Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIPolitics

How long will the next FISA authorization be in 2026?

Total Volume

$30.52K

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How long will the next FISA authorization be in 2026?

Vol

$30.52K

Events

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Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $30.52K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

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Volume DistributionTotal: $30.52K

100%

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5 markets tracked

Will the first FISA Section 702 reauthorization enacted after Issuance extends the authority by at least 90 days become law before Jan 1, 2027?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(5)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the first FISA Section 702 reauthorization enacted after Issuance extends the authority by at least 90 days become law before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	61%
Will the first FISA Section 702 reauthorization enacted after Issuance extends the authority by at least 30 days become law before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	53%
Will the first FISA Section 702 reauthorization enacted after Issuance extends the authority by at least 1 year become law before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	48%
Will the first FISA Section 702 reauthorization enacted after Issuance extends the authority by at least 2 years become law before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	39%
Will the first FISA Section 702 reauthorization enacted after Issuance extends the authority by at least 5 years become law before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	5%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

61%

Top Probability

$30.52K

Volume

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About This Event

Before Jan 1, 2027 If the first FISA Section 702 reauthorization enacted after Issuance extends the authority by at least X Y has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. The bill must pass the full chamber, not just committee, for House or Senate passage. For "become law" markets, the bill must be signed by the President or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to No. Joint resolutions are treated as bills. Tr

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** How long will the next FISA authorization be in 2026?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Before Jan 1, 2027

If the first FISA Section 702 reauthorization enacted after Issuance extends the authority by at least X Y has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. The bill must pass the full chamber, not just committee, for House or Senate passage. For "become law" markets, the bill must be signed by the President or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to No. Joint resolutions are treated as bills. Tr

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the first FISA Section 702 reauthorization enacted after Issuance extends the authority by at least 90 days has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The bill must pass the full chamber (not just committee) for House or Senate passage."

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $30.5K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will the first FISA Section 702 reauthorization enacted after Issuance extends the authority by at least 90 days become law before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $4.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 61.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 39.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the first FISA Section 702 reauthorization enacted after Issuance extends the authority by at least 5 years become law before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $2.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the first FISA Section 702 reauthorization enacted after Issuance extends the authority by at least 30 days become law before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $12.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 53.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 47.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will the first FISA Section 702 reauthorization enacted after Issuance extends the authority by at least 2 years become law before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $6.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 38.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 61.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will the first FISA Section 702 reauthorization enacted after Issuance extends the authority by at least 1 year become law before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $5.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 47.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIPolitics

How long will the next FISA authorization be in 2026?

Volume$30.52K

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KALSHI

Will the first FISA Section 702 reauthorization enacted after Issuance extends the authority by at least 90 days become law before Jan 1, 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 61.0¢No 39.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will the first FISA Section 702 reauthorization enacted after Issuance extends the authority by at least 90 days become law before Jan 1, 2027?

If the first FISA Section 702 reauthorization enacted after Issuance extends the authority by at least 90 days has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The bill must pass the full chamber (not just committee) for House or Senate passage.

KALSHI

Will the first FISA Section 702 reauthorization enacted after Issuance extends the authority by at least 30 days become law before Jan 1, 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 53.0¢No 47.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will the first FISA Section 702 reauthorization enacted after Issuance extends the authority by at least 30 days become law before Jan 1, 2027?

If the first FISA Section 702 reauthorization enacted after Issuance extends the authority by at least 30 days has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The bill must pass the full chamber (not just committee) for House or Senate passage.

KALSHI

Will the first FISA Section 702 reauthorization enacted after Issuance extends the authority by at least 1 year become law before Jan 1, 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 47.5¢No 52.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will the first FISA Section 702 reauthorization enacted after Issuance extends the authority by at least 1 year become law before Jan 1, 2027?

If the first FISA Section 702 reauthorization enacted after Issuance extends the authority by at least 1 year has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The bill must pass the full chamber (not just committee) for House or Senate passage.

KALSHI

Will the first FISA Section 702 reauthorization enacted after Issuance extends the authority by at least 2 years become law before Jan 1, 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 38.5¢No 61.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will the first FISA Section 702 reauthorization enacted after Issuance extends the authority by at least 2 years become law before Jan 1, 2027?

If the first FISA Section 702 reauthorization enacted after Issuance extends the authority by at least 2 years has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The bill must pass the full chamber (not just committee) for House or Senate passage.

KALSHI

Will the first FISA Section 702 reauthorization enacted after Issuance extends the authority by at least 5 years become law before Jan 1, 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 5.0¢No 95.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will the first FISA Section 702 reauthorization enacted after Issuance extends the authority by at least 5 years become law before Jan 1, 2027?

If the first FISA Section 702 reauthorization enacted after Issuance extends the authority by at least 5 years has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The bill must pass the full chamber (not just committee) for House or Senate passage.

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How long will the next FISA authorization be in 2026?

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Will the first FISA Section 702 reauthorization enacted after Issuance extends the authority by at least 90 days become law before Jan 1, 2027?

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Educational Context

Events (1)

How long will the next FISA authorization be in 2026?

Markets (5)

Will the first FISA Section 702 reauthorization enacted after Issuance extends the authority by at least 90 days become law before Jan 1, 2027?

Will the first FISA Section 702 reauthorization enacted after Issuance extends the authority by at least 90 days become law before Jan 1, 2027?

Will the first FISA Section 702 reauthorization enacted after Issuance extends the authority by at least 30 days become law before Jan 1, 2027?

Will the first FISA Section 702 reauthorization enacted after Issuance extends the authority by at least 30 days become law before Jan 1, 2027?

Will the first FISA Section 702 reauthorization enacted after Issuance extends the authority by at least 1 year become law before Jan 1, 2027?

Will the first FISA Section 702 reauthorization enacted after Issuance extends the authority by at least 1 year become law before Jan 1, 2027?

Will the first FISA Section 702 reauthorization enacted after Issuance extends the authority by at least 2 years become law before Jan 1, 2027?

Will the first FISA Section 702 reauthorization enacted after Issuance extends the authority by at least 2 years become law before Jan 1, 2027?

Will the first FISA Section 702 reauthorization enacted after Issuance extends the authority by at least 5 years become law before Jan 1, 2027?

Will the first FISA Section 702 reauthorization enacted after Issuance extends the authority by at least 5 years become law before Jan 1, 2027?

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Will the first FISA Section 702 reauthorization enacted after Issuance extends the authority by at least 90 days become law before Jan 1, 2027?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

How long will the next FISA authorization be in 2026?

Will the first FISA Section 702 reauthorization enacted after Issuance extends the authority by at least 90 days become law before Jan 1, 2027?

Will the first FISA Section 702 reauthorization enacted after Issuance extends the authority by at least 90 days become law before Jan 1, 2027?

Will the first FISA Section 702 reauthorization enacted after Issuance extends the authority by at least 30 days become law before Jan 1, 2027?

Will the first FISA Section 702 reauthorization enacted after Issuance extends the authority by at least 30 days become law before Jan 1, 2027?

Will the first FISA Section 702 reauthorization enacted after Issuance extends the authority by at least 1 year become law before Jan 1, 2027?

Will the first FISA Section 702 reauthorization enacted after Issuance extends the authority by at least 1 year become law before Jan 1, 2027?

Will the first FISA Section 702 reauthorization enacted after Issuance extends the authority by at least 2 years become law before Jan 1, 2027?

Will the first FISA Section 702 reauthorization enacted after Issuance extends the authority by at least 2 years become law before Jan 1, 2027?

Will the first FISA Section 702 reauthorization enacted after Issuance extends the authority by at least 5 years become law before Jan 1, 2027?

Will the first FISA Section 702 reauthorization enacted after Issuance extends the authority by at least 5 years become law before Jan 1, 2027?

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