Market snapshot: Oct 24, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

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Florida Governor: margin of victory

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K 674 contracts

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Florida Governor: margin of victory

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K 674 contracts

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Current odds

Snapshot from Oct 24, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC

As of Oct 24, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Byron Donalds, 4-6% at 12%.

Kalshi

Byron Donalds, 4-6%12%
Byron Donalds, 2-4%10%
Byron Donalds, 6-8%9%
Byron Donalds, 0-2%9%
Byron Donalds, 8-10%8%

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12 markets tracked

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Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Will the margin of victory for Byron Donalds in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Florida be between 4% and 6%?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(12)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the margin of victory for Byron Donalds in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Florida be between 4% and 6%?	Kalshi	12.0%
Will the margin of victory for Byron Donalds in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Florida be between 2% and 4%?	Kalshi	10.0%
Will the margin of victory for Byron Donalds in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Florida be between 6% and 8%?	Kalshi	9.0%
Will the margin of victory for Byron Donalds in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Florida be between 0% and 2%?	Kalshi	9.0%
Will the margin of victory for Byron Donalds in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Florida be between 8% and 10%?	Kalshi	8.0%
Will the margin of victory for David Jolly in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Florida be between 0% and 2%?	Kalshi	6.5%
Will the margin of victory for Byron Donalds in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Florida be between 10% and 12%?	Kalshi	6.0%
Will the margin of victory for David Jolly in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Florida be between 2% and 4%?	Kalshi	4.5%
Will the margin of victory for David Jolly in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Florida be at least 4%?	Kalshi	4.0%
Will the margin of victory for Byron Donalds in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Florida be between 12% and 14%?	Kalshi	4.0%
Will the margin of victory for Byron Donalds in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Florida be at least 16%?	Kalshi	3.0%
Will the margin of victory for Byron Donalds in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Florida be between 14% and 16%?	Kalshi	3.0%

Rules & Resolution

Saved matching review

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K 674 contracts

Reported volume · provider units

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Source snapshot: Oct 24, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC

About This Event

On Nov 3, 2026 If the margin of victory for David Jolly in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Florida is X Y Z 4%, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory is the vote share received by David Jolly minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind David Jolly if David Jolly wins, or the candidate that finishes first if David Jolly loses. If David Jolly wins, the margin will be positive; if David Jolly loses, the margin will be negative; if David Jolly ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If David Jolly runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Event: Florida Governor: margin of victory
Source snapshot: Oct 24, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Reported event volume (provider units): K 674 contracts
Coverage: 12 of 12 saved contracts included.
Prices are saved observations, not executable quotes. Listed close dates do not promise settlement or payout time.

Contract: Will the margin of victory for David Jolly in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Florida be at least 4%?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXGENERALMOV-GOVPARTYFL-26-DJOL-P4; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgeneralmov-govpartyfl-26
Observed: Oct 24, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 86 contracts
Outcome Yes: 4.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 96.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the margin of victory for David Jolly in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Florida is at or above 4%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by David Jolly minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind David Jolly if David Jolly wins, or the candidate that finishes first if David Jolly loses. If David Jolly wins, the margin will be positive; if David Jolly loses, the margin will be negative; if David Jolly ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.

Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If David Jolly runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Contract: Will the margin of victory for David Jolly in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Florida be between 2% and 4%?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXGENERALMOV-GOVPARTYFL-26-DJOL-P3; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgeneralmov-govpartyfl-26
Observed: Oct 24, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 49 contracts
Outcome Yes: 4.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 95.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the margin of victory for David Jolly in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Florida is within 2% to 4%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by David Jolly minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind David Jolly if David Jolly wins, or the candidate that finishes first if David Jolly loses. If David Jolly wins, the margin will be positive; if David Jolly loses, the margin will be negative; if David Jolly ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.

Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If David Jolly runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Contract: Will the margin of victory for David Jolly in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Florida be between 0% and 2%?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXGENERALMOV-GOVPARTYFL-26-DJOL-P1; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgeneralmov-govpartyfl-26
Observed: Oct 24, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 49 contracts
Outcome Yes: 6.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 93.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the margin of victory for David Jolly in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Florida is within 0% to 2%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by David Jolly minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind David Jolly if David Jolly wins, or the candidate that finishes first if David Jolly loses. If David Jolly wins, the margin will be positive; if David Jolly loses, the margin will be negative; if David Jolly ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.

Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If David Jolly runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Contract: Will the margin of victory for Byron Donalds in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Florida be between 8% and 10%?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXGENERALMOV-GOVPARTYFL-26-BDON-P9; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgeneralmov-govpartyfl-26
Observed: Oct 24, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 49 contracts
Outcome Yes: 8.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 92.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the margin of victory for Byron Donalds in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Florida is within 8% to 10%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Byron Donalds minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Byron Donalds if Byron Donalds wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Byron Donalds loses. If Byron Donalds wins, the margin will be positive; if Byron Donalds loses, the margin will be negative; if Byron Donalds ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.

Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Byron Donalds runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Contract: Will the margin of victory for Byron Donalds in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Florida be between 6% and 8%?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXGENERALMOV-GOVPARTYFL-26-BDON-P7; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgeneralmov-govpartyfl-26
Observed: Oct 24, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 49 contracts
Outcome Yes: 9.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 91.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the margin of victory for Byron Donalds in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Florida is within 6% to 8%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Byron Donalds minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Byron Donalds if Byron Donalds wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Byron Donalds loses. If Byron Donalds wins, the margin will be positive; if Byron Donalds loses, the margin will be negative; if Byron Donalds ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.

Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Byron Donalds runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Contract: Will the margin of victory for Byron Donalds in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Florida be between 4% and 6%?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXGENERALMOV-GOVPARTYFL-26-BDON-P5; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgeneralmov-govpartyfl-26
Observed: Oct 24, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 49 contracts
Outcome Yes: 12.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 88.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the margin of victory for Byron Donalds in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Florida is within 4% to 6%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Byron Donalds minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Byron Donalds if Byron Donalds wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Byron Donalds loses. If Byron Donalds wins, the margin will be positive; if Byron Donalds loses, the margin will be negative; if Byron Donalds ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.

Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Byron Donalds runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Contract: Will the margin of victory for Byron Donalds in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Florida be between 2% and 4%?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXGENERALMOV-GOVPARTYFL-26-BDON-P3; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgeneralmov-govpartyfl-26
Observed: Oct 24, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 49 contracts
Outcome Yes: 10.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 90.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the margin of victory for Byron Donalds in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Florida is within 2% to 4%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Byron Donalds minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Byron Donalds if Byron Donalds wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Byron Donalds loses. If Byron Donalds wins, the margin will be positive; if Byron Donalds loses, the margin will be negative; if Byron Donalds ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.

Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Byron Donalds runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Contract: Will the margin of victory for Byron Donalds in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Florida be at least 16%?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXGENERALMOV-GOVPARTYFL-26-BDON-P16; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgeneralmov-govpartyfl-26
Observed: Oct 24, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 49 contracts
Outcome Yes: 3.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 97.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the margin of victory for Byron Donalds in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Florida is at or above 16%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Byron Donalds minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Byron Donalds if Byron Donalds wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Byron Donalds loses. If Byron Donalds wins, the margin will be positive; if Byron Donalds loses, the margin will be negative; if Byron Donalds ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.

Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Byron Donalds runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Contract: Will the margin of victory for Byron Donalds in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Florida be between 14% and 16%?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXGENERALMOV-GOVPARTYFL-26-BDON-P15; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgeneralmov-govpartyfl-26
Observed: Oct 24, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 49 contracts
Outcome Yes: 3.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 97.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the margin of victory for Byron Donalds in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Florida is within 14% to 16%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Byron Donalds minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Byron Donalds if Byron Donalds wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Byron Donalds loses. If Byron Donalds wins, the margin will be positive; if Byron Donalds loses, the margin will be negative; if Byron Donalds ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.

Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Byron Donalds runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Contract: Will the margin of victory for Byron Donalds in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Florida be between 12% and 14%?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXGENERALMOV-GOVPARTYFL-26-BDON-P13; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgeneralmov-govpartyfl-26
Observed: Oct 24, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 49 contracts
Outcome Yes: 4.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 96.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the margin of victory for Byron Donalds in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Florida is within 12% to 14%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Byron Donalds minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Byron Donalds if Byron Donalds wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Byron Donalds loses. If Byron Donalds wins, the margin will be positive; if Byron Donalds loses, the margin will be negative; if Byron Donalds ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.

Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Byron Donalds runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Contract: Will the margin of victory for Byron Donalds in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Florida be between 10% and 12%?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXGENERALMOV-GOVPARTYFL-26-BDON-P11; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgeneralmov-govpartyfl-26
Observed: Oct 24, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 49 contracts
Outcome Yes: 6.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 94.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the margin of victory for Byron Donalds in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Florida is within 10% to 12%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Byron Donalds minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Byron Donalds if Byron Donalds wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Byron Donalds loses. If Byron Donalds wins, the margin will be positive; if Byron Donalds loses, the margin will be negative; if Byron Donalds ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.

Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Byron Donalds runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Contract: Will the margin of victory for Byron Donalds in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Florida be between 0% and 2%?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXGENERALMOV-GOVPARTYFL-26-BDON-P1; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgeneralmov-govpartyfl-26
Observed: Oct 24, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 98 contracts
Outcome Yes: 9.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 91.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the margin of victory for Byron Donalds in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Florida is within 0% to 2%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Byron Donalds minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Byron Donalds if Byron Donalds wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Byron Donalds loses. If Byron Donalds wins, the margin will be positive; if Byron Donalds loses, the margin will be negative; if Byron Donalds ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.

Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Byron Donalds runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Saved cross-platform review:
No exact pair with two valid binary Yes prices is available for comparison.

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KALSHIElections