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Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

Jerome Powell in jail before 2027?

Jerome Powell in jail before 2027?
Vol

PM $6.1K

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Events

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Markets

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Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 30, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC, Yes is priced at 1.5% on Polymarket.

Polymarket

  1. Yes1.5%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $6.1K

Reported volume · provider units

1

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 30, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jerome Powell serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketKalshiSports
Fed funds rate after Dec 2027 meeting?

Fed funds rate after Dec 2027 meeting?

PM $1.94M · K 534.9K contracts

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≤2.5% at the end of 2027?

Kalshi: Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2027 be above 2.50%?

Related contracts

PM Yes 0.6%Rules differK Yes 92%

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2027?

Kalshi: Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2027 be above 2.75%?

Related contracts

PM Yes 3.5%Rules differK Yes 92%

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2027?

Kalshi: Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2027 be above 3.00%?

Related contracts

PM Yes 3.4%Rules differK Yes 89.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

26 saved comparisonsNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiEconomics
Fed decision in Dec 2026?

Fed decision in Dec 2026?

PM $10.04M · K 3.30M contracts

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their October 2027 meeting?

Related contracts

PM Yes 25.5%Rules differK Yes 94.5%

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their October 2027 meeting?

Related contracts

PM Yes 70.5%Rules differK Yes 94.5%

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their September 2027 meeting?

Related contracts

PM Yes 25.5%Rules differK Yes 81.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

66 saved comparisonsNext deadline Dec 9, 2026 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

PM $481.4K
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.9% before 2027?Yes 78%
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.8% before 2027?Yes 72.5%
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.7% before 2027?Yes 32%
+14 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

PM $394.2K
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.70% before 2027?Yes 84.5%
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.65% before 2027?Yes 65.5%
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.60% before 2027?Yes 53%
+10 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
How high will 2-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

How high will 2-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

PM $31.4K
Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 4.75% before 2027?Yes 96%
Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 4.80% before 2027?Yes 69%
Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 4.85% before 2027?Yes 63%
+8 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiEconomy
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

PM $1.12M · K 5.7K contracts

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?

Kalshi: Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.49% by Jan 1, 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 11.6%Rules differK Yes 10.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

1 saved comparisonNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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Same-question pairs

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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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