Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Vallecano vs Bilbao: First Half Winner

Total Volume

$46.50K

Events

Markets

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Vallecano vs Bilbao: First Half Winner

Vol

$46.50K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $46.50K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $46.50K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

3 markets tracked

Tie 1st Half

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Tie 1st Half	Kalshi	37%
Vallecano wins 1st Half	Kalshi	37%
Bilbao wins 1st Half	Kalshi	23%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

37%

Top Probability

$46.50K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

RVC vs ATH (Oct 10) If X is the Y of the first half in the Vallecano vs Bilbao professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026 after 45 minutes plus stoppage time, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the the X of the first half in the Vallecano vs Bilbao professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026 after 45 minutes plus stoppage time. If no goals are scored during the half, or the teams score an equal number of goals i

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Vallecano vs Bilbao: First Half Winner
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** RVC vs ATH (Oct 10)

If X is the Y of the first half in the Vallecano vs Bilbao professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026 after 45 minutes plus stoppage time, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the the X of the first half in the Vallecano vs Bilbao professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026 after 45 minutes plus stoppage time. If no goals are scored during the half, or the teams score an equal number of goals i

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Tie is the result of the first half in the Vallecano vs Bilbao professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026 after 45 minutes plus stoppage time, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the the result of the first half in the Valle"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $46.5K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Tie 1st Half
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $24.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 37.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 63.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Vallecano wins 1st Half
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $13.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 36.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 63.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Bilbao wins 1st Half
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $8.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 23.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 77.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

Vallecano vs Bilbao: First Half Winner

Volume$46.50K

Markets3

3 of 3

Sort:

KALSHI

Tie 1st Half

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 37.0¢No 63.0¢

KALSHIOther

Tie 1st Half

If Tie is the result of the first half in the Vallecano vs Bilbao professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026 after 45 minutes plus stoppage time, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the the result of the first half in the Valle

KALSHI

Vallecano wins 1st Half

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 36.5¢No 63.5¢

KALSHISports

Vallecano wins 1st Half

If Vallecano is the winner of the first half in the Vallecano vs Bilbao professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026 after 45 minutes plus stoppage time, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the the winner of the first half in the

KALSHI

Bilbao wins 1st Half

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 23.0¢No 77.0¢

KALSHISports

Bilbao wins 1st Half

If Bilbao is the winner of the first half in the Vallecano vs Bilbao professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026 after 45 minutes plus stoppage time, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the the winner of the first half in the Va

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Average Yes Price

32¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/bKVGPq" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Vallecano vs Bilbao: First Half Winner"></iframe>

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Vallecano vs Bilbao: First Half Winner

Vallecano vs Bilbao: First Half Winner

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Tie 1st Half

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Events (1)

Vallecano vs Bilbao: First Half Winner

Markets (3)

Tie 1st Half

Tie 1st Half

Vallecano wins 1st Half

Vallecano wins 1st Half

Bilbao wins 1st Half

Bilbao wins 1st Half

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Tie 1st Half

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Vallecano vs Bilbao: First Half Winner

Tie 1st Half

Tie 1st Half

Vallecano wins 1st Half

Vallecano wins 1st Half

Bilbao wins 1st Half

Bilbao wins 1st Half

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