Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 8:51 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Gremio Novorizontino vs Ponte Preta: First Half Winner

Total Volume

$1.05K

Events

Markets

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Gremio Novorizontino vs Ponte Preta: First Half Winner

Vol

$1.05K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $1.05K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $1.05K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

3 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Gremio Novorizontino wins 1st Half

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Gremio Novorizontino wins 1st Half	Kalshi	73%
Tie 1st Half	Kalshi	23%
Ponte Preta wins 1st Half	Kalshi	4%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

73%

Top Probability

$1.05K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

GRN vs PON (Oct 12) If X is the Y of the first half in the Gremio Novorizontino vs Ponte Preta professional Brasileiro Serie B soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026 after 45 minutes plus stoppage time, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the X of the first half in the Gremio Novorizontino vs Ponte Preta professional Brasileiro Serie B soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026 after 45 minutes plus stoppage time. If no goals are scored during the h

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Tuesday, October 13, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Gremio Novorizontino vs Ponte Preta: First Half Winner
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** GRN vs PON (Oct 12)

If X is the Y of the first half in the Gremio Novorizontino vs Ponte Preta professional Brasileiro Serie B soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026 after 45 minutes plus stoppage time, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the X of the first half in the Gremio Novorizontino vs Ponte Preta professional Brasileiro Serie B soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026 after 45 minutes plus stoppage time. If no goals are scored during the h

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Tie is the result of the first half in the Gremio Novorizontino vs Ponte Preta professional Brasileiro Serie B soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026 after 45 minutes plus stoppage time, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the result of the "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $1.0K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Tie 1st Half
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $7
  DATA: [Yes: 22.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 77.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Ponte Preta wins 1st Half
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $1.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Gremio Novorizontino wins 1st Half
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $2
  DATA: [Yes: 72.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 27.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

KALSHISports

Gremio Novorizontino vs Ponte Preta: First Half Winner

Volume$1.05K

Markets3

3 of 3

Sort:

KALSHI

Gremio Novorizontino wins 1st Half

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 72.5¢No 27.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Gremio Novorizontino wins 1st Half

If Gremio Novorizontino is the winner of the first half in the Gremio Novorizontino vs Ponte Preta professional Brasileiro Serie B soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026 after 45 minutes plus stoppage time, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to t

KALSHI

Tie 1st Half

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 22.5¢No 77.5¢

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

Tie 1st Half

If Tie is the result of the first half in the Gremio Novorizontino vs Ponte Preta professional Brasileiro Serie B soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026 after 45 minutes plus stoppage time, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the result of the

KALSHI

Ponte Preta wins 1st Half

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 3.5¢No 96.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Ponte Preta wins 1st Half

If Ponte Preta is the winner of the first half in the Gremio Novorizontino vs Ponte Preta professional Brasileiro Serie B soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026 after 45 minutes plus stoppage time, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the winner

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Market Insights

Average Yes Price

33¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/b1dsDp" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Gremio Novorizontino vs Ponte Preta: First Half Winner"></iframe>

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Gremio Novorizontino vs Ponte Preta: First Half Winner

Gremio Novorizontino vs Ponte Preta: First Half Winner

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Gremio Novorizontino wins 1st Half

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Gremio Novorizontino vs Ponte Preta: First Half Winner

Markets (3)

Gremio Novorizontino wins 1st Half

Gremio Novorizontino wins 1st Half

Tie 1st Half

Tie 1st Half

Ponte Preta wins 1st Half

Ponte Preta wins 1st Half

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

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Gremio Novorizontino wins 1st Half

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Gremio Novorizontino vs Ponte Preta: First Half Winner

Gremio Novorizontino wins 1st Half

Gremio Novorizontino wins 1st Half

Tie 1st Half

Tie 1st Half

Ponte Preta wins 1st Half

Ponte Preta wins 1st Half

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