Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIMentions

What will AeroVironment say during their next earnings call?

Total Volume

$436.05

Events

Markets

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What will AeroVironment say during their next earnings call?

Vol

$436.05

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $436.05

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $436.05

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

14 markets tracked

What will AeroVironment say during their next earnings call? (Golden Dome)

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(14)

Market	Platform	Price
What will AeroVironment say during their next earnings call? (Golden Dome)	Kalshi	77%
What will AeroVironment say during their next earnings call? (AV Halo)	Kalshi	65%
What will AeroVironment say during their next earnings call? (Supply Chain)	Kalshi	65%
What will AeroVironment say during their next earnings call? (Tailwind)	Kalshi	63%
What will AeroVironment say during their next earnings call? (Orbit)	Kalshi	57%
What will AeroVironment say during their next earnings call? (Iran / Middle East)	Kalshi	57%
What will AeroVironment say during their next earnings call? (BlueHalo / Blue Halo (3+ times))	Kalshi	53%
What will AeroVironment say during their next earnings call? (Red Dragon (3+ times))	Kalshi	42%
What will AeroVironment say during their next earnings call? (Space Force)	Kalshi	41%
What will AeroVironment say during their next earnings call? (Robot / Robotic / Robotics)	Kalshi	40%
What will AeroVironment say during their next earnings call? (Taiwan)	Kalshi	36%
What will AeroVironment say during their next earnings call? (Headwind)	Kalshi	29%
What will AeroVironment say during their next earnings call? (NATO)	Kalshi	23%
What will AeroVironment say during their next earnings call? (Backpackable)	Kalshi	20%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

77%

Top Probability

$436.05

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

On Dec 8, 2026 If X is said by any AeroVironment representative, including the operator of the call, during the next AeroVironment live earnings call or official broadcast, including the Q+A, then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved Video of the AeroVironment earnings call. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the AeroVironment earnings call will be used according to the news publications listed in the contract. Payout criteria The exact

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** What will AeroVironment say during their next earnings call?
**Category:** Mentions | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** On Dec 8, 2026

If X is said by any AeroVironment representative, including the operator of the call, during the next AeroVironment live earnings call or official broadcast, including the Q+A, then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved Video of the AeroVironment earnings call. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the AeroVironment earnings call will be used according to the news publications listed in the contract. Payout criteria The exact 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Taiwan is said by any AeroVironment representative (including the operator of the call) during the next AeroVironment live earnings call or official broadcast (including the Q+A), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved
Video of the AeroVironment earnings call.
If a"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $436
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. What will AeroVironment say during their next earnings call? (Taiwan)
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 22, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 35.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 64.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. What will AeroVironment say during their next earnings call? (Tailwind)
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 22, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 63.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 37.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. What will AeroVironment say during their next earnings call? (Supply Chain)
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 22, 2027): Vol $141
  DATA: [Yes: 64.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 35.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. What will AeroVironment say during their next earnings call? (Space Force)
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 22, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 41.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 59.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. What will AeroVironment say during their next earnings call? (Robot / Robotic / Robotics)
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 22, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 39.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 60.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. What will AeroVironment say during their next earnings call? (Red Dragon (3+ times))
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 22, 2027): Vol $50
  DATA: [Yes: 41.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 58.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. What will AeroVironment say during their next earnings call? (Orbit)
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 22, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 57.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 42.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. What will AeroVironment say during their next earnings call? (NATO)
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 22, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 22.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 77.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. What will AeroVironment say during their next earnings call? (Iran / Middle East)
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 22, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 57.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 42.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. What will AeroVironment say during their next earnings call? (Headwind)
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 22, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 29.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 71.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. What will AeroVironment say during their next earnings call? (Golden Dome)
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 22, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 77.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 23.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. What will AeroVironment say during their next earnings call? (BlueHalo / Blue Halo (3+ times))
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 22, 2027): Vol $233
  DATA: [Yes: 52.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 47.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. What will AeroVironment say during their next earnings call? (Backpackable)
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 22, 2027): Vol $12
  DATA: [Yes: 19.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. What will AeroVironment say during their next earnings call? (AV Halo)
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 22, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 65.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 35.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIMentions

What will AeroVironment say during their next earnings call?

Volume$436.05

Markets14

14 of 14

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KALSHI

What will AeroVironment say during their next earnings call? (Golden Dome)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 77.0¢No 23.0¢

KALSHICompanies

What will AeroVironment say during their next earnings call? (Golden Dome)

If Golden Dome is said by any AeroVironment representative (including the operator of the call) during the next AeroVironment live earnings call or official broadcast (including the Q+A), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved Video of the AeroVironment earnings call.

KALSHI

What will AeroVironment say during their next earnings call? (AV Halo)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 65.0¢No 35.0¢

KALSHICompanies

What will AeroVironment say during their next earnings call? (AV Halo)

If AV Halo is said by any AeroVironment representative (including the operator of the call) during the next AeroVironment live earnings call or official broadcast (including the Q+A), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved Video of the AeroVironment earnings call. If

KALSHI

What will AeroVironment say during their next earnings call? (Supply Chain)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 64.5¢No 35.5¢

KALSHICompanies

What will AeroVironment say during their next earnings call? (Supply Chain)

If Supply Chain is said by any AeroVironment representative (including the operator of the call) during the next AeroVironment live earnings call or official broadcast (including the Q+A), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved Video of the AeroVironment earnings call

KALSHI

What will AeroVironment say during their next earnings call? (Tailwind)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 63.0¢No 37.0¢

KALSHISports

What will AeroVironment say during their next earnings call? (Tailwind)

If Tailwind is said by any AeroVironment representative (including the operator of the call) during the next AeroVironment live earnings call or official broadcast (including the Q+A), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved Video of the AeroVironment earnings call. If

KALSHI

What will AeroVironment say during their next earnings call? (Orbit)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 57.5¢No 42.5¢

KALSHICompanies

What will AeroVironment say during their next earnings call? (Orbit)

If Orbit is said by any AeroVironment representative (including the operator of the call) during the next AeroVironment live earnings call or official broadcast (including the Q+A), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved Video of the AeroVironment earnings call. If a

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What will AeroVironment say during their next earnings call? (Golden Dome)

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Events (1)

What will AeroVironment say during their next earnings call?

Markets (14)

What will AeroVironment say during their next earnings call? (Golden Dome)

What will AeroVironment say during their next earnings call? (Golden Dome)

What will AeroVironment say during their next earnings call? (AV Halo)

What will AeroVironment say during their next earnings call? (AV Halo)

What will AeroVironment say during their next earnings call? (Supply Chain)

What will AeroVironment say during their next earnings call? (Supply Chain)

What will AeroVironment say during their next earnings call? (Tailwind)

What will AeroVironment say during their next earnings call? (Tailwind)

What will AeroVironment say during their next earnings call? (Orbit)

What will AeroVironment say during their next earnings call? (Orbit)

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What will AeroVironment say during their next earnings call? (Golden Dome)

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What will AeroVironment say during their next earnings call?

What will AeroVironment say during their next earnings call? (Golden Dome)

What will AeroVironment say during their next earnings call? (Golden Dome)

What will AeroVironment say during their next earnings call? (AV Halo)

What will AeroVironment say during their next earnings call? (AV Halo)

What will AeroVironment say during their next earnings call? (Supply Chain)

What will AeroVironment say during their next earnings call? (Supply Chain)

What will AeroVironment say during their next earnings call? (Tailwind)

What will AeroVironment say during their next earnings call? (Tailwind)

What will AeroVironment say during their next earnings call? (Orbit)

What will AeroVironment say during their next earnings call? (Orbit)

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