Solana Up or Down - October 28, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET
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Solana Up or Down - October 28, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Source snapshot: Oct 28, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Solana, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the SOL/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/sol-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair SOL/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-28T03:00:06.402Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This is a short-window contract on Solana. The market resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Solana, generated by Chainlink, over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The title's window is 2:50PM to 2:55PM ET on October 28 [1].
The resolution source is the SOL/USD TWAP data stream from Chainlink, not other sources or spot markets [1]. A reader comparing this contract with a similarly named market elsewhere should check that the resolution source, averaging method, and window match, since these details determine the outcome.
The saved record lists a listed end time of 2026-10-28T18:55:00.000Z [1]. That is the contract's closing time in the rules, not a resolution result. The evidence does not show whether the market has resolved.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observation time is 2026-10-28T03:00:06.402Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-28T04:12:33.864Z [1]. These are different moments. The prices below describe the observation, not conditions at the time of this summary.
At observation, the saved Polymarket prices were Up 0.505 and Down 0.495 [1]. These are snapshot values, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The small gap between them reflects only what was recorded at that moment. The evidence does not explain why prices were at these levels, and it contains no information on trading activity or the number of participants.
The sample covers one market from one provider event. The coverage record shows one total market, one included market, and no partial sample [1]. Because this is the only saved market for the event, no comparison with other outcomes is possible here.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not include prices observed after 03:00 UTC, so it cannot describe current pricing. It also does not show the Solana price at the start of the window, the TWAP during the window, or the final result. A reader should not infer the outcome from the snapshot.
The sample warning states that the saved markets do not establish the full set of possible outcomes [1]. Here, the saved event contains only the Up and Down contract, so no further outcome claims are supported.
References
- Polymarket: Solana Up or Down - October 28, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-28T03:00:06.402Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 28, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a short-window contract on the price of Solana (SOL) in US dollars. The event is titled "Solana Up or Down - October 28, 2:50PM to 2:55PM ET" and falls in the crypto category. The contract is listed on Polymarket [1]. The rules define the outcome by comparing two prices. The contract resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Solana over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. Because the comparison uses an average over the window rather than a single moment, the result depends on how the price moved throughout the five minutes, not only on where it ended. The resolution source is named as information from Chainlink, specifically the SOL/USD TWAP data stream [1]. The rules also state that the market concerns the price according to that Chainlink data stream, and not according to any other source or spot market [1]. A reader comparing this contract with prices on other exchanges should therefore keep in mind that the stated source is the Chainlink feed. The listed end time is 2026-10-28T18:55:00.000Z, and the provider status was recorded as active at the time of observation [1]. That end time is the scheduled closing point recorded in the contract data. It is not a record that the contract has resolved, and the status shown here reflects the provider data at the time it was captured.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether Solana's time-weighted average price over the five-minute window named in the title finishes at or above the price at the start of that window, as reported by the Chainlink SOL/USD TWAP data stream [1]. Because it is defined by a named data feed and a specific time range, the rules determine the outcome, not general market commentary. Readers should read the stated source and window carefully, since a contract on a different feed or time range would be a different contract.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-28 at 03:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What does an "Up" outcome mean for this contract?
The contract resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price of Solana over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range [1].
What does a "Down" outcome mean?
The rules state that the contract resolves to "Down" if the time-weighted average price is not greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of the range [1].
Which price source decides the result?
The resolution source is information from Chainlink, specifically the SOL/USD TWAP data stream. The rules say the market is about the price according to that Chainlink data stream and not according to any other sources or spot markets [1].
When does this contract end?
The listed end time in the contract data is 2026-10-28T18:55:00.000Z [1]. This is the scheduled close recorded for the contract and does not by itself show how or when it resolved.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.