Name: Will gas hit __ by end of April?
End: 2026-04-30T00:00:00.000Z

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Will gas hit __ by end of April? | PredictPedia

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Polymarket

markets · $299.39K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $299.39K

100%

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10 markets tracked

Will gas hit (Low) $3.95 by April 30?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(10)

Market	Platform	Price
Will gas hit (Low) $3.95 by April 30?	Poly	35%
Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?	Poly	19%
Will gas hit (Low) $3.85 by April 30?	Poly	12%
Will gas hit (High) $4.50 by April 30?	Poly	9%
Will gas hit (Low) $3.50 by April 30?	Poly	7%
Will gas hit (Low) $3.75 by April 30?	Poly	5%
Will gas hit (Low) $3.25 by April 30?	Poly	3%
Will gas hit (Low) $3.00 by April 30?	Poly	3%
Will gas hit (High) $4.75 by April 30?	Poly	3%
Will gas hit (High) $5.00 by April 30?	Poly	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

35%

Top Probability

$299.39K

Volume

Markets

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About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: ht

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Thursday, April 16, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Will gas hit __ by end of April?
**Category:** Economy | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Apr 30, 2026 (14 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).

The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: ht

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the pr"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $149.1K
* **Total Liquidity:** $130.0K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 1.15)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will gas hit (High) $5.00 by April 30?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 30, 2026): Vol $60.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.8% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will gas hit (High) $4.50 by April 30?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 30, 2026): Vol $12.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 8.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will gas hit (Low) $3.95 by April 30?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 30, 2026): Vol $6.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 35.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 65.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will gas hit (Low) $3.75 by April 30?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 30, 2026): Vol $3.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 5.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.8% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will gas hit (Low) $3.25 by April 30?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 30, 2026): Vol $1.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will gas hit (High) $4.75 by April 30?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 30, 2026): Vol $32.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.4% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 30, 2026): Vol $20.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 18.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 81.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will gas hit (Low) $3.85 by April 30?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 30, 2026): Vol $8.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 11.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will gas hit (Low) $3.50 by April 30?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 30, 2026): Vol $1.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 7.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.8% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will gas hit (Low) $3.00 by April 30?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 30, 2026): Vol $2.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.2% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETEconomy

Will gas hit __ by end of April?

Volume$299.39K

Markets10

10 of 10

Sort:

POLYMARKET

Will gas hit (Low) $3.95 by April 30?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 35.0¢No 65.0¢

POLYMARKETEconomy

Will gas hit (Low) $3.95 by April 30?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the pr

POLYMARKET

Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 18.5¢No 81.5¢

POLYMARKETEconomy

Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?

POLYMARKET

Will gas hit (Low) $3.85 by April 30?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 11.5¢No 88.5¢

POLYMARKETEconomy

Will gas hit (Low) $3.85 by April 30?

POLYMARKET

Will gas hit (High) $4.50 by April 30?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 8.5¢No 91.5¢

POLYMARKETEconomy

Will gas hit (High) $4.50 by April 30?

POLYMARKET

Will gas hit (Low) $3.50 by April 30?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 7.1¢No 92.8¢

POLYMARKETEconomy

Will gas hit (Low) $3.50 by April 30?

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Next Market Closes

13d 20h remaining

Apr 30, 2026 12:00 AM

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10¢

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Will gas hit (Low) $3.95 by April 30?

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About This Event

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Will gas hit __ by end of April?

Markets (10)

Will gas hit (Low) $3.95 by April 30?

Will gas hit (Low) $3.95 by April 30?

Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?

Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?

Will gas hit (Low) $3.85 by April 30?

Will gas hit (Low) $3.85 by April 30?

Will gas hit (High) $4.50 by April 30?

Will gas hit (High) $4.50 by April 30?

Will gas hit (Low) $3.50 by April 30?

Will gas hit (Low) $3.50 by April 30?

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will gas hit (Low) $3.95 by April 30?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Will gas hit __ by end of April?

Will gas hit (Low) $3.95 by April 30?

Will gas hit (Low) $3.95 by April 30?

Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?

Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?

Will gas hit (Low) $3.85 by April 30?

Will gas hit (Low) $3.85 by April 30?

Will gas hit (High) $4.50 by April 30?

Will gas hit (High) $4.50 by April 30?

Will gas hit (Low) $3.50 by April 30?

Will gas hit (Low) $3.50 by April 30?

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