Haiti elections delayed again? | PredictPedia

Events

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Haiti elections delayed again?

Name: Haiti elections delayed again?
End: 2026-08-30T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$6.06K

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Markets

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Haiti elections delayed again?

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Polymarket

markets · $6.06K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $6.06K

100%

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1 market tracked

Haiti elections delayed again?

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Single-Platform Markets(1)

Market	Platform	Price
Haiti elections delayed again?	Poly	40%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

40%

Top Probability

$6.06K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

After earlier delays, the first round of the 2026 Haitian legislative and presidential elections is currently scheduled to be held on August 30, 2026, with a potential second round set for December 6, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first round of voting for the presidency or the national legislative bodies, including the Senate (Sénat) and the Chamber of Deputies (Chambre des Députés), is rescheduled to take place after August 30, 2026, or otherwise does not take place by August

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, May 15, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Haiti elections delayed again?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Aug 30, 2026 (107 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** After earlier delays, the first round of the 2026 Haitian legislative and presidential elections is currently scheduled to be held on August 30, 2026, with a potential second round set for December 6, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first round of voting for the presidency or the national legislative bodies, including the Senate (Sénat) and the Chamber of Deputies (Chambre des Députés), is rescheduled to take place after August 30, 2026, or otherwise does not take place by August

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"After earlier delays, the first round of the 2026 Haitian legislative and presidential elections is currently scheduled to be held on August 30, 2026, with a potential second round set for December 6, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first round of voting for the presidency or the nat"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $6.1K
* **Total Liquidity:** $67
* **Activity Level:** Very High Turnover (Vol/Liq Ratio: 90.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Haiti elections delayed again?
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 30, 2026): Vol $6.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 39.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 60.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Next Market Closes

106d 13h remaining

Aug 30, 2026 12:00 AM

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

40¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/bZ3nC0" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Haiti elections delayed again?"></iframe>

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Haiti elections delayed again?

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Haiti elections delayed again?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Events (1)