Snapshot observed 2026-10-20T03:00:06.020Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

The event is titled "Allsvenskan (Sweden): 2026 Runner-Up." Each listed club has its own contract asking whether it will be the runner-up for the 2026 season. The rules say the contract resolves "Yes" if the listed club is determined as the runner-up, and "No" otherwise [1].

Several rule details affect comparisons. If a listed participant can no longer finish as runner-up under league rules, its contract resolves "No" [1]. If multiple teams are declared second-place finishers, the contract for the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically resolves in favor [1]. If the event is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or no runner-up is declared in that window, the market resolves to "Other" [1]. The listed end time is 2027-01-01T04:59:00.000Z [1]. This is a contract closing time, not an announced date for a league decision.

Reading the snapshot

The provider observed these prices at 2026-10-20T03:00:06.020Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-20T04:43:49.353Z [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. All 11 saved markets for this event are included, so this sample is not partial [1].

In this snapshot, Djurgårdens IF has the highest Yes price at 0.46, followed by Malmö FF at 0.455, AIK at 0.448, and BK Häcken at 0.44. The other listed clubs range from 0.435 down to 0.3865 [1]. Västerås SK is quoted at 0.005 Yes, well below the rest of the field [1]. Within each row, the Yes and No prices sum to 1.00 [1].

The top ten clubs are quoted within a narrow band, while Västerås SK sits far below them. The evidence does not explain these levels, so the prices should be read only as what was quoted at observation time.

What remains uncertain

The evidence does not include the league table, match results, or any reporting after the snapshot, so it cannot show how the race stands now. Prices may have changed after the observation time.

The rules allow a consensus of credible reporting to be used alongside official information [1]. The source also notes that including all saved markets does not establish that every possible real-world outcome is listed [1]. The evidence does not show how the "Other" outcome is priced, so the snapshot cannot indicate its probability.

Different prices across contracts are not, by themselves, an arbitrage opportunity. Comparisons require matching terms and executable quotes, which this evidence does not provide.

References

1. Polymarket: Allsvenskan (Sweden): 2026 Runner-Up. Provider data observed 2026-10-20T03:00:06.020Z.