Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Vallecano vs Bilbao

Total Volume

$578.83K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Vallecano vs Bilbao

Vol

$578.83K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $578.83K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $578.83K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

3 markets tracked

Bilbao wins

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Bilbao wins	Kalshi	33%
Tie is the result	Kalshi	32%
Vallecano wins	Kalshi	30%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

33%

Top Probability

$578.83K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

RVC vs ATH (Oct 10) If X wins the Vallecano vs Bilbao professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Vallecano vs Bilbao professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties. If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolv

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Vallecano vs Bilbao
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** RVC vs ATH (Oct 10)

If X wins the Vallecano vs Bilbao professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Vallecano vs Bilbao professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties. If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolv

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Tie is the result of the Vallecano vs Bilbao professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Vallecano vs Bil"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $578.8K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Tie is the result
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $93.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 32.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 68.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Vallecano wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $115.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 29.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 70.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Bilbao wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $370.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 33.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 67.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

Vallecano vs Bilbao

Volume$578.83K

Markets3

3 of 3

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KALSHI

Bilbao wins

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 33.0¢No 67.0¢

KALSHISports

Bilbao wins

If Bilbao wins the Vallecano vs Bilbao professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Vallecano vs Bilbao profe

KALSHI

Tie is the result

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 32.0¢No 68.0¢

KALSHIOther

Tie is the result

If Tie is the result of the Vallecano vs Bilbao professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Vallecano vs Bil

KALSHI

Vallecano wins

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 29.5¢No 70.5¢

KALSHISports

Vallecano wins

If Vallecano wins the Vallecano vs Bilbao professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Vallecano vs Bilbao pr

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Average Yes Price

32¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/bHTK9n" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Vallecano vs Bilbao"></iframe>

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Vallecano vs Bilbao

Vallecano vs Bilbao

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Bilbao wins

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Vallecano vs Bilbao

Markets (3)

Bilbao wins

Bilbao wins

Tie is the result

Tie is the result

Vallecano wins

Vallecano wins

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Bilbao wins

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Vallecano vs Bilbao

Bilbao wins

Bilbao wins

Tie is the result

Tie is the result

Vallecano wins

Vallecano wins

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