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Events
GroupKALSHI

Top Chinese AI company this month

Top Chinese AI company this month
Vol

K 0 contracts

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Events

1

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Markets

9

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Nov 1, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Z.ai at 47.5%.

Kalshi

  1. Z.ai47.5%
  2. Xiaomi47.5%
  3. Moonshot47.5%
  4. Alibaba47.5%
  5. Tencent47%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

K 0 contracts

Reported volume · provider units

9

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Nov 1, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC

About This Event

On Nov 30, 2026 If X is the Highest Ranked Chinese AI Company model on Arena AI Text Score, Remove Style Control, on Nov 30, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Qualifying Chinese AI companies are defined as a company whose global or primary operational headquarters is located in mainland China. Tied rankings shall be resolved using the publisher's official tie-breaking methodology; if none exists, all tied entities share the highest rank among them. If multiple candidates are tied for a given rank, then their Contracts will resolve to $1/, the number of candidates tied, rounded down. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

KalshiCompanies
Top Chinese AI Company week of November 2nd

Top Chinese AI Company week of November 2nd

K 44.4K contracts
Top Chinese AI Company week of November 2nd? (Xiaomi)Yes 64%
Top Chinese AI Company week of November 2nd? (Alibaba)Yes 21%
Top Chinese AI Company week of November 2nd? (DeepSeek)Yes 17%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 9, 2026 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Top Chinese AI Company week of October 26th

Top Chinese AI Company week of October 26th

K 14.1K contracts
Top Chinese AI Company week of October 26th? (Xiaomi)Yes 95.5%
Top Chinese AI Company week of October 26th? (Moonshot)Yes 3%
Top Chinese AI Company week of October 26th? (Alibaba)Yes 3%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 2, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiTech
Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?

Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?

PM $291.9K · K 142.4K contracts

Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?

Kalshi: Will a Chinese AI model be #1 this year?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 5.5%Rules differK Yes 7%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

1 saved comparisonNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Top coding AI this month (DeepSWE)

Top coding AI this month (DeepSWE)

K 0 contracts
Top coding AI this month (DeepSWE)? (MiMo)Yes 47.5%
Top coding AI this month (DeepSWE)? (Kimi)Yes 47.5%
Top coding AI this month (DeepSWE)? (Grok)Yes 47.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 30, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Top coding AI this month (Arena.ai)

Top coding AI this month (Arena.ai)

K 0 contracts
Top coding AI at end of November 2026 (Arena.ai)? (Qwen)Yes 47.5%
Top coding AI at end of November 2026 (Arena.ai)? (MiniMax)Yes 47.5%
Top coding AI at end of November 2026 (Arena.ai)? (Kimi)Yes 47.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 30, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Top AI model this month

Top AI model this month

K 0 contracts
What will be the top AI model on Nov 30, 2026? (Gemini 4 Carbon (High))Yes 47.5%
What will be the top AI model on Nov 30, 2026? (gemini-4-argon-high)Yes 14.5%
What will be the top AI model on Nov 30, 2026? (claude-opus-5.5-high)Yes 4.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 30, 2026 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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Same-question pairs

0

No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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