Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. This snapshot is older than six hours. Check the provider for current prices and availability.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Nautico vs Vila Nova: Spread

Total Volume

$6.70K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Nautico vs Vila Nova: Spread

Vol

$6.70K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $6.70K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $6.70K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

5 markets tracked

Vila Nova wins by more than 1.5 goals?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(5)

Market	Platform	Price
Vila Nova wins by more than 1.5 goals?	Kalshi	62%
Vila Nova wins by more than 2.5 goals?	Kalshi	26%
Vila Nova wins by more than 3.5 goals?	Kalshi	15%
Nautico wins by more than 2.5 goals?	Kalshi	1%
Nautico wins by more than 1.5 goals?	Kalshi	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

62%

Top Probability

$6.70K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

NAU vs VIN (Oct 11) If Vila Nova wins by more than X goals in the Nautico vs Vila Nova professional Brasileiro Serie B soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This mark

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Nautico vs Vila Nova: Spread
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** NAU vs VIN (Oct 11)

If Vila Nova wins by more than X goals in the Nautico vs Vila Nova professional Brasileiro Serie B soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This mark

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Vila Nova wins by more than 3.5 goals in the Nautico vs Vila Nova professional Brasileiro Serie B soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affil"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $6.7K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Vila Nova wins by more than 3.5 goals?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $500
  DATA: [Yes: 15.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Vila Nova wins by more than 2.5 goals?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $1.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 25.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 74.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Vila Nova wins by more than 1.5 goals?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $2.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 62.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 38.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Nautico wins by more than 2.5 goals?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $888
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Nautico wins by more than 1.5 goals?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $1.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

Nautico vs Vila Nova: Spread

Volume$6.70K

Markets5

5 of 5

Sort:

KALSHI

Vila Nova wins by more than 1.5 goals?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 62.0¢No 38.0¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Vila Nova wins by more than 1.5 goals?

If Vila Nova wins by more than 1.5 goals in the Nautico vs Vila Nova professional Brasileiro Serie B soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affil

KALSHI

Vila Nova wins by more than 2.5 goals?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 25.5¢No 74.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Vila Nova wins by more than 2.5 goals?

If Vila Nova wins by more than 2.5 goals in the Nautico vs Vila Nova professional Brasileiro Serie B soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affil

KALSHI

Vila Nova wins by more than 3.5 goals?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 15.0¢No 85.0¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Vila Nova wins by more than 3.5 goals?

If Vila Nova wins by more than 3.5 goals in the Nautico vs Vila Nova professional Brasileiro Serie B soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affil

KALSHI

Nautico wins by more than 2.5 goals?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 0.5¢No 99.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Nautico wins by more than 2.5 goals?

If Nautico wins by more than 2.5 goals in the Nautico vs Vila Nova professional Brasileiro Serie B soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affilia

KALSHI

Nautico wins by more than 1.5 goals?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 0.5¢No 99.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Nautico wins by more than 1.5 goals?

If Nautico wins by more than 1.5 goals in the Nautico vs Vila Nova professional Brasileiro Serie B soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affilia

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Average Yes Price

21¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/b7YczT" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Nautico vs Vila Nova: Spread"></iframe>

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Nautico vs Vila Nova: Spread

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Vila Nova wins by more than 1.5 goals?

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About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

Nautico vs Vila Nova: Spread

Markets (5)

Vila Nova wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Vila Nova wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Vila Nova wins by more than 2.5 goals?

Vila Nova wins by more than 2.5 goals?

Vila Nova wins by more than 3.5 goals?

Vila Nova wins by more than 3.5 goals?

Nautico wins by more than 2.5 goals?

Nautico wins by more than 2.5 goals?

Nautico wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Nautico wins by more than 1.5 goals?

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Vila Nova wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Nautico vs Vila Nova: Spread

Vila Nova wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Vila Nova wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Vila Nova wins by more than 2.5 goals?

Vila Nova wins by more than 2.5 goals?

Vila Nova wins by more than 3.5 goals?

Vila Nova wins by more than 3.5 goals?

Nautico wins by more than 2.5 goals?

Nautico wins by more than 2.5 goals?

Nautico wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Nautico wins by more than 1.5 goals?

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