GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIPolitics

When will FISA be reauthorized again?

Total Volume

$0.00

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

When will FISA be reauthorized again?

Vol

$0.00

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

4 markets tracked

Will legislation that reauthorizes FISA Section 702 authority become law before Jan 1, 2027?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(4)

Market	Platform	Price
Will legislation that reauthorizes FISA Section 702 authority become law before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	79%
Will legislation that reauthorizes FISA Section 702 authority become law before Oct 1, 2026?	Kalshi	70%
Will legislation that reauthorizes FISA Section 702 authority become law before Aug 1, 2026?	Kalshi	49%
Will legislation that reauthorizes FISA Section 702 authority become law before Jul 15, 2026?	Kalshi	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

79%

Top Probability

$0.00

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

legislation that reauthorizes FISA Section 702 authority If legislation that reauthorizes FISA Section 702 authority has become law after Issuance and before X Y 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The bill must pass the full chamber, not just committee, for House or Senate passage. For "become law" markets, the bill must be signed by the President or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to No. Joint resolutions are treated as bills. Treaties requi

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** When will FISA be reauthorized again?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** legislation that reauthorizes FISA Section 702 authority

If legislation that reauthorizes FISA Section 702 authority has become law after Issuance and before X Y 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The bill must pass the full chamber, not just committee, for House or Senate passage. For "become law" markets, the bill must be signed by the President or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to No. Joint resolutions are treated as bills. Treaties requi

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If legislation that reauthorizes FISA Section 702 authority has become law after Issuance and before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The bill must pass the full chamber (not just committee) for House or Senate passage. For "become law" markets, the bill must be signed "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will legislation that reauthorizes FISA Section 702 authority become law before Oct 1, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 70.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 30.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will legislation that reauthorizes FISA Section 702 authority become law before Jul 15, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 15, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will legislation that reauthorizes FISA Section 702 authority become law before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 78.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 21.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will legislation that reauthorizes FISA Section 702 authority become law before Aug 1, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIPolitics

When will FISA be reauthorized again?

Volume$0.00

Markets4

4 of 4

Sort:

KALSHI

Will legislation that reauthorizes FISA Section 702 authority become law before Jan 1, 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 78.5¢No 21.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will legislation that reauthorizes FISA Section 702 authority become law before Jan 1, 2027?

If legislation that reauthorizes FISA Section 702 authority has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The bill must pass the full chamber (not just committee) for House or Senate passage. For "become law" markets, the bill must be signed

KALSHI

Will legislation that reauthorizes FISA Section 702 authority become law before Oct 1, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 70.0¢No 30.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will legislation that reauthorizes FISA Section 702 authority become law before Oct 1, 2026?

If legislation that reauthorizes FISA Section 702 authority has become law after Issuance and before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The bill must pass the full chamber (not just committee) for House or Senate passage. For "become law" markets, the bill must be signed

KALSHI

Will legislation that reauthorizes FISA Section 702 authority become law before Aug 1, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 48.5¢No 51.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will legislation that reauthorizes FISA Section 702 authority become law before Aug 1, 2026?

If legislation that reauthorizes FISA Section 702 authority has become law after Issuance and before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The bill must pass the full chamber (not just committee) for House or Senate passage. For "become law" markets, the bill must be signed

KALSHI

Will legislation that reauthorizes FISA Section 702 authority become law before Jul 15, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 0.5¢No 99.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

CLOSING SOON

Will legislation that reauthorizes FISA Section 702 authority become law before Jul 15, 2026?

If legislation that reauthorizes FISA Section 702 authority has become law after Issuance and before Jul 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The bill must pass the full chamber (not just committee) for House or Senate passage. For "become law" markets, the bill must be signed

No related news found

Discussion

0 Comments

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

49¢

Kalshi

Arbitrage Opps

Cross-Platform

Embed Widget

Add this market to your website

Volume

Platforms

HTML

<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/bfmpCy" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="When will FISA be reauthorized again?"></iframe>

Trade This Market

Trade on Kalshi

When will FISA be reauthorized again?

When will FISA be reauthorized again?

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will legislation that reauthorizes FISA Section 702 authority become law before Jan 1, 2027?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

When will FISA be reauthorized again?

Markets (4)

Will legislation that reauthorizes FISA Section 702 authority become law before Jan 1, 2027?

Will legislation that reauthorizes FISA Section 702 authority become law before Jan 1, 2027?

Will legislation that reauthorizes FISA Section 702 authority become law before Oct 1, 2026?

Will legislation that reauthorizes FISA Section 702 authority become law before Oct 1, 2026?

Will legislation that reauthorizes FISA Section 702 authority become law before Aug 1, 2026?

Will legislation that reauthorizes FISA Section 702 authority become law before Aug 1, 2026?

Will legislation that reauthorizes FISA Section 702 authority become law before Jul 15, 2026?

Will legislation that reauthorizes FISA Section 702 authority become law before Jul 15, 2026?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Market Insights

Share

Embed Widget

Trade This Market

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will legislation that reauthorizes FISA Section 702 authority become law before Jan 1, 2027?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

When will FISA be reauthorized again?

Will legislation that reauthorizes FISA Section 702 authority become law before Jan 1, 2027?

Will legislation that reauthorizes FISA Section 702 authority become law before Jan 1, 2027?

Will legislation that reauthorizes FISA Section 702 authority become law before Oct 1, 2026?

Will legislation that reauthorizes FISA Section 702 authority become law before Oct 1, 2026?

Will legislation that reauthorizes FISA Section 702 authority become law before Aug 1, 2026?

Will legislation that reauthorizes FISA Section 702 authority become law before Aug 1, 2026?

Will legislation that reauthorizes FISA Section 702 authority become law before Jul 15, 2026?

Will legislation that reauthorizes FISA Section 702 authority become law before Jul 15, 2026?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Share

Embed Widget