Name: Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs Aurora (BO3) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Play-In Playoffs
End: 2026-01-28T22:00:00.000Z

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Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs Aurora (BO3) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Play-In Playoffs | PredictPedia

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2 markets tracked

Game Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Pipsqueak+4 (+1.5)

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Single-Platform Markets(2)

Market	Platform	Price
Game Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Pipsqueak+4 (+1.5)	Poly	57%
Game Handicap: Pipsqueak+4 (-1.5) vs Aurora (+1.5)	Poly	50%

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, February 22, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Dota 2:  Pipsqueak+4 vs Aurora (BO3) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Play-In Playoffs
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 28, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market refers to the Dota 2 match between  Pipsqueak+4 and Aurora in the FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Play-In Playoffs, scheduled for January 28 at 11:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to " Pipsqueak+4" if  Pipsqueak+4 win the match against Aurora.

This market will resolve to "Aurora" if Aurora win the match against  Pipsqueak+4.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will res

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market refers to the Dota 2 match between  Pipsqueak+4 and Aurora in the FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Play-In Playoffs, scheduled for January 28 at 11:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Aurora" if Aurora wins 2 or more games than  Pipsqueak+4 in this match.

Otherwise, this market will resolv"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $18.2K
* **Total Liquidity:** $3.1K
* **Activity Level:** Moderate (Vol/Liq Ratio: 5.97)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Game Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs  Pipsqueak+4 (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 28, 2026): Vol $16.4K
  DATA: [Aurora: 57.0% (0.0%)] | [ Pipsqueak+4: 43.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Game Handicap:  Pipsqueak+4 (-1.5) vs Aurora (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 28, 2026): Vol $1.8K
  DATA: [ Pipsqueak+4: 49.9% (0.0%)] | [Aurora: 50.1% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Market Insights

Average Yes Price

53¢

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Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs Aurora (BO3) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Play-In Playoffs

Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs Aurora (BO3) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Play-In Playoffs

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Game Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Pipsqueak+4 (+1.5)

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About This Event

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs Aurora (BO3) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Play-In Playoffs

Markets (2)

Game Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Pipsqueak+4 (+1.5)

Game Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Pipsqueak+4 (+1.5)

Game Handicap: Pipsqueak+4 (-1.5) vs Aurora (+1.5)

Game Handicap: Pipsqueak+4 (-1.5) vs Aurora (+1.5)

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Game Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Pipsqueak+4 (+1.5)

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs Aurora (BO3) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Play-In Playoffs

Game Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Pipsqueak+4 (+1.5)

Game Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Pipsqueak+4 (+1.5)

Game Handicap: Pipsqueak+4 (-1.5) vs Aurora (+1.5)

Game Handicap: Pipsqueak+4 (-1.5) vs Aurora (+1.5)

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