$115.10K
1
3
$115.10K
1
3
Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge
This market refers to the LoL match between GAM Esports and Ground Zero Gaming in the LCP Regular Season, scheduled for January 30 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "GAM Esports" if GAM Esports win the match against Ground Zero Gaming. This market will resolve to "Ground Zero Gaming" if Ground Zero Gaming win the match against GAM Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this
Prediction markets tracking this League of Legends match show traders see it as a very close contest. The most active question is about which team gets the "First Blood" in the second game, with the current odds at a 50/50 split. This is a pure coin flip, meaning the collective intelligence of thousands of traders finds no clear favorite for that specific, early-game event. While the direct match-winner market isn't the most active, the intense focus on a detailed in-game metric like First Blood suggests traders expect a competitive series overall.
The even odds reflect the unique context of this match. GAM Esports is the historic powerhouse of the Vietnam Championship Series (VCS), a region known for aggressive, unpredictable play. However, they are facing Ground Zero Gaming from the League of Legends Circuit Oceania (LCO). These two regions do not compete in the same regular league, so direct comparisons are difficult. Traders likely see this as a true international wildcard match.
The coin-flip odds for a specific game event, rather than the match outcome, also tell a story. First Blood often depends on early risk-taking and surprise strategies. The fact that traders see this as a toss-up implies both teams are perceived as capable of executing or falling for an early aggressive play, adding to the overall uncertainty of the match.
The main event is the match itself, scheduled for January 30 at 3:30 AM ET. All predictions will resolve shortly after the match concludes. The only factor that could shift predictions before the start is the release of the official starting lineups or any last-minute news about player health or strategy. Once the games begin, watch for the early moments of Game 2 specifically, as that is the focus of the most active market.
Prediction markets are generally reliable for well-defined, short-term events like sports matches, often outperforming expert pundits. For a niche event like this, the moderate trading volume of $115,000 suggests informed interest but not massive mainstream attention. The biggest limitation here is the specific focus on a single in-game moment (First Blood in Game 2). While markets are good at forecasting match winners, predicting a single volatile event within a match is inherently riskier, much like predicting which team will win the first coin toss in a football game. The 50/50 odds honestly reflect that high degree of chance.
Prediction markets assign GAM Esports a 90% probability to win this Best-of-3 series against Ground Zero Gaming. This price indicates the market views a GAM victory as the overwhelming favorite outcome. The "First Blood in Game 2?" side market is priced at 50%, showing pure uncertainty on that specific in-game event, but the main match outcome is considered heavily skewed.
The pricing reflects the stark competitive gap between these teams within the Vietnam Championship Series (VCS). GAM Esports is the region's historic powerhouse, having won seven of the last eight VCS splits. They are built around experienced, championship-caliber players. Ground Zero Gaming, while a respectable organization, entered the VCS in 2024 and finished the last split in 7th place with a 3-12 record. Their roster lacks the proven high-level success of GAM's lineup. Recent head-to-head history supports this: in their two meetings during the 2024 Summer season, GAM won both series by a combined game score of 4-0.
A shift from the current 90% confidence would require a major, unforeseen disruption. The most plausible catalyst is a significant roster issue for GAM Esports, such as a last-minute player substitution due to illness or visa problems impacting their starting five. Barring that, a market move toward Ground Zero would likely only occur if bettors see concrete evidence of severe underperformance from GAM in the hours before the match, perhaps during earlier games in the regular season schedule. The match is scheduled for January 30, so all available information about team form is already priced in.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
This prediction market concerns a best-of-three League of Legends match between GAM Esports and Ground Zero Gaming, scheduled for January 30 at 3:30 AM ET as part of the League of Legends Circuit Pacific (LCP) 2024 Regular Season. The LCP is the premier professional League of Legends league for the Pacific region, formed in 2023 by merging the former League of Legends Champions Korea (LCK) and League of Legends Pacific Championship Series (PCS). The league features 10 teams competing for a prize pool and qualification for international events like the Mid-Season Invitational and the World Championship. This specific match is a regular season game where teams accumulate points to secure playoff seeding. GAM Esports, representing Vietnam, is a historically dominant force in Southeast Asia, while Ground Zero Gaming, from Oceania, is a newer organization looking to establish itself against regional powerhouses. The outcome of this match will influence both teams' standings early in the 2024 season. Prediction markets allow participants to trade contracts based on their assessment of each team's likelihood of winning, with the market resolving to the victorious team's name. Interest stems from the regional rivalry, the contrasting histories of the two organizations, and the implications for the LCP playoff race.
The historical context of this match is defined by the merger of two leagues and the competitive histories of the regions involved. Prior to 2023, Vietnamese teams like GAM Esports competed in the Vietnam Championship Series (VCS), while Oceanic teams like Ground Zero Gaming competed in the League of Legends Circuit Oceania (LCO). Both were considered secondary regions compared to major leagues like Korea's LCK and China's LPL. In October 2022, Riot Games announced the merger of the LCK and the Pacific Championship Series (which included the LCO) to form the League of Legends Circuit Pacific (LCP), starting in 2023. This created a unified, stronger Pacific league. GAM Esports has a storied history, winning seven VCS titles between 2017 and 2022 and making four appearances at the World Championship. Their most famous international performance was at the 2017 World Championship, where they took a game off the eventual champions, Samsung Galaxy. In contrast, Oceanic teams have historically struggled internationally. Ground Zero Gaming, founded in 2020, won the LCO in 2022 but failed to advance from the Play-In stage at that year's World Championship. This match represents a new chapter in cross-regional competition within the Pacific, pitting Vietnam's most successful organization against a champion from Oceania under a new, unified league structure.
This match matters for the competitive balance and viewership of the newly formed LCP. A strong showing from Ground Zero Gaming would validate the league's merger by demonstrating that Oceanic teams can compete with established Vietnamese powerhouses, potentially attracting more investment and fan interest to the broader Pacific region. Conversely, a dominant GAM victory would reinforce existing hierarchies and could influence perceptions of competitive depth within the LCP. For the players, results in the regular season directly impact career trajectories. Strong performances can lead to lucrative offers from wealthier teams in major regions like China or North America, particularly for standout players from Vietnam. For fans and bettors, matches like this are a key test of team form early in the season, providing data for forecasting playoff outcomes and international qualifications. The economic implications extend to sponsorships and broadcasting rights, where consistent viewership for cross-regional matches is essential for the league's financial sustainability.
The LCP 2024 Spring Split regular season began in mid-January 2024. Both GAM Esports and Ground Zero Gaming have played their initial matches, with results shaping early perceptions of their form. The specific head-to-head match is scheduled for January 30, 2024, at 3:30 AM Eastern Time. Rosters for both teams are locked in for this match following the preseason transfer window. The latest developments involve any publicly released team scrimmage results, patch notes for League of Legends version 14.1 which will be the competitive patch for this match, and analyst predictions for the Spring Split. All official player connections and team preparations are finalized ahead of the broadcast.
The League of Legends Circuit Pacific (LCP) is the top professional League of Legends league for the Pacific region, launched in 2023. It was formed by merging the former LCK (Korea) and PCS (Southeast Asia and Oceania) leagues and features 10 teams competing for a season prize pool and qualification to international tournaments.
Based on historical success and regional strength, GAM Esports is typically considered the favorite. They have a long record of domestic championships and international experience, while Ground Zero Gaming is a strong Oceanic team but is less tested against top Vietnamese competition.
The match will be broadcast live on the official Riot Games League of Legends esports channels, primarily on YouTube and Twitch. Specific streams may include the main LCK channel or dedicated Pacific broadcast channels with English and local language commentary.
Professional matches operate under strict league rules. If a server crash or major technical issue occurs, the game is typically paused. If it cannot be resumed, the match may be restarted from the beginning or from a previously saved game state, depending on the time of the incident, as determined by league officials.
The LCP Spring Split champion qualifies for the Mid-Season Invitational (MSI) 2024. This regular season match contributes to each team's win-loss record, which determines their seeding for the Spring Playoffs. Winning the playoffs is necessary to secure the MSI spot.
Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.
3 markets tracked
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| Poly | 50% |
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