Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

MLB Postseason: Home Run Leader

Name: MLB Postseason: Home Run Leader
End: 2026-11-16T04:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$1.46K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

MLB Postseason: Home Run Leader

Vol

$1.46K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $1.46K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $1.46K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

11 markets tracked

Will Jonathan Aranda lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in home runs?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(11)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Jonathan Aranda lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in home runs?	Poly	20%
Will Max Muncy lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in home runs?	Poly	20%
Will Jackson Chourio lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in home runs?	Poly	19%
Will Shohei Ohtani lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in home runs?	Poly	19%
Will Junior Caminero lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in home runs?	Poly	17%
Will Angel Martínez lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in home runs?	Poly	16%
Will Jo Adell lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in home runs?	Poly	14%
Will Ben Rice lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in home runs?	Poly	12%
Will Mookie Betts lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in home runs?	Poly	12%
Will Jake Bauers lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in home runs?	Poly	11%
Will Yandy Díaz lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in home runs?	Poly	10%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

20%

Top Probability

$1.46K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes the 2026 MLB Postseason with the most home runs. In the event of a tie for the most home runs, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with the higher slugging percentage across the 2026 MLB Postseason. If a tie still persists, each tied player's market will resolve to "No" and the "Other" market will resolve to "Yes". Only home runs in 2026 MLB Postseason games will count toward this market. The 2026 MLB Postseason com

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** MLB Postseason: Home Run Leader
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Nov 16, 2026 (36 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes the 2026 MLB Postseason with the most home runs.

In the event of a tie for the most home runs, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with the higher slugging percentage across the 2026 MLB Postseason. If a tie still persists, each tied player's market will resolve to "No" and the "Other" market will resolve to "Yes".

Only home runs in 2026 MLB Postseason games will count toward this market. The 2026 MLB Postseason com

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes the 2026 MLB Postseason with the most home runs.

In the event of a tie for the most home runs, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with the higher slugging percentage across the 2026 MLB Postseason. If a tie still persis"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $123
* **Total Liquidity:** $541
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.23)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Junior Caminero lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in home runs?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 16.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 83.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Ben Rice lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in home runs?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 12.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Shohei Ohtani lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in home runs?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 19.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.9% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Max Muncy lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in home runs?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 16, 2026): Vol $105
  DATA: [Yes: 19.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Jake Bauers lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in home runs?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 11.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.6% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Jackson Chourio lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in home runs?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 16, 2026): Vol $18
  DATA: [Yes: 19.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Yandy Díaz lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in home runs?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 10.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Jonathan Aranda lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in home runs?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 19.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.4% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Mookie Betts lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in home runs?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 11.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Jo Adell lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in home runs?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 14.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Angel Martínez lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in home runs?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 15.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 84.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports