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Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

Will Extended launch a token by ___ ?

Will Extended launch a token by ___ ?
Vol

PM $431.9K

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Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 26, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is December 31, 2026 at 96.4%.

Polymarket

  1. December 31, 202696.4%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $431.9K

Reported volume · provider units

1

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 26, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Extended (https://x.com/extendedapp) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Extended, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Overview

This PredictPedia entry covers a prediction market titled "Will Extended launch a token by ___ ?" The market is listed on Polymarket, and the title refers to a deadline of December 31, 2026 [1]. The contract asks whether Extended, identified in the rules by its public account, will officially launch a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. If it does not, the market resolves to "No" [1]. The rules set a clear standard for what counts as a launch. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable, and announcements alone do not qualify [1]. A plan, roadmap, or statement that a token is coming therefore would not by itself settle the contract as "Yes" under the stated rules. The contract names Extended as the primary resolution source for information about the launch, and it also says a consensus of credible reporting will be used [1]. The provider record lists the market as active and gives an end time of 04:59 UTC on January 1, 2027, which is the same instant as 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026 [1]. The end time is the point at which the contract closes under the listed rules. It is not evidence that a launch has been scheduled, and it does not show how or when the market has been or will be resolved. The term "token" appears in unrelated background material in this evidence set. A tokenization system in data security replaces sensitive data with a non-sensitive reference [2], and a meme coin is a cryptocurrency that originated from an internet meme or has a humorous characteristic [3]. Neither description concerns Extended or the governance token named in this contract, so they should not be read as context for this market.

Why It Matters

The contract measures a narrow event: whether a governance token from Extended becomes actively and publicly transferable and tradable by the deadline in its title [1]. Because announcements alone do not qualify, the question focuses on a live, tradable asset rather than on stated intentions [1]. Readers should keep the contract's rules separate from any claim about whether a launch has happened, since the supplied evidence does not establish that outcome.

Snapshot context

The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-25 at 18:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]

Frequently Asked Questions

What counts as a launch for this market?

The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify [1].

Where does the resolution information come from?

The primary resolution source is information from Extended. A consensus of credible reporting will also be used [1].

Does the December 31, 2026 date mean a launch has been scheduled?

No. The date is the deadline in the contract's title and rules. The rules set 11:59 PM ET on that date as the cutoff for an official launch, but they do not announce a launch event [1].

What happens if no token launches by the deadline?

Under the stated rules, the market resolves to "No" [1].

Was this helpful?
Saved Oct 25, 2026 UTC

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

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Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

12 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
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Will Predict.fun launch a token by ___?

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Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2027?Yes 99.6%
Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2027?Yes 99.4%
Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2027?Yes 99.4%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
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Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch?

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Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?Yes 78%
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes 31%
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes 15%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
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Will LI.FI launch a token by ___?

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Will LI.FI launch a token by December 31, 2027?Yes 27.5%
Will LI.FI launch a token by September 30, 2027?Yes 8.5%
Will LI.FI launch a token by June 30, 2027?Yes 7%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
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Will QFEX launch a token by ___?

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Will QFEX launch a token by December 31, 2027?Yes 51%
Will QFEX launch a token by September 30, 2027?Yes 48%
Will QFEX launch a token by June 30, 2027?Yes 29.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCrypto
Will Betmoar launch a token by ___?

Will Betmoar launch a token by ___?

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Will Betmoar launch a token by December 31, 2027?Yes 59.5%
Will Betmoar launch a token by September 30, 2027?Yes 46%
Will Betmoar launch a token by June 30, 2027?Yes 35%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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