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Events
GroupKALSHI

Who will the House impeach first before 2028?

Who will the House impeach first before 2028?
Vol

K 587.16 contracts

|
Events

1

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Markets

7

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 24, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Pete Hegseth at 38.5%.

Kalshi

  1. Pete Hegseth38.5%
  2. None of these36.5%
  3. Donald Trump17.5%
  4. Todd Blanche4.5%
  5. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.3.5%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

K 587.16 contracts

Reported volume ยท provider units

7

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 24, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC

About This Event

Before Jan 1, 2028 If X is the first of the officials named in this event to be impeached by the U.S. House of Representatives after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Impeached means the U.S. House of Representatives adopts at least one article of impeachment against the official in a floor vote. Committee votes, and resolutions that are tabled, referred or defeated, do not count. The first official is the one against whom the House first adopts an article of impeachment after Issuance. If a single vote impeaches more than one named official, the market will resolve to 1 / X where X is the number of named officials impeached by that vote. Only the six officials named in this event are compared, and no officials will be added to this event. The impeachment of an official who is not named in this event does not resolve any market, and the first named official the House impeaches afterwards is still the first official for this market. None of these resolves to Yes if, after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, the House does not impeach any of the six officials named in this event. It resolves to No as soon as the House impeaches one of them after Issuance. Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications, from before Issuance, do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources, e.g., wire services, only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

KalshiPolitics
LA-05 House election: Dan McKay vote percent (1st Round)

LA-05 House election: Dan McKay vote percent (1st Round)

K 31.4K contracts
Will Dan McKay receive at least 2% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 LA-05 House election?Yes 97%
Will Dan McKay receive at least 4% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 LA-05 House election?Yes 95.5%
Will Dan McKay receive at least 5% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 LA-05 House election?Yes 89%
+15 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
LA-03 House election: Caleb Walker vote percent (1st Round)

LA-03 House election: Caleb Walker vote percent (1st Round)

K 22.0K contracts
Will Caleb Walker receive at least 2% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 LA-03 House election?Yes 97%
Will Caleb Walker receive at least 4% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 LA-03 House election?Yes 96%
Will Caleb Walker receive at least 6% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 LA-03 House election?Yes 82%
+14 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
LA-04 House election: Matt Gromlich vote percent (1st Round)

LA-04 House election: Matt Gromlich vote percent (1st Round)

K 17.9K contracts
Will Matt Gromlich receive at least 4% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 LA-04 House election?Yes 97.5%
Will Matt Gromlich receive at least 6% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 LA-04 House election?Yes 93%
Will Matt Gromlich receive at least 8% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 LA-04 House election?Yes 73%
+13 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
LA-04 House election: Mike Johnson vote percent (1st Round)

LA-04 House election: Mike Johnson vote percent (1st Round)

K 3.5K contracts
Will Mike Johnson receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 LA-04 House election?Yes 93%
Will Mike Johnson receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 LA-04 House election?Yes 89%
Will Mike Johnson receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 LA-04 House election?Yes 83%
+10 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Which of these Democrats will be the first to announce a run for President?

Which of these Democrats will be the first to announce a run for President?

PM $14.3K
Will Pete Buttigieg be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?Yes 35%
Will Josh Shapiro be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?Yes 23.1%
Will Rahm Emanuel be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?Yes 21%
+8 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2029 UTC
KalshiPolitics
GA-03 House election: Maura Keller vote percent (1st Round)

GA-03 House election: Maura Keller vote percent (1st Round)

K 0 contracts
Will Maura Keller receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 GA-03 House election?Yes 97.5%
Will Maura Keller receive at least 28% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 GA-03 House election?Yes 97.5%
Will Maura Keller receive at least 32% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 GA-03 House election?Yes 97%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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Same-question pairs

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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

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