Name: Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffs
End: 2026-04-01T23:30:00.000Z

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Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffs | PredictPedia

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11 markets tracked

Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs NIP - Map 2 Winner

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Single-Platform Markets(11)

Market	Platform	Price
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs NIP - Map 2 Winner	Poly	100%
Map 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?	Poly	51%
Map 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?	Poly	10%
Map 2: Odd/Even Total Rounds?	Poly	0%
Map 1: Odd/Even Total Rounds?	Poly	0%
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffs	Poly	0%
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs NIP - Map 1 Winner	Poly	0%
Games Total: Over/Under 2.5	Poly	0%
Map 3: Odd/Even Total Kills?	Poly	0%
Map 3: Odd/Even Total Rounds?	Poly	0%
Map Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs Gentle Mates (+1.5)	Poly	0%

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, May 15, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffs
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Apr 1, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper Bracket Quarterfinal 4 match between Gentle Mates and NIP in the Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 1 at 1:30PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Gentle Mates" if Gentle Mates win the match against NIP.

This market will resolve to "NIP" if NIP win the match against Gentle Mates.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, t

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper Bracket Quarterfinal 4 match between Gentle Mates and NIP in the Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 1 at 1:30PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Gentle Mates" if Gentle Mates win the match against NIP.

This market will reso"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $433.1K
* **Total Liquidity:** $546.7K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.79)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffs
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 1, 2026): Vol $340.7K
  DATA: [Gentle Mates: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [NIP: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs NIP - Map 1 Winner
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 1, 2026): Vol $78.6K
  DATA: [Gentle Mates: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [NIP: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs NIP - Map 2 Winner
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 1, 2026): Vol $11.5K
  DATA: [Over: 100.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 0.1% (0.0%)]

### 4. Games Total: Over/Under 2.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 1, 2026): Vol $326
  DATA: [Odd: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [Even: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Map 1: Odd/Even Total Rounds?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 1, 2026): Vol $281
  DATA: [Odd: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [Even: 99.7% (0.0%)]

### 6. Map 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 1, 2026): Vol $140
  DATA: [Odd: 9.5% (0.0%)] | [Even: 90.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Map 2: Odd/Even Total Rounds?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 1, 2026): Vol $278
  DATA: [Odd: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [Even: 99.6% (0.0%)]

### 8. Map 3: Odd/Even Total Kills?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 1, 2026): Vol $574
  DATA: [NIP: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [Gentle Mates: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Map 3: Odd/Even Total Rounds?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 1, 2026): Vol $331
  DATA: [Odd: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [Even: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Map Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs Gentle Mates (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 1, 2026): Vol $373
  DATA: [Gentle Mates: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [NIP: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Map 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Odd: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [Even: 49.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Market Insights

Average Yes Price

15¢

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Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffs

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Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs NIP - Map 2 Winner

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Events (1)

Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffs

Markets (11)

Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs NIP - Map 1 Winner

Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs NIP - Map 1 Winner

Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs NIP - Map 2 Winner

Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs NIP - Map 2 Winner

Games Total: Over/Under 2.5

Games Total: Over/Under 2.5

Map 1: Odd/Even Total Rounds?

Map 1: Odd/Even Total Rounds?

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Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs NIP - Map 2 Winner

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Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs NIP - Map 1 Winner

Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs NIP - Map 1 Winner

Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs NIP - Map 2 Winner

Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs NIP - Map 2 Winner

Games Total: Over/Under 2.5

Games Total: Over/Under 2.5

Map 1: Odd/Even Total Rounds?

Map 1: Odd/Even Total Rounds?

Related News & Context

Discussion

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