Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEconomics

NYC median asking rent in December 2026

Total Volume

$279.87K

Events

Markets

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NYC median asking rent in December 2026

Vol

$279.87K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $279.87K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $279.87K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

8 markets tracked

Will New York City’s median asking rent for December 2026 be above $3,800?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(8)

Market	Platform	Price
Will New York City’s median asking rent for December 2026 be above $3,800?	Kalshi	95%
Will New York City’s median asking rent for December 2026 be above $3,900?	Kalshi	81%
Will New York City’s median asking rent for December 2026 be above $4,000?	Kalshi	36%
Will New York City’s median asking rent for December 2026 be above $4,100?	Kalshi	20%
Will New York City’s median asking rent for December 2026 be above $4,200?	Kalshi	10%
Will New York City’s median asking rent for December 2026 be above $4,300?	Kalshi	6%
Will New York City’s median asking rent for December 2026 be above $4,400?	Kalshi	4%
Will New York City’s median asking rent for December 2026 be above $4,500?	Kalshi	3%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

95%

Top Probability

$279.87K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

December 2026 If StreetEasy reports that New York City’s median asking rent for December 2026 is above X then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the NYC → Rentals → Median asking rent value published by StreetEasy for December 2026. This metric reflects asking rents for rental listings, not rents on executed leases or an average of monthly rents during 2026. This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** NYC median asking rent in December 2026
**Category:** Economics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** December 2026

If StreetEasy reports that New York City’s median asking rent for December 2026 is above X then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the NYC → Rentals → Median asking rent value published by StreetEasy for December 2026. This metric reflects asking rents for rental listings, not rents on executed leases or an average of monthly rents during 2026. This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If StreetEasy reports that New York City’s median asking rent for December 2026 is above $4,500, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the NYC → Rentals → Median asking rent value published by StreetEasy for December 2026. This metric reflects asking rents for rental li"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $279.9K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will New York City’s median asking rent for December 2026 be above $4,500?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 7, 2027): Vol $4.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will New York City’s median asking rent for December 2026 be above $4,400?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 7, 2027): Vol $11.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will New York City’s median asking rent for December 2026 be above $4,300?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 7, 2027): Vol $7.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will New York City’s median asking rent for December 2026 be above $4,200?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 7, 2027): Vol $6.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 9.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will New York City’s median asking rent for December 2026 be above $4,100?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 7, 2027): Vol $68.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 19.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will New York City’s median asking rent for December 2026 be above $4,000?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 7, 2027): Vol $21.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 35.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 64.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will New York City’s median asking rent for December 2026 be above $3,900?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 7, 2027): Vol $24.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 80.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 19.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will New York City’s median asking rent for December 2026 be above $3,800?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 7, 2027): Vol $137.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 94.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 5.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEconomics

NYC median asking rent in December 2026

Volume$279.87K

Markets8

8 of 8

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KALSHI

Will New York City’s median asking rent for December 2026 be above $3,800?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 94.5¢No 5.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will New York City’s median asking rent for December 2026 be above $3,800?

If StreetEasy reports that New York City’s median asking rent for December 2026 is above $3,800, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the NYC → Rentals → Median asking rent value published by StreetEasy for December 2026. This metric reflects asking rents for rental li

KALSHI

Will New York City’s median asking rent for December 2026 be above $3,900?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 80.5¢No 19.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will New York City’s median asking rent for December 2026 be above $3,900?

If StreetEasy reports that New York City’s median asking rent for December 2026 is above $3,900, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the NYC → Rentals → Median asking rent value published by StreetEasy for December 2026. This metric reflects asking rents for rental li

KALSHI

Will New York City’s median asking rent for December 2026 be above $4,000?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 35.5¢No 64.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will New York City’s median asking rent for December 2026 be above $4,000?

If StreetEasy reports that New York City’s median asking rent for December 2026 is above $4,000, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the NYC → Rentals → Median asking rent value published by StreetEasy for December 2026. This metric reflects asking rents for rental li

KALSHI

Will New York City’s median asking rent for December 2026 be above $4,100?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 19.5¢No 80.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will New York City’s median asking rent for December 2026 be above $4,100?

If StreetEasy reports that New York City’s median asking rent for December 2026 is above $4,100, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the NYC → Rentals → Median asking rent value published by StreetEasy for December 2026. This metric reflects asking rents for rental li

KALSHI

Will New York City’s median asking rent for December 2026 be above $4,200?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 9.5¢No 90.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will New York City’s median asking rent for December 2026 be above $4,200?

If StreetEasy reports that New York City’s median asking rent for December 2026 is above $4,200, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the NYC → Rentals → Median asking rent value published by StreetEasy for December 2026. This metric reflects asking rents for rental li

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31¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/bIslGa" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="NYC median asking rent in December 2026"></iframe>

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NYC median asking rent in December 2026

NYC median asking rent in December 2026

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Will New York City’s median asking rent for December 2026 be above $3,800?

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Educational Context

Events (1)

NYC median asking rent in December 2026

Markets (8)

Will New York City’s median asking rent for December 2026 be above $3,800?

Will New York City’s median asking rent for December 2026 be above $3,800?

Will New York City’s median asking rent for December 2026 be above $3,900?

Will New York City’s median asking rent for December 2026 be above $3,900?

Will New York City’s median asking rent for December 2026 be above $4,000?

Will New York City’s median asking rent for December 2026 be above $4,000?

Will New York City’s median asking rent for December 2026 be above $4,100?

Will New York City’s median asking rent for December 2026 be above $4,100?

Will New York City’s median asking rent for December 2026 be above $4,200?

Will New York City’s median asking rent for December 2026 be above $4,200?

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Will New York City’s median asking rent for December 2026 be above $3,800?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

NYC median asking rent in December 2026

Will New York City’s median asking rent for December 2026 be above $3,800?

Will New York City’s median asking rent for December 2026 be above $3,800?

Will New York City’s median asking rent for December 2026 be above $3,900?

Will New York City’s median asking rent for December 2026 be above $3,900?

Will New York City’s median asking rent for December 2026 be above $4,000?

Will New York City’s median asking rent for December 2026 be above $4,000?

Will New York City’s median asking rent for December 2026 be above $4,100?

Will New York City’s median asking rent for December 2026 be above $4,100?

Will New York City’s median asking rent for December 2026 be above $4,200?

Will New York City’s median asking rent for December 2026 be above $4,200?

Related News & Context

Discussion

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