Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETCulture

What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (October 13)

Name: What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (October 13)
End: 2026-10-13T23:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$5.05K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (October 13)

Vol

$5.05K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $5.05K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $5.05K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

7 markets tracked

Will "East of Eden: Limited Series" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(7)

Market	Platform	Price
Will "East of Eden: Limited Series" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	Poly	97%
Will "All American: Season 8" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	Poly	2%
Will "Below: Limited Series" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	Poly	2%
Will "The Great British Baking Show: Collection 14" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	Poly	1%
Will "Wonka's The Golden Ticket: Season 1" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	Poly	1%
Will "A Different World: Season 1" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	Poly	1%
Will "Monster: The Lizzie Borden Story: Season 1" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	Poly	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

97%

Top Probability

$5.05K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, October 13, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix show. Shows will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more shows are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the shows' listed titles. This market will resolve to the show that occupies the sec

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (October 13)
**Category:** Culture | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 13, 2026 (3 days left)
**Time Pressure:** High

**Description:** Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, October 13, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix show. Shows will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more shows are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the shows' listed titles. This market will resolve to the show that occupies the sec

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, October 13, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix show. Shows will be primarily ra"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $5.1K
* **Total Liquidity:** $23.4K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.22)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will "A Different World: Season 1" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $205
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will "East of Eden: Limited Series" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $3.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 97.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 2.9% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will "Wonka's The Golden Ticket: Season 1" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $551
  DATA: [Yes: 0.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.4% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will "The Great British Baking Show: Collection 14" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $66
  DATA: [Yes: 0.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.3% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will "Monster: The Lizzie Borden Story: Season 1" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $421
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will "All American: Season 8" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $18
  DATA: [Yes: 2.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.8% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will "Below: Limited Series" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $385
  DATA: [Yes: 1.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.2% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETCulture