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What will Nasdaq 100 (NDX) hit by end of December? | PredictPedia

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Event GroupPOLYMARKETFinance

What will Nasdaq 100 (NDX) hit by end of December?

Name: What will Nasdaq 100 (NDX) hit by end of December?
End: 2026-12-31T21:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$20.39K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

What will Nasdaq 100 (NDX) hit by end of December?

Vol

$20.39K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $20.39K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $20.39K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

11 markets tracked

Will Nasdaq 100 (NDX) hit $24,000 (LOW) in December?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(11)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Nasdaq 100 (NDX) hit $24,000 (LOW) in December?	Poly	65%
Will Nasdaq 100 (NDX) hit $23,000 (LOW) in December?	Poly	59%
Will Nasdaq 100 (NDX) hit $21,000 (LOW) in December?	Poly	53%
Will Nasdaq 100 (NDX) hit $28,500 (HIGH) in December?	Poly	39%
Will Nasdaq 100 (NDX) hit $18,000 (LOW) in December?	Poly	37%
Will Nasdaq 100 (NDX) hit $30,000 (HIGH) in December?	Poly	23%
Will Nasdaq 100 (NDX) hit $32,000 (HIGH) in December?	Poly	16%
Will Nasdaq 100 (NDX) hit $15,000 (LOW) in December?	Poly	16%
Will Nasdaq 100 (NDX) hit $39,000 (HIGH) in December?	Poly	8%
Will Nasdaq 100 (NDX) hit $45,000 (HIGH) in December?	Poly	6%
Will Nasdaq 100 (NDX) hit $35,000 (HIGH) in December?	Poly	6%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

65%

Top Probability

$20.39K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

What will Nasdaq 100 (NDX) hit by end of December 2026?

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, March 1, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** What will Nasdaq 100 (NDX) hit by end of December?
**Category:** Finance | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Dec 31, 2026 (306 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** What will Nasdaq 100 (NDX) hit by end of December 2026?

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

All prices "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $1.4K
* **Total Liquidity:** $6.1K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.22)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Nasdaq 100 (NDX) hit $39,000 (HIGH) in December?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $138
  DATA: [Yes: 8.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.7% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Nasdaq 100 (NDX) hit $32,000 (HIGH) in December?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $336
  DATA: [Yes: 16.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 84.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Nasdaq 100 (NDX) hit $28,500 (HIGH) in December?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $60
  DATA: [Yes: 38.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 61.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Nasdaq 100 (NDX) hit $24,000 (LOW) in December?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $193
  DATA: [Yes: 65.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 35.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Nasdaq 100 (NDX) hit $21,000 (LOW) in December?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $40
  DATA: [Yes: 52.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 47.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Nasdaq 100 (NDX) hit $15,000 (LOW) in December?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $66
  DATA: [Yes: 15.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 84.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Nasdaq 100 (NDX) hit $45,000 (HIGH) in December?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $31
  DATA: [Yes: 6.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.8% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Nasdaq 100 (NDX) hit $35,000 (HIGH) in December?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $362
  DATA: [Yes: 6.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Nasdaq 100 (NDX) hit $30,000 (HIGH) in December?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $80
  DATA: [Yes: 22.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 77.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Nasdaq 100 (NDX) hit $23,000 (LOW) in December?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $47
  DATA: [Yes: 58.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 41.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Nasdaq 100 (NDX) hit $18,000 (LOW) in December?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 36.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 63.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Next Market Closes

305d 5h remaining

Dec 31, 2026 9:00 PM

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

30¢

Polymarket

Arbitrage Opps

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What will Nasdaq 100 (NDX) hit by end of December?

What will Nasdaq 100 (NDX) hit by end of December?

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Will Nasdaq 100 (NDX) hit $24,000 (LOW) in December?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will Nasdaq 100 (NDX) hit $24,000 (LOW) in December?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)