What is the current price for "Florida Governor: margin of victory"?

The leading outcome "No" is currently trading at 96.0% probability.

How many markets are available for "Florida Governor: margin of victory"?

There are 12 markets available for this event on Kalshi.

What is the trading volume for "Florida Governor: margin of victory"?

Total trading volume is approximately $1K.

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Florida Governor: margin of victory

Vol674 contracts

Markets12

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Event Group

EventKALSHI

Single EventKALSHIElections

Florida Governor: margin of victory

Name: Florida Governor: margin of victory
Start: 2026-10-24T06:52:17.765Z
End: 2026-11-23T06:52:17.766Z

Part of: Florida Governor: margin of victory

On Nov 3, 2026 If the margin of victory for David Jolly in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Florida is X Y Z 4%, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory is the vote share received by David Jolly minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind David Jolly if David Jolly wins, or the candidate that finishes first if David Jolly loses. If David Jolly wins, the margin will be positive; if David Jolly loses, the margin will be negative; if David Jolly ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If David Jolly runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

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Florida Governor: margin of victory

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674 contracts

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Market snapshot: Oct 24, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed.

Market Price Graph

12 markets tracked

Will the margin of victory for Byron Donalds in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Florida be between 4% and 6%?

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All Markets(12)

Market	Outcome price
Will the margin of victory for Byron Donalds in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Florida be between 4% and 6%?	Yes 12.0%
Will the margin of victory for Byron Donalds in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Florida be between 2% and 4%?	Yes 10.0%
Will the margin of victory for Byron Donalds in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Florida be between 6% and 8%?	Yes 9.0%
Will the margin of victory for Byron Donalds in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Florida be between 0% and 2%?	Yes 9.0%
Will the margin of victory for Byron Donalds in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Florida be between 8% and 10%?	Yes 8.0%

Event Overview

Market Resolution Rules

Important Notes

Markets resolve based on official data sources specified in the rules
Resolution may be delayed if official data is not immediately available
Kalshi markets are regulated by the CFTC and follow strict resolution procedures
Always verify the exact resolution criteria before trading

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KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for Byron Donalds in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Florida be between 4% and 6%?

If the margin of victory for Byron Donalds in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Florida is within 4% to 6%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Byron Donalds minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Byron Donalds if Byron Donalds wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Byron Donalds loses. If Byron Donalds wins, the margin will be positive; if Byron Donalds loses, the margin will be negative; if Byron Donalds ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Byron Donalds runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome12.0%

Yes

Volume49 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 03, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for Byron Donalds in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Florida be between 2% and 4%?

If the margin of victory for Byron Donalds in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Florida is within 2% to 4%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Byron Donalds minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Byron Donalds if Byron Donalds wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Byron Donalds loses. If Byron Donalds wins, the margin will be positive; if Byron Donalds loses, the margin will be negative; if Byron Donalds ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Byron Donalds runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome10.0%

Yes

Volume49 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 03, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for Byron Donalds in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Florida be between 6% and 8%?

If the margin of victory for Byron Donalds in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Florida is within 6% to 8%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Byron Donalds minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Byron Donalds if Byron Donalds wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Byron Donalds loses. If Byron Donalds wins, the margin will be positive; if Byron Donalds loses, the margin will be negative; if Byron Donalds ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Byron Donalds runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome9.0%

Yes

Volume49 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 03, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for Byron Donalds in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Florida be between 0% and 2%?

If the margin of victory for Byron Donalds in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Florida is within 0% to 2%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Byron Donalds minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Byron Donalds if Byron Donalds wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Byron Donalds loses. If Byron Donalds wins, the margin will be positive; if Byron Donalds loses, the margin will be negative; if Byron Donalds ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Byron Donalds runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome9.0%

Yes

Volume98 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 03, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for Byron Donalds in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Florida be between 8% and 10%?

If the margin of victory for Byron Donalds in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Florida is within 8% to 10%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Byron Donalds minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Byron Donalds if Byron Donalds wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Byron Donalds loses. If Byron Donalds wins, the margin will be positive; if Byron Donalds loses, the margin will be negative; if Byron Donalds ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Byron Donalds runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome8.0%

Yes

Volume49 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 03, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for David Jolly in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Florida be between 0% and 2%?

If the margin of victory for David Jolly in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Florida is within 0% to 2%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by David Jolly minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind David Jolly if David Jolly wins, or the candidate that finishes first if David Jolly loses. If David Jolly wins, the margin will be positive; if David Jolly loses, the margin will be negative; if David Jolly ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If David Jolly runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome6.5%

Yes

Volume49 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 03, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for Byron Donalds in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Florida be between 10% and 12%?

If the margin of victory for Byron Donalds in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Florida is within 10% to 12%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Byron Donalds minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Byron Donalds if Byron Donalds wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Byron Donalds loses. If Byron Donalds wins, the margin will be positive; if Byron Donalds loses, the margin will be negative; if Byron Donalds ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Byron Donalds runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome6.0%

Yes

Volume49 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 03, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for David Jolly in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Florida be between 2% and 4%?

If the margin of victory for David Jolly in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Florida is within 2% to 4%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by David Jolly minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind David Jolly if David Jolly wins, or the candidate that finishes first if David Jolly loses. If David Jolly wins, the margin will be positive; if David Jolly loses, the margin will be negative; if David Jolly ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If David Jolly runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome4.5%

Yes

Volume49 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 03, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for David Jolly in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Florida be at least 4%?

If the margin of victory for David Jolly in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Florida is at or above 4%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by David Jolly minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind David Jolly if David Jolly wins, or the candidate that finishes first if David Jolly loses. If David Jolly wins, the margin will be positive; if David Jolly loses, the margin will be negative; if David Jolly ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If David Jolly runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome4.0%

Yes

Volume86 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 03, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for Byron Donalds in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Florida be between 12% and 14%?

If the margin of victory for Byron Donalds in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Florida is within 12% to 14%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Byron Donalds minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Byron Donalds if Byron Donalds wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Byron Donalds loses. If Byron Donalds wins, the margin will be positive; if Byron Donalds loses, the margin will be negative; if Byron Donalds ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Byron Donalds runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome4.0%

Yes

Volume49 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 03, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for Byron Donalds in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Florida be at least 16%?

If the margin of victory for Byron Donalds in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Florida is at or above 16%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Byron Donalds minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Byron Donalds if Byron Donalds wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Byron Donalds loses. If Byron Donalds wins, the margin will be positive; if Byron Donalds loses, the margin will be negative; if Byron Donalds ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Byron Donalds runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome3.0%

Yes

Volume49 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 03, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for Byron Donalds in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Florida be between 14% and 16%?

If the margin of victory for Byron Donalds in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Florida is within 14% to 16%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Byron Donalds minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Byron Donalds if Byron Donalds wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Byron Donalds loses. If Byron Donalds wins, the margin will be positive; if Byron Donalds loses, the margin will be negative; if Byron Donalds ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Byron Donalds runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome3.0%

Yes

Volume49 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 03, 2027

View Details

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Florida Governor: margin of victory

Florida Governor: margin of victory

Florida Governor: margin of victory

Market Price Graph

Will the margin of victory for Byron Donalds in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Florida be between 4% and 6%?

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Event Overview

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