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Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge
This event is for the CBB game between SMU Mustangs and Wake Forest Demon Deacons on January 20 at 9:00 PM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Prediction markets are pricing in a dead-even contest. The leading market for the SMU Mustangs vs. Wake Forest Demon Deacons college basketball game is trading at 50% for the "Uncertain" outcome, which typically represents the game's point spread or moneyline being too close to call. This 50% probability indicates the market sees no clear favorite, viewing the matchup as a pure toss-up where either team has an equal chance to cover the spread or win outright, depending on the specific market question.
The even pricing is primarily driven by the closely matched profiles of both teams as they enter ACC conference play. SMU, new to the conference this season, has shown strong defensive metrics and home-court advantage in Moody Coliseum, which is significant for this matchup. Wake Forest, a more established ACC program, brings potent offensive efficiency, particularly from beyond the arc. The market is likely weighing SMU's defensive strength and home court against Wake Forest's higher-powered offense and experience, resulting in a statistical push. Furthermore, the lack of a decisive pre-game betting line from major sportsbooks at the time of market pricing directly feeds into this equilibrium.
The primary catalyst for a shift will be the official release of the game's point spread and moneyline from major sportsbooks, expected 24-48 hours before tip-off. A line favoring either team by 4 or more points would likely cause the market to move decisively away from 50%. Key injury reports or roster availability updates, especially concerning either team's star players, will also be critical. For SMU, the status of their backcourt defenders, and for Wake Forest, the health of their primary scorers, could immediately alter the perceived balance of power and market odds before the January 20th, 9:00 PM ET tip-off.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
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The upcoming college basketball game between the Southern Methodist University Mustangs and the Wake Forest University Demon Deacons, scheduled for January 20 at 9:00 PM Eastern Time, is a significant non-conference matchup in the 2023-2024 NCAA Division I men's basketball season. This contest pits a program from the American Athletic Conference (SMU) against an opponent from the prestigious Atlantic Coast Conference (Wake Forest), offering a key opportunity for both teams to bolster their postseason resumes. The game is part of the ACC/American Athletic Conference Challenge, a series designed to foster competition between the two leagues. For the Mustangs, this represents a chance to secure a high-profile victory against a Power Five conference opponent, which is crucial for their potential NCAA Tournament at-large bid considerations. For the Demon Deacons, it is an essential test to avoid a damaging loss that could hinder their own tournament aspirations. The outcome carries weight for conference prestige and national perception, making it a closely watched event for college basketball analysts and fans. The game will be played at the LJVM Coliseum in Winston-Salem, North Carolina, giving Wake Forest the home-court advantage. The market for this event allows participants to predict the game's winner, with specific rules governing postponements or cancellations to ensure a clear resolution.
The basketball histories of SMU and Wake Forest have intersected infrequently, with only a handful of meetings recorded. Their most notable recent matchup occurred on December 19, 2020, when Wake Forest defeated SMU 76-75 in a tightly contested game in Winston-Salem. Historically, Wake Forest holds the advantage in the all-time series, though the sample size is small. The broader context lies in the historical trajectories of the two programs. Wake Forest, a member of the ACC since the conference's founding in 1953, has a rich history that includes the legendary career of Tim Duncan in the 1990s, an ACC championship in 1995, and consistent tournament appearances through the mid-2000s. However, the program has struggled to reach those heights in recent years, with its last NCAA Tournament win coming in 2009. SMU's basketball history is marked by periods of success and significant sanctions. Under coach Larry Brown, the Mustangs won the AAC regular season and tournament titles in 2015 and 2017, reaching the NCAA Tournament. However, NCAA penalties for academic misconduct and lack of institutional control led to postseason bans and scholarship reductions, stalling the program's momentum. This game represents a new chapter for both programs under their current coaches, each aiming to rebuild and return to sustained national competitiveness. The ACC/American Challenge framework provides a structured opportunity for such cross-conference measuring-stick games.
This game matters significantly for the postseason aspirations and national perception of both programs. A victory for SMU would represent a coveted Quadrant 1 win on the road, dramatically enhancing their NCAA Tournament resume and signaling the program's resurgence under Rob Lanier. It would also boost the prestige of the American Athletic Conference in the ongoing hierarchy of college basketball leagues. For Wake Forest, a win is expected but essential to avoid a damaging Quadrant 3 or 4 loss at home, which could be a major setback for their tournament hopes. A loss would raise questions about the team's readiness for ACC play. Beyond the teams, the game impacts conference metrics used by the NCAA Tournament selection committee. The ACC's overall non-conference performance is scrutinized, so a Wake Forest loss would hurt the conference's collective strength rating. Conversely, an SMU win strengthens the AAC's case for being a multi-bid league. For fans and alumni, the game is a high-stakes early-season spectacle that can define the narrative for the rest of the year, influencing recruiting momentum and fan engagement for the winning program.
As of early January 2024, both teams are progressing through their non-conference schedules. Wake Forest has faced a mix of high-major and mid-major opponents, with results that will shape their NET ranking heading into this matchup. SMU has similarly navigated its schedule, with performances indicating the team's strengths and weaknesses. Key player health and rotation decisions for both squads will be finalized in the games immediately preceding January 20. The point spread and betting lines for this game will crystallize closer to tip-off, reflecting the latest analytical assessments of each team's form. Both coaching staffs are undoubtedly already preparing game plans, with Wake Forest looking to exploit its home court and SMU aiming to execute a disciplined road-game strategy to secure a season-defining victory.
The game is scheduled to be played at the Lawrence Joel Veterans Memorial Coliseum, often called the LJVM Coliseum, in Winston-Salem, North Carolina. This is the home arena of the Wake Forest Demon Deacons.
Broadcast details are typically announced one to two weeks prior to the game. The game will likely be televised on an ESPN network (ESPN, ESPN2, or ESPNU) or the ACC Network, given its inclusion in the ACC/American Challenge. Checking the official athletic websites of SMU or Wake Forest closer to the date will provide the confirmed channel and streaming options.
Wake Forest will likely be favored by sportsbooks, as they are the Power Five conference team playing at home. The exact point spread will depend on both teams' performances in the weeks leading up to the game and the health of key players. Historically, ACC teams at home are typically favored in these challenge games against AAC opponents.
According to the prediction market rules, if the game is postponed, the market will remain open and unresolved until the game is completed at a later date. The outcome will then be determined by the final result of the rescheduled contest.
SMU can earn an automatic bid by winning the American Athletic Conference tournament. To receive an at-large bid, they need a strong overall record, including high-quality wins against top-tier opponents. A road victory against Wake Forest would qualify as a Quadrant 1 win, significantly boosting their at-large resume in the eyes of the selection committee.
Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.
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