Highest temperature in Busan on April 18? | PredictPedia

Events

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETClimate

Highest temperature in Busan on April 18?

Name: Highest temperature in Busan on April 18?
End: 2026-04-18T12:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$45.83K

Events

Markets

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Highest temperature in Busan on April 18?

Vol

$45.83K

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $45.83K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $45.83K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

3 markets tracked

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on April 18?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on April 18?	Poly	100%
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on April 18?	Poly	0%
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C or higher on April 18?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

100%

Top Probability

$45.83K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK. To toggle between Fahrenhe

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Saturday, April 18, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Highest temperature in Busan on April 18?
**Category:** Climate | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Apr 18, 2026 (0 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Critical

**Description:** This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.

To toggle between Fahrenhe

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all ti"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $22.4K
* **Total Liquidity:** $14.2K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 1.58)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on April 18?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $9.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 99.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.4% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on April 18?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $7.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C or higher on April 18?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $5.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Market Insights

Average Yes Price

33¢

Polymarket

Arbitrage Opps

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/ba0LJ_" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Highest temperature in Busan on April 18?"></iframe>

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Highest temperature in Busan on April 18?

Highest temperature in Busan on April 18?

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on April 18?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on April 18?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)