Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Mendoza vs Newell's Old Boys

Total Volume

$109.97

Events

Markets

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Mendoza vs Newell's Old Boys

Vol

$109.97

Events

Markets

Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $109.97

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $109.97

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

3 markets tracked

Mendoza wins

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Mendoza wins	Kalshi	42%
Tie is the result	Kalshi	31%
Newell's Old Boys wins	Kalshi	27%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

42%

Top Probability

$109.97

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

GEM vs NOB (Oct 12) If X wins the Mendoza vs Newell's Old Boys professional Argentina Primera Division soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Mendoza vs Newell's Old Boys professional Argentina Primera Division soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties. I

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Mendoza vs Newell's Old Boys
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** GEM vs NOB (Oct 12)

If X wins the Mendoza vs Newell's Old Boys professional Argentina Primera Division soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Mendoza vs Newell's Old Boys professional Argentina Primera Division soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties. I

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Tie is the result of the Mendoza vs Newell's Old Boys professional Argentina Primera Division soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market re"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $110
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Tie is the result
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $31
  DATA: [Yes: 30.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 69.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Newell's Old Boys wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $79
  DATA: [Yes: 26.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 73.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Mendoza wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 42.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 58.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

Mendoza vs Newell's Old Boys

Volume$109.97

Markets3

3 of 3

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KALSHI

Mendoza wins

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 42.0¢No 58.0¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Mendoza wins

If Mendoza wins the Mendoza vs Newell's Old Boys professional Argentina Primera Division soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to

KALSHI

Tie is the result

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 30.5¢No 69.5¢

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

Tie is the result

If Tie is the result of the Mendoza vs Newell's Old Boys professional Argentina Primera Division soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market re

KALSHI

Newell's Old Boys wins

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 26.5¢No 73.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Newell's Old Boys wins

If Newell's Old Boys wins the Mendoza vs Newell's Old Boys professional Argentina Primera Division soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market

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Market Insights

Average Yes Price

33¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/c5fYee" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Mendoza vs Newell's Old Boys"></iframe>

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Mendoza vs Newell's Old Boys

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Mendoza wins

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Mendoza vs Newell's Old Boys

Markets (3)

Mendoza wins

Mendoza wins

Tie is the result

Tie is the result

Newell's Old Boys wins

Newell's Old Boys wins

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Mendoza wins

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Mendoza vs Newell's Old Boys

Mendoza wins

Mendoza wins

Tie is the result

Tie is the result

Newell's Old Boys wins

Newell's Old Boys wins

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