Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEconomics

Russia unemployment rate in September

Total Volume

$4.93K

Events

Markets

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Russia unemployment rate in September

Vol

$4.93K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $4.93K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $4.93K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

7 markets tracked

Russia unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 1.9%)

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(7)

Market	Platform	Price
Russia unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 1.9%)	Kalshi	62%
Russia unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 2.1%)	Kalshi	61%
Russia unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 2.0%)	Kalshi	60%
Russia unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 2.4%)	Kalshi	38%
Russia unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 2.3%)	Kalshi	37%
Russia unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 2.2%)	Kalshi	37%
Russia unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 2.5%)	Kalshi	2%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

62%

Top Probability

$4.93K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Russia UE Oct 2026 If the Russia unemployment rate is above X for September 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Russia unemployment rate in September
**Category:** Economics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Russia UE Oct 2026

If the Russia unemployment rate is above X for September 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the Russia unemployment rate is above 2.5% for September 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs."

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $4.9K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Russia unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 2.5%)
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 4, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Russia unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 2.4%)
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 4, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 37.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 62.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Russia unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 2.3%)
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 4, 2026): Vol $2.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 37.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 63.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Russia unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 2.2%)
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 4, 2026): Vol $1.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 36.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 63.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Russia unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 2.1%)
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 4, 2026): Vol $996
  DATA: [Yes: 61.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 39.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Russia unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 2.0%)
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 4, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 59.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 40.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Russia unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 1.9%)
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 4, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 61.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 38.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEconomics

Russia unemployment rate in September

Volume$4.93K

Markets7

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KALSHI

Russia unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 1.9%)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 61.5¢No 38.5¢

KALSHIEconomics

Russia unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 1.9%)

If the Russia unemployment rate is above 1.9% for September 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

KALSHI

Russia unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 2.1%)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 61.0¢No 39.0¢

KALSHIEconomics

Russia unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 2.1%)

If the Russia unemployment rate is above 2.1% for September 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

KALSHI

Russia unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 2.0%)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 59.5¢No 40.5¢

KALSHIEconomics

Russia unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 2.0%)

If the Russia unemployment rate is above 2.0% for September 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

KALSHI

Russia unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 2.4%)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 37.5¢No 62.5¢

KALSHIEconomics

Russia unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 2.4%)

If the Russia unemployment rate is above 2.4% for September 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

KALSHI

Russia unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 2.3%)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 37.0¢No 63.0¢

KALSHIEconomics

Russia unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 2.3%)

If the Russia unemployment rate is above 2.3% for September 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

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42¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/c0dEnd" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Russia unemployment rate in September"></iframe>

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Russia unemployment rate in September

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Russia unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 1.9%)

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Events (1)

Russia unemployment rate in September

Markets (7)

Russia unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 1.9%)

Russia unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 1.9%)

Russia unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 2.1%)

Russia unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 2.1%)

Russia unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 2.0%)

Russia unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 2.0%)

Russia unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 2.4%)

Russia unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 2.4%)

Russia unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 2.3%)

Russia unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 2.3%)

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Russia unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 1.9%)

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Russia unemployment rate in September

Russia unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 1.9%)

Russia unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 1.9%)

Russia unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 2.1%)

Russia unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 2.1%)

Russia unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 2.0%)

Russia unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 2.0%)

Russia unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 2.4%)

Russia unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 2.4%)

Russia unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 2.3%)

Russia unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 2.3%)

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