Blue tsunami in 2026? | PredictPedia

Events

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Blue tsunami in 2026?

Name: Blue tsunami in 2026?
End: 2026-11-30T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$1.04K

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Blue tsunami in 2026?

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Polymarket

markets · $1.04K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $1.04K

100%

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1 market tracked

Blue tsunami in 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(1)

Market	Platform	Price
Blue tsunami in 2026?	Poly	31%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

31%

Top Probability

$1.04K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 midterm elections: - Democrats hold 235 or more seats in the House - Democrats hold 51 or more seats in the Senate Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-up

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, January 16, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Blue tsunami in 2026?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Nov 30, 2026 (318 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 midterm elections:

- Democrats hold 235 or more seats in the House
- Democrats hold 51 or more seats in the Senate

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-up

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 midterm elections:

- Democrats hold 235 or more seats in the House
- Democrats hold 51 or more seats in the Senate

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will remain open until "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $1.0K
* **Total Liquidity:** $3.1K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.34)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Blue tsunami in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 30, 2026): Vol $1.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 31.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 69.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Next Market Closes

317d 12h remaining

Nov 30, 2026 12:00 AM

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

31¢

Polymarket

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About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Events (1)