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GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETFinance

Will Silver (SI) hit__ by end of June?

Name: Will Silver (SI) hit__ by end of June?
End: 2026-06-30T17:30:00.000Z

Total Volume

$3.89M

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Will Silver (SI) hit__ by end of June?

Vol

$3.89M

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $3.89M

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $3.89M

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

13 markets tracked

Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(13)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June?	Poly	48%
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?	Poly	20%
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?	Poly	17%
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	Poly	5%
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $45 by end of June?	Poly	5%
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	Poly	4%
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June?	Poly	2%
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	Poly	2%
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of June?	Poly	2%
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	Poly	2%
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $230 by end of June?	Poly	1%
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $210 by end of June?	Poly	1%
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	Poly	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

48%

Top Probability

$3.89M

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Silver (SI) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month eff

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Thursday, July 16, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Will Silver (SI) hit__ by end of June?
**Category:** Finance | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jun 30, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Silver (SI) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month eff

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Silver (SI) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

For CME Silver (SI) futures "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $3.53M
* **Total Liquidity:** $315.6K
* **Activity Level:** High Turnover (Vol/Liq Ratio: 11.20)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $492.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $355.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $920.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 5.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.7% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $187.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 47.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $177.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 20.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $144.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 17.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 83.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $45 by end of June?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $130.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $136.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.9% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $195.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 4.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.9% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of June?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $171.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.2% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $210 by end of June?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $246.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $108.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.4% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $230 by end of June?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $266.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.8% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETFinance