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Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on November 2, 2026?

Yes 0.6%

Vol$1.5K

SnapshotOct 26, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC

Yes 0.6%

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Event

MarketPOLYMARKETactive

MarketPOLYMARKETactiveTech

Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on November 2, 2026?

Part of: Best AI model on November 2?

YesYes Price

0.6¢

VolTotal Volume

$1.5K

Outcomes

Ends

Nov 3, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC

Trade on Polymarket

Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on November 2, 2026?

Yes

0.6¢

Vol

$1.5K

Outcomes

Trade

Yes0.6¢

No99.4¢

Outcome

Yes quoted price: 0.6%. Snapshot Oct 26, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC. History may have a different observation time.

Price History

Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on November 2, 2026? · Yes

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Rules and settlement

Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC. Settlement follows the provider's contract terms and may occur later.

This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on the specified date, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. No new model will be added to this market after market creation. Any model not explicitly listed in this market will be encompassed under the "Other" option. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-high” and “-max”) will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if two models remain tied, “claude-opus-5.5-high” would be ranked ahead of “gemini-4-argon-high”). This market will resolve to the model that comes first according to this order. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".

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Resolution Info