Market snapshot: Oct 13, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEconomics

Diesel prices this week

Total Volume

$9.48K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Diesel prices this week

Vol

$9.48K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $9.48K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $9.48K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

21 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Will Diesel Price on October 19, 2026 be above $6.06?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(21)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Diesel Price on October 19, 2026 be above $6.06?	Kalshi	98%
Will Diesel Price on October 19, 2026 be above $6.08?	Kalshi	97%
Will Diesel Price on October 19, 2026 be above $6.12?	Kalshi	96%
Will Diesel Price on October 19, 2026 be above $6.10?	Kalshi	96%
Will Diesel Price on October 19, 2026 be above $6.14?	Kalshi	94%
Will Diesel Price on October 19, 2026 be above $6.16?	Kalshi	93%
Will Diesel Price on October 19, 2026 be above $6.22?	Kalshi	89%
Will Diesel Price on October 19, 2026 be above $6.18?	Kalshi	89%
Will Diesel Price on October 19, 2026 be above $6.20?	Kalshi	88%
Will Diesel Price on October 19, 2026 be above $6.24?	Kalshi	74%
Will Diesel Price on October 19, 2026 be above $6.26?	Kalshi	61%
Will Diesel Price on October 19, 2026 be above $6.28?	Kalshi	20%
Will Diesel Price on October 19, 2026 be above $6.32?	Kalshi	18%
Will Diesel Price on October 19, 2026 be above $6.30?	Kalshi	16%
Will Diesel Price on October 19, 2026 be above $6.34?	Kalshi	14%
Will Diesel Price on October 19, 2026 be above $6.36?	Kalshi	11%
Will Diesel Price on October 19, 2026 be above $6.42?	Kalshi	7%
Will Diesel Price on October 19, 2026 be above $6.38?	Kalshi	6%
Will Diesel Price on October 19, 2026 be above $6.40?	Kalshi	5%
Will Diesel Price on October 19, 2026 be above $6.46?	Kalshi	5%
Will Diesel Price on October 19, 2026 be above $6.44?	Kalshi	3%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

98%

Top Probability

$9.48K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

October 19, 2026 If the Diesel Price on October 19, 2026 is above X then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released. This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Tuesday, October 13, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Diesel prices this week
**Category:** Economics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** October 19, 2026

If the Diesel Price on October 19, 2026 is above X then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released. This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the Diesel Price on October 19, 2026 is above $6.46, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released."

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $9.5K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Diesel Price on October 19, 2026 be above $6.46?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Diesel Price on October 19, 2026 be above $6.44?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $700
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Diesel Price on October 19, 2026 be above $6.42?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Diesel Price on October 19, 2026 be above $6.40?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Diesel Price on October 19, 2026 be above $6.38?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Diesel Price on October 19, 2026 be above $6.36?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 10.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Diesel Price on October 19, 2026 be above $6.34?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 13.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Diesel Price on October 19, 2026 be above $6.32?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $7
  DATA: [Yes: 18.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 82.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Diesel Price on October 19, 2026 be above $6.30?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $6
  DATA: [Yes: 15.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 84.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Diesel Price on October 19, 2026 be above $6.28?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $138
  DATA: [Yes: 20.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Diesel Price on October 19, 2026 be above $6.26?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $2.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 61.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 39.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Diesel Price on October 19, 2026 be above $6.24?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $805
  DATA: [Yes: 73.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 26.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Diesel Price on October 19, 2026 be above $6.22?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $1.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 89.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 11.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Diesel Price on October 19, 2026 be above $6.20?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $886
  DATA: [Yes: 87.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 12.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Diesel Price on October 19, 2026 be above $6.18?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $637
  DATA: [Yes: 88.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 11.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Diesel Price on October 19, 2026 be above $6.16?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $588
  DATA: [Yes: 93.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 7.0% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Diesel Price on October 19, 2026 be above $6.14?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 94.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 6.0% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Diesel Price on October 19, 2026 be above $6.12?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 96.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 4.0% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will Diesel Price on October 19, 2026 be above $6.10?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 96.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 4.0% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will Diesel Price on October 19, 2026 be above $6.08?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 96.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 3.5% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will Diesel Price on October 19, 2026 be above $6.06?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $2.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 97.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 2.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

KALSHIEconomics

Diesel prices this week

Volume$9.48K

Markets21

21 of 21

Sort:

KALSHI

Will Diesel Price on October 19, 2026 be above $6.06?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 97.5¢No 2.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will Diesel Price on October 19, 2026 be above $6.06?

If the Diesel Price on October 19, 2026 is above $6.06, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

KALSHI

Will Diesel Price on October 19, 2026 be above $6.08?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 96.5¢No 3.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will Diesel Price on October 19, 2026 be above $6.08?

If the Diesel Price on October 19, 2026 is above $6.08, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

KALSHI

Will Diesel Price on October 19, 2026 be above $6.12?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 96.0¢No 4.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will Diesel Price on October 19, 2026 be above $6.12?

If the Diesel Price on October 19, 2026 is above $6.12, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

KALSHI

Will Diesel Price on October 19, 2026 be above $6.10?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 96.0¢No 4.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will Diesel Price on October 19, 2026 be above $6.10?

If the Diesel Price on October 19, 2026 is above $6.10, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

KALSHI

Will Diesel Price on October 19, 2026 be above $6.14?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 94.0¢No 6.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will Diesel Price on October 19, 2026 be above $6.14?

If the Diesel Price on October 19, 2026 is above $6.14, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

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Market Insights

Average Yes Price

51¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/bRK3Qu" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Diesel prices this week"></iframe>

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Diesel prices this week

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Will Diesel Price on October 19, 2026 be above $6.06?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

Diesel prices this week

Markets (21)

Will Diesel Price on October 19, 2026 be above $6.06?

Will Diesel Price on October 19, 2026 be above $6.06?

Will Diesel Price on October 19, 2026 be above $6.08?

Will Diesel Price on October 19, 2026 be above $6.08?

Will Diesel Price on October 19, 2026 be above $6.12?

Will Diesel Price on October 19, 2026 be above $6.12?

Will Diesel Price on October 19, 2026 be above $6.10?

Will Diesel Price on October 19, 2026 be above $6.10?

Will Diesel Price on October 19, 2026 be above $6.14?

Will Diesel Price on October 19, 2026 be above $6.14?

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will Diesel Price on October 19, 2026 be above $6.06?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Diesel prices this week

Will Diesel Price on October 19, 2026 be above $6.06?

Will Diesel Price on October 19, 2026 be above $6.06?

Will Diesel Price on October 19, 2026 be above $6.08?

Will Diesel Price on October 19, 2026 be above $6.08?

Will Diesel Price on October 19, 2026 be above $6.12?

Will Diesel Price on October 19, 2026 be above $6.12?

Will Diesel Price on October 19, 2026 be above $6.10?

Will Diesel Price on October 19, 2026 be above $6.10?

Will Diesel Price on October 19, 2026 be above $6.14?

Will Diesel Price on October 19, 2026 be above $6.14?

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