Events
GroupPOLYMARKET
Sharks vs. Red Wings
Vol
Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison
Polymarket
1
markets · $1.11K
Kalshi
0
markets · $0.00
Price Spread
0.0%avg
max 0.0%
Arbitrage
0
of 0 cross-platform
Volume DistributionTotal: $1.11K
100%
Polymarket leads
Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph
1 market tracked
Sharks vs. Red Wings
No data available
Single-Platform Markets(1)
| Market | Platform | Price |
|---|---|---|
| Poly | 35% |
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge
35%
Top Probability
$1.11K
Volume
1
Markets
1
Platforms
About This Event
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for January 16 at 7:00PM ET: If the Sharks win, the market will resolve to "Sharks". If the Red Wings win, the market will resolve to "Red Wings". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal w
Current Market Outlook
Prediction markets are pricing in a decisive advantage for the Detroit Red Wings. On Polymarket, the "Red Wings" contract trades at approximately 65%, implying the market sees a nearly two-thirds chance of a Detroit victory. Conversely, the "Sharks" contract trades around 35%, indicating San Jose is perceived as a clear underdog. A 65% chance suggests the market views a Red Wings win as the most likely outcome, but it is not a foregone conclusion, leaving significant room for an upset.
Key Factors Driving the Odds
The primary factor is the stark disparity in the teams' seasonal performance and standings. The Detroit Red Wings are a playoff-contending team with a significantly stronger record, superior goal differential, and more potent offensive firepower. The San Jose Sharks are entrenched near the bottom of the league standings, struggling with defensive consistency and overall scoring. Historically, home-ice advantage also plays a role, and while the venue for this January 16 matchup is not specified in the data, Detroit's overall team strength is the dominant narrative.
Secondly, the market reflects recent momentum and underlying team analytics. The Red Wings likely possess advantages in key metrics like expected goals share and power-play efficiency, while the Sharks have ranked near the bottom in most defensive categories throughout the season. This fundamental gap is the core reason for the lopsided probability.
What Could Change These Odds
The primary risk to the consensus is the unpredictable nature of a single hockey game, where goaltending can single-handedly alter an outcome. An extraordinary performance by San Jose's goalie or an off-night for Detroit's could level the playing field. Key player injuries or illnesses announced before puck drop could also shift the odds, particularly if a top Detroit scorer is unexpectedly sidelined. With relatively thin market volume of around $1K, the odds could be more volatile in response to last-minute news than a heavily traded market. The market will resolve on January 17, 2026, based on the official result including overtime and shootouts.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.