Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Pro Football: 40+ Passing Touchdowns Season

Total Volume

$10.25K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Pro Football: 40+ Passing Touchdowns Season

Vol

$10.25K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $10.25K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $10.25K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

10 markets tracked

Will Drake Maye record 40+ passing touchdowns during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(10)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Drake Maye record 40+ passing touchdowns during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?	Kalshi	43%
Will Justin Herbert record 40+ passing touchdowns during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?	Kalshi	43%
Will Lamar Jackson record 40+ passing touchdowns during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?	Kalshi	41%
Will Josh Allen record 40+ passing touchdowns during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?	Kalshi	41%
Will Baker Mayfield record 40+ passing touchdowns during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?	Kalshi	41%
Will Joe Burrow record 40+ passing touchdowns during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?	Kalshi	26%
Will Dak Prescott record 40+ passing touchdowns during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?	Kalshi	17%
Will Brock Purdy record 40+ passing touchdowns during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?	Kalshi	14%
Will Patrick Mahomes record 40+ passing touchdowns during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?	Kalshi	9%
Will Jared Goff record 40+ passing touchdowns during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?	Kalshi	8%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

43%

Top Probability

$10.25K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

40+ Passing Touchdowns If X records 40+ passing touchdowns during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire after the event occurs or the regular season ends.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Pro Football: 40+ Passing Touchdowns Season
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** 40+ Passing Touchdowns

If X records 40+ passing touchdowns during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire after the event occurs or the regular season ends.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Patrick Mahomes records 40+ passing touchdowns during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $10.2K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Patrick Mahomes record 40+ passing touchdowns during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 2, 2027): Vol $911
  DATA: [Yes: 9.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Lamar Jackson record 40+ passing touchdowns during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 2, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 40.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 59.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Justin Herbert record 40+ passing touchdowns during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 2, 2027): Vol $854
  DATA: [Yes: 42.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 57.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Jared Goff record 40+ passing touchdowns during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 2, 2027): Vol $302
  DATA: [Yes: 7.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Joe Burrow record 40+ passing touchdowns during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 2, 2027): Vol $5.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 26.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 74.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Josh Allen record 40+ passing touchdowns during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 2, 2027): Vol $129
  DATA: [Yes: 40.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 59.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Dak Prescott record 40+ passing touchdowns during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 2, 2027): Vol $1.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 16.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 83.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Drake Maye record 40+ passing touchdowns during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 2, 2027): Vol $615
  DATA: [Yes: 42.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 57.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Brock Purdy record 40+ passing touchdowns during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 2, 2027): Vol $183
  DATA: [Yes: 14.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Baker Mayfield record 40+ passing touchdowns during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 2, 2027): Vol $267
  DATA: [Yes: 40.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 59.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

Pro Football: 40+ Passing Touchdowns Season

Volume$10.25K

Markets10

10 of 10

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KALSHI

Will Drake Maye record 40+ passing touchdowns during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 42.5¢No 57.5¢

KALSHISports

Will Drake Maye record 40+ passing touchdowns during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?

If Drake Maye records 40+ passing touchdowns during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand

KALSHI

Will Justin Herbert record 40+ passing touchdowns during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 42.5¢No 57.5¢

KALSHISports

Will Justin Herbert record 40+ passing touchdowns during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?

If Justin Herbert records 40+ passing touchdowns during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and b

KALSHI

Will Lamar Jackson record 40+ passing touchdowns during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 40.5¢No 59.5¢

KALSHISports

Will Lamar Jackson record 40+ passing touchdowns during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?

If Lamar Jackson records 40+ passing touchdowns during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and br

KALSHI

Will Josh Allen record 40+ passing touchdowns during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 40.5¢No 59.5¢

KALSHISports

Will Josh Allen record 40+ passing touchdowns during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?

If Josh Allen records 40+ passing touchdowns during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand

KALSHI

Will Baker Mayfield record 40+ passing touchdowns during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 40.5¢No 59.5¢

KALSHISports

Will Baker Mayfield record 40+ passing touchdowns during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?

If Baker Mayfield records 40+ passing touchdowns during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and b

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Market Insights

Average Yes Price

28¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/akg-14" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Pro Football: 40+ Passing Touchdowns Season"></iframe>

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Will Drake Maye record 40+ passing touchdowns during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?

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About This Event

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Pro Football: 40+ Passing Touchdowns Season

Markets (10)

Will Drake Maye record 40+ passing touchdowns during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?

Will Drake Maye record 40+ passing touchdowns during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?

Will Justin Herbert record 40+ passing touchdowns during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?

Will Justin Herbert record 40+ passing touchdowns during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?

Will Lamar Jackson record 40+ passing touchdowns during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?

Will Lamar Jackson record 40+ passing touchdowns during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?

Will Josh Allen record 40+ passing touchdowns during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?

Will Josh Allen record 40+ passing touchdowns during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?

Will Baker Mayfield record 40+ passing touchdowns during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?

Will Baker Mayfield record 40+ passing touchdowns during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?

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Will Drake Maye record 40+ passing touchdowns during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Pro Football: 40+ Passing Touchdowns Season

Will Drake Maye record 40+ passing touchdowns during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?

Will Drake Maye record 40+ passing touchdowns during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?

Will Justin Herbert record 40+ passing touchdowns during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?

Will Justin Herbert record 40+ passing touchdowns during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?

Will Lamar Jackson record 40+ passing touchdowns during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?

Will Lamar Jackson record 40+ passing touchdowns during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?

Will Josh Allen record 40+ passing touchdowns during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?

Will Josh Allen record 40+ passing touchdowns during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?

Will Baker Mayfield record 40+ passing touchdowns during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?

Will Baker Mayfield record 40+ passing touchdowns during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?

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