Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

MLB 2026: World Series Division Winner

Name: MLB 2026: World Series Division Winner
End: 2026-11-16T04:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$3.61K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

MLB 2026: World Series Division Winner

Vol

$3.61K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $3.61K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $3.61K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

4 markets tracked

Will an NL Central team win the 2026 World Series?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(4)

Market	Platform	Price
Will an NL Central team win the 2026 World Series?	Poly	40%
Will an NL West team win the 2026 World Series?	Poly	36%
Will an AL East team win the 2026 World Series?	Poly	26%
Will an AL Central team win the 2026 World Series?	Poly	11%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

40%

Top Probability

$3.61K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the division of the team that wins the 2026 World Series. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed division to produce the 2026 World Series champion (e.g., all of its teams have been eliminated from the 2026 MLB Postseason), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 World Series is cancelled, postponed after November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within that timeframe, each listed division's market w

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** MLB 2026: World Series Division Winner
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Nov 16, 2026 (35 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve according to the division of the team that wins the 2026 World Series.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed division to produce the 2026 World Series champion (e.g., all of its teams have been eliminated from the 2026 MLB Postseason), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 World Series is cancelled, postponed after November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within that timeframe, each listed division's market w

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve according to the division of the team that wins the 2026 World Series.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed division to produce the 2026 World Series champion (e.g., all of its teams have been eliminated from the 2026 MLB Postseason), the corresponding market "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $3.2K
* **Total Liquidity:** $987
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 3.21)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will an AL East team win the 2026 World Series?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 16, 2026): Vol $602
  DATA: [Yes: 26.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 74.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will an AL Central team win the 2026 World Series?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 16, 2026): Vol $601
  DATA: [Yes: 11.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.8% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will an NL Central team win the 2026 World Series?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 16, 2026): Vol $309
  DATA: [Yes: 39.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 60.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will an NL West team win the 2026 World Series?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 16, 2026): Vol $1.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 35.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 64.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports