Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIElections

How many House seats will Democrats win in Minnesota?

Total Volume

$29.94K

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How many House seats will Democrats win in Minnesota?

Vol

$29.94K

Events

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Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $29.94K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $29.94K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

5 markets tracked

Will Democrats win exactly 4 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Minnesota?

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Single-Platform Markets(5)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Democrats win exactly 4 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Minnesota?	Kalshi	71%
Will Democrats win exactly 5 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Minnesota?	Kalshi	19%
Will Democrats win more than 5 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Minnesota?	Kalshi	4%
Will Democrats win exactly 3 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Minnesota?	Kalshi	4%
Will Democrats win fewer than 3 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Minnesota?	Kalshi	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

71%

Top Probability

$29.94K

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About This Event

On Nov 3, 2026 If Democrats win X seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Minnesota, then the market resolves to Yes. Party affiliation is determined by the party under whose banner the candidate was elected, regardless of subsequent changes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner of every seat. See full rules for details. Candidates of the Minnesota Democratic-Farmer-Labor Party count as Democrats.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** How many House seats will Democrats win in Minnesota?
**Category:** Elections | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** On Nov 3, 2026

If Democrats win X seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Minnesota, then the market resolves to Yes. Party affiliation is determined by the party under whose banner the candidate was elected, regardless of subsequent changes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner of every seat. See full rules for details. Candidates of the Minnesota Democratic-Farmer-Labor Party count as Democrats. 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Democrats win 5 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Minnesota, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Party affiliation is determined by the party under whose banner the candidate was elected, regardless of subsequent changes.

This market is eligible for accel"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $29.9K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Democrats win exactly 5 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Minnesota?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $5.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 18.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 81.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Democrats win exactly 4 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Minnesota?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $12.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 71.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 29.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Democrats win exactly 3 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Minnesota?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $4.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Democrats win fewer than 3 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Minnesota?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $2.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Democrats win more than 5 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Minnesota?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $5.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIElections

How many House seats will Democrats win in Minnesota?

Volume$29.94K

Markets5

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KALSHI

Will Democrats win exactly 4 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Minnesota?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 71.0¢No 29.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Democrats win exactly 4 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Minnesota?

If Democrats win 4 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Minnesota, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Party affiliation is determined by the party under whose banner the candidate was elected, regardless of subsequent changes. This market is eligible for accel

KALSHI

Will Democrats win exactly 5 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Minnesota?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 18.5¢No 81.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Democrats win exactly 5 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Minnesota?

If Democrats win 5 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Minnesota, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Party affiliation is determined by the party under whose banner the candidate was elected, regardless of subsequent changes. This market is eligible for accel

KALSHI

Will Democrats win more than 5 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Minnesota?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 4.0¢No 96.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Democrats win more than 5 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Minnesota?

If Democrats win above 5 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Minnesota, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Party affiliation is determined by the party under whose banner the candidate was elected, regardless of subsequent changes. This market is eligible for

KALSHI

Will Democrats win exactly 3 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Minnesota?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 3.5¢No 96.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Democrats win exactly 3 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Minnesota?

If Democrats win 3 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Minnesota, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Party affiliation is determined by the party under whose banner the candidate was elected, regardless of subsequent changes. This market is eligible for accel

KALSHI

Will Democrats win fewer than 3 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Minnesota?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 0.5¢No 99.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Democrats win fewer than 3 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Minnesota?

If Democrats win below 3 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Minnesota, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Party affiliation is determined by the party under whose banner the candidate was elected, regardless of subsequent changes. This market is eligible for

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/b737yo" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="How many House seats will Democrats win in Minnesota?"></iframe>

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How many House seats will Democrats win in Minnesota?

How many House seats will Democrats win in Minnesota?

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Will Democrats win exactly 4 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Minnesota?

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Events (1)

How many House seats will Democrats win in Minnesota?

Markets (5)

Will Democrats win exactly 4 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Minnesota?

Will Democrats win exactly 4 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Minnesota?

Will Democrats win exactly 5 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Minnesota?

Will Democrats win exactly 5 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Minnesota?

Will Democrats win more than 5 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Minnesota?

Will Democrats win more than 5 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Minnesota?

Will Democrats win exactly 3 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Minnesota?

Will Democrats win exactly 3 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Minnesota?

Will Democrats win fewer than 3 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Minnesota?

Will Democrats win fewer than 3 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Minnesota?

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Will Democrats win exactly 4 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Minnesota?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

How many House seats will Democrats win in Minnesota?

Will Democrats win exactly 4 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Minnesota?

Will Democrats win exactly 4 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Minnesota?

Will Democrats win exactly 5 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Minnesota?

Will Democrats win exactly 5 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Minnesota?

Will Democrats win more than 5 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Minnesota?

Will Democrats win more than 5 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Minnesota?

Will Democrats win exactly 3 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Minnesota?

Will Democrats win exactly 3 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Minnesota?

Will Democrats win fewer than 3 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Minnesota?

Will Democrats win fewer than 3 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Minnesota?

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