployment rate in June

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KALSHI

Mexico unemployment rate in June 2026? (Above 2.5%)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 93.5¢No 6.5¢

KALSHIEconomics

Mexico unemployment rate in June 2026? (Above 2.5%)

If the Mexico unemployment rate is above 2.5% for June 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

KALSHI

Mexico unemployment rate in June 2026? (Above 2.6%)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 91.5¢No 8.5¢

KALSHIEconomics

Mexico unemployment rate in June 2026? (Above 2.6%)

If the Mexico unemployment rate is above 2.6% for June 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

KALSHI

Mexico unemployment rate in June 2026? (Above 2.4%)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 84.5¢No 15.5¢

KALSHIEconomics

Mexico unemployment rate in June 2026? (Above 2.4%)

If the Mexico unemployment rate is above 2.4% for June 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

KALSHI

Mexico unemployment rate in June 2026? (Above 2.7%)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 57.5¢No 42.5¢

KALSHIEconomics

Mexico unemployment rate in June 2026? (Above 2.7%)

If the Mexico unemployment rate is above 2.7% for June 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

KALSHI

Mexico unemployment rate in June 2026? (Above 2.3%)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 50.5¢No 49.5¢

KALSHIEconomics

Mexico unemployment rate in June 2026? (Above 2.3%)

If the Mexico unemployment rate is above 2.3% for June 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

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Mexico unemployment rate in June

Mexico unemployment rate in June

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Mexico unemployment rate in June 2026? (Above 2.5%)

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Events (1)

Mexico unemployment rate in June

Markets (9)

Mexico unemployment rate in June 2026? (Above 2.5%)

Mexico unemployment rate in June 2026? (Above 2.5%)

Mexico unemployment rate in June 2026? (Above 2.6%)

Mexico unemployment rate in June 2026? (Above 2.6%)

Mexico unemployment rate in June 2026? (Above 2.4%)

Mexico unemployment rate in June 2026? (Above 2.4%)

Mexico unemployment rate in June 2026? (Above 2.7%)

Mexico unemployment rate in June 2026? (Above 2.7%)

Mexico unemployment rate in June 2026? (Above 2.3%)

Mexico unemployment rate in June 2026? (Above 2.3%)

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Mexico unemployment rate in June 2026? (Above 2.5%)

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Mexico unemployment rate in June

Mexico unemployment rate in June 2026? (Above 2.5%)

Mexico unemployment rate in June 2026? (Above 2.5%)

Mexico unemployment rate in June 2026? (Above 2.6%)

Mexico unemployment rate in June 2026? (Above 2.6%)

Mexico unemployment rate in June 2026? (Above 2.4%)

Mexico unemployment rate in June 2026? (Above 2.4%)

Mexico unemployment rate in June 2026? (Above 2.7%)

Mexico unemployment rate in June 2026? (Above 2.7%)

Mexico unemployment rate in June 2026? (Above 2.3%)

Mexico unemployment rate in June 2026? (Above 2.3%)

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