Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIElections

How many House seats will Democrats win in New York?

Total Volume

$34.50K

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How many House seats will Democrats win in New York?

Vol

$34.50K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $34.50K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $34.50K

100%

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

10 markets tracked

Will Democrats win exactly 20 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in New York?

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Single-Platform Markets(10)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Democrats win exactly 20 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in New York?	Kalshi	40%
Will Democrats win exactly 19 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in New York?	Kalshi	34%
Will Democrats win exactly 21 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in New York?	Kalshi	12%
Will Democrats win exactly 18 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in New York?	Kalshi	6%
Will Democrats win exactly 23 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in New York?	Kalshi	5%
Will Democrats win exactly 22 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in New York?	Kalshi	5%
Will Democrats win more than 23 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in New York?	Kalshi	2%
Will Democrats win exactly 17 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in New York?	Kalshi	2%
Will Democrats win exactly 16 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in New York?	Kalshi	1%
Will Democrats win fewer than 16 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in New York?	Kalshi	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

40%

Top Probability

$34.50K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

On Nov 3, 2026 If Democrats win X seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in New York, then the market resolves to Yes. Party affiliation is determined by the party under whose banner the candidate was elected, regardless of subsequent changes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner of every seat. See full rules for details. Where a candidate appears on more than one ballot line, all of their lines are

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** How many House seats will Democrats win in New York?
**Category:** Elections | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** On Nov 3, 2026

If Democrats win X seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in New York, then the market resolves to Yes. Party affiliation is determined by the party under whose banner the candidate was elected, regardless of subsequent changes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner of every seat. See full rules for details. Where a candidate appears on more than one ballot line, all of their lines are 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Democrats win 23 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in New York, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Party affiliation is determined by the party under whose banner the candidate was elected, regardless of subsequent changes.

This market is eligible for accel"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $34.5K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Democrats win exactly 23 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in New York?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $2.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Democrats win exactly 22 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in New York?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $6.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Democrats win exactly 21 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in New York?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $5.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 11.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Democrats win exactly 20 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in New York?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $1.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 40.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 60.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Democrats win exactly 19 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in New York?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $6.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 33.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 66.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Democrats win exactly 18 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in New York?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $5.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 6.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Democrats win exactly 17 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in New York?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $3.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Democrats win exactly 16 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in New York?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $2.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Democrats win fewer than 16 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in New York?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $2.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Democrats win more than 23 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in New York?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $1.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIElections

How many House seats will Democrats win in New York?

Volume$34.50K

Markets10

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KALSHI

Will Democrats win exactly 20 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in New York?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 40.0¢No 60.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Democrats win exactly 20 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in New York?

If Democrats win 20 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in New York, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Party affiliation is determined by the party under whose banner the candidate was elected, regardless of subsequent changes. This market is eligible for accel

KALSHI

Will Democrats win exactly 19 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in New York?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 33.5¢No 66.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Democrats win exactly 19 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in New York?

If Democrats win 19 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in New York, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Party affiliation is determined by the party under whose banner the candidate was elected, regardless of subsequent changes. This market is eligible for accel

KALSHI

Will Democrats win exactly 21 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in New York?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 11.5¢No 88.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Democrats win exactly 21 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in New York?

If Democrats win 21 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in New York, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Party affiliation is determined by the party under whose banner the candidate was elected, regardless of subsequent changes. This market is eligible for accel

KALSHI

Will Democrats win exactly 18 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in New York?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 6.0¢No 94.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Democrats win exactly 18 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in New York?

If Democrats win 18 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in New York, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Party affiliation is determined by the party under whose banner the candidate was elected, regardless of subsequent changes. This market is eligible for accel

KALSHI

Will Democrats win exactly 23 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in New York?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 4.5¢No 95.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Democrats win exactly 23 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in New York?

If Democrats win 23 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in New York, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Party affiliation is determined by the party under whose banner the candidate was elected, regardless of subsequent changes. This market is eligible for accel

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/bReDLP" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="How many House seats will Democrats win in New York?"></iframe>

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How many House seats will Democrats win in New York?

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Will Democrats win exactly 20 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in New York?

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About This Event

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Educational Context

Events (1)

How many House seats will Democrats win in New York?

Markets (10)

Will Democrats win exactly 20 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in New York?

Will Democrats win exactly 20 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in New York?

Will Democrats win exactly 19 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in New York?

Will Democrats win exactly 19 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in New York?

Will Democrats win exactly 21 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in New York?

Will Democrats win exactly 21 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in New York?

Will Democrats win exactly 18 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in New York?

Will Democrats win exactly 18 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in New York?

Will Democrats win exactly 23 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in New York?

Will Democrats win exactly 23 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in New York?

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Will Democrats win exactly 20 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in New York?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

How many House seats will Democrats win in New York?

Will Democrats win exactly 20 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in New York?

Will Democrats win exactly 20 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in New York?

Will Democrats win exactly 19 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in New York?

Will Democrats win exactly 19 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in New York?

Will Democrats win exactly 21 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in New York?

Will Democrats win exactly 21 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in New York?

Will Democrats win exactly 18 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in New York?

Will Democrats win exactly 18 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in New York?

Will Democrats win exactly 23 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in New York?

Will Democrats win exactly 23 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in New York?

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