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Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

Best AI model on November 2?

Best AI model on November 2?
Vol

PM $9.3K

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Events

1

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Markets

4

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 26, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is gemini-4-argon-high at 80%.

Polymarket

  1. gemini-4-argon-high80%
  2. Other17.5%
  3. claude-opus-5.5-high3.6%
  4. claude-fable-5.1-max0.6%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $9.3K

Reported volume · provider units

4

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 26, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on the specified date, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. No new model will be added to this market after market creation. Any model not explicitly listed in this market will be encompassed under the "Other" option. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-high” and “-max”) will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if two models remain tied, “claude-opus-5.5-high” would be ranked ahead of “gemini-4-argon-high”). This market will resolve to the model that comes first according to this order. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketKalshiTech
Best LLM at the end of the decade?

Best LLM at the end of the decade?

PM $6.80M · K 16.72M contracts

Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026?

Kalshi: Which AI company will have the best coding model on Dec 31, 2026? (Anthropic)

Related contracts

PM Yes 96.5%Rules differK Yes 78.5%

Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?

Kalshi: Best AI on Dec 31, 2026? (Claude)

Related contracts

PM Yes 86%Rules differK Yes 55.9%

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?

Kalshi: Best LLM at the end of the decade? (Google)

Related contracts

PM Yes 84.5%Rules differK Yes 21%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

81 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Which company has the best AI model end of November?

Which company has the best AI model end of November?

PM $423.6K
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Yes 45.5%
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Yes 44.5%
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Yes 3.3%
+18 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of November?

Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of November?

PM $36.1K
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of November 2026?Yes 58.1%
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of November 2026?Yes 36%
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of November 2026?Yes 4.9%
+18 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of November?

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of November?

PM $20.8K
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of November 2026?Yes 69.5%
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of November 2026?Yes 12%
Will ByteDance have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of November 2026?Yes 6.2%
+18 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of November?

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of November?

PM $11.6K
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of November 2026?Yes 75%
Will MiniMax have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of November 2026?Yes 11.3%
Will Tencent have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of November 2026?Yes 11.1%
+18 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Best Chinese AI Company end of November?

Best Chinese AI Company end of November?

PM $20.7K
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?Yes 32.5%
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?Yes 28%
Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?Yes 19.1%
+8 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

0

Same-question pairs

0

No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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