Arizona gas prices tomorrow
K 25.5K contracts
1
17
Arizona gas prices tomorrow
K 25.5K contracts
1
17
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Oct 28, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Above 4.4550 at 99%.
Kalshi
- Above 4.455099%
- Above 4.475098.5%
- Above 4.480098%
- Above 4.460097%
- Above 4.470096.5%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
K 25.5K contracts
Reported volume · provider units
17
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 28, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
About This Event
On Oct 28, 2026 If average regular gas prices for Arizona are strictly greater than X on Oct 28, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-27T21:00:06.613Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This snapshot covers one Kalshi event, "Arizona gas prices tomorrow," in the Economics category. The rule states: "If average regular gas prices for Arizona are strictly greater than X on Oct 28, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes." [1] Each listed market uses a different threshold X, so each contract asks whether the AAA average on Oct 28, 2026 will exceed its own dollar level.
The rule's measurement date is October 28, 2026. The listed market end date is November 4, 2026 at 14:00 UTC, but the source excerpt says the event's listed end time was "not supplied." [1] The evidence does not explain the gap between these dates, so readers should check the platform's full rules before relying on timing.
Reading the snapshot
The prices were observed at 21:00 UTC on October 27, 2026, and retrieved at 21:58 UTC the same day. [1] They describe that moment only and are not executable quotes or verified probabilities.
In the included sample, Yes prices fall as the threshold rises. The $4.4550 threshold shows Yes at 0.99, the $4.4750 threshold at 0.985, and the $4.4800 threshold at 0.96. Yes prices are 0.955 for $4.4600, $4.4650, and $4.4700. The $4.4850 threshold is at 0.865, while $4.4900 drops to 0.085. Thresholds of $4.4950, $4.5200, $4.5250, and $4.5350 range from 0.06 down to 0.045. [1]
The sample includes 12 of 17 markets for this event. The selection method ranks markets by Yes price, so the five omitted markets are not described here. They should not be assumed to be lower or higher. The sample does not cover other providers, so no cross-platform comparison is possible.
Volume is not included in this evidence, so it cannot indicate liquidity or the number of participants.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not show why prices moved, what the AAA average will be, or how the contract will resolve. It contains no news, trader counts, or historical accuracy data. Because the observation was taken before the stated measurement date, these prices cannot be read as current conditions.
References
- Kalshi: Arizona gas prices tomorrow. Provider data observed 2026-10-27T21:00:06.613Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 27, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a Kalshi event titled "Arizona gas prices tomorrow," which is listed in the Economics category. The contract is tied to a single day's price level rather than a long-term trend. Under the event's rules, the market resolves to Yes if average regular gas prices for Arizona are strictly greater than a stated threshold X on October 28, 2026, according to AAA [1]. Each individual market in the event uses a different threshold, so one event can contain many contracts that all reference the same underlying measurement. The event record shows that the provider reports its status as active, but it does not supply a listed end time [1]. The October 28, 2026 date appears in the contract rules as the measurement day. It is not described in the source as an announced event or publication date. The individual market records carry an end date of November 4, 2026 at 14:00 UTC [1]. Those two dates serve different purposes and should not be read as the same thing. At the observation time recorded for this entry, the Kalshi prices for the thresholds in the saved sample were quite different from one another. For example, the market asking whether the average price would be above $4.4550 showed a Yes price of 0.99, while the market asking about $4.5200 showed 0.045 [1]. Prices like these are snapshots of what the platform displayed at one moment. They are not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities of the outcome. The saved sample includes 12 of the 17 markets listed for this event [1]. The selection was made by ordering markets by their Yes price from highest to lowest, and then by volume. Thresholds that were not included in the sample should not be assumed to have any particular price. Because only this one event is covered, the markets cannot be ranked against contracts from other events or other platforms.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether a specific published benchmark for Arizona regular gasoline, namely the average price reported by AAA on October 28, 2026, comes in strictly above a chosen threshold [1]. Because each threshold is its own market, the event functions as a set of yes or no questions about where that single daily average falls. The structure makes the contract's rules central to understanding it: the source of the price (AAA), the geographic scope (Arizona), the measurement day, and the strict inequality all determine how a market resolves [1]. Traders and readers can use the displayed prices to see how the platform priced each threshold at the observation time, but the prices reflect platform activity at that moment and do not establish what the actual average price will be.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-27 at 21:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What does this contract actually measure?
It measures the average regular gas price for Arizona as reported by AAA on October 28, 2026. A market resolves to Yes if that average is strictly greater than the threshold named in the market [1].
Why do the markets in this event have different prices?
Each market uses a different threshold. The saved prices show that higher thresholds generally priced lower Yes values than lower thresholds at the observation time, although the sample is partial and the prices are platform snapshots rather than verified probabilities [1].
Does a price on this page mean I could buy or sell at that price?
No. The displayed prices are snapshots taken at a specific observation time. They are not executable quotes, and the source does not establish that the displayed price could be traded at any given moment [1].
Is October 28, 2026 the date the market closes?
The October 28, 2026 date is the measurement day named in the contract rules. The market records list an end date of November 4, 2026 at 14:00 UTC, but the event record does not supply a listed end time, so the two dates should not be treated as the same event [1].
Is this sample the full set of Arizona gas price markets?
No. The saved sample covers 12 of 17 markets in this one Kalshi event. Markets that were not included should not be assumed to have any particular price, and the sample cannot be compared with contracts from other events or platforms [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Same-question pairs
0
No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
